NFL Week 1 ... info

[Kaboom]

Since 2005, double-digit favorites in Week 1 are 5-10 ATS

Balt - 10 this weekend ...your call

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Best QBs (active) against the spread in Week 1:

Jared Goff 6-0 ATS at Patrick Mahomes 4-1 ATS ( No Kelce though )

Derek Carr 6-3 ATS

Aaron Rodgers 9-6 ATS

Lamar Jackson 3-1 ATS

Josh Allen 3-1 ATS

Justin Herbert 2-0 ATS

Tua Tagovailoa 2-0 ATS


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Since 2005, division underdogs in Week 1 have gone 64-44-2 (59%) ATS

Week 1 Division Dogs

Browns +2.5 vs. CIN

Colts +4.5 vs. JAX

Panthers +3.5 at ATL

Packers +1 at CHI

Rams +5.5 at SEA

Raiders +3.5 at DEN

Giants +3 vs. DAL

Jets +2.5 vs. BUF

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[Kaboom]

Since 2003, QBs drafted No. 1 overall are 0-13-1 SU and 1-13 ATS in their first start

The last No. 1 pick to win their first start? David Carr in 2002.

Plays

$15 Det + 6 - 134

$15 Atl ML - 180

 

[Kaboom]

In the past 10 years, underdogs in Week 1 are 112-91-4 (55%)

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In the past 10 years, teams that become bigger favorites in Week 1

have gone 34-52-2 (40%)

Week 1 favorites: that have moved up

Falcons -2.5 to -3.5

Ravens -9.5 to -10

Jaguars -3.5 to -4.5

Commanders -5.5 to -7

Broncos -3 to -3.5

Chargers -2.5 to -3

Bills -1.5 to -2.5

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Since 2005

favorites of 6 or more points in NFL Week 1 are 39-51-2 (43%)

Week 1 Chalk:

Ravens -10 vs. HOU

Commanders -7 vs. ARI

Vikings -6 vs. TB

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[jaxfactor]

Good stuff!

 

[indiana]

K. Boom.....always solid info and thought's buddy....
thank you....indy

 

[Kaboom]

(1) MONDAY NIGHT games in which the home team is
an UNDERDOG (Jets vs Bills) have gone 11-32-2 O/U since 2016... including
a PERFECT 0-13 O/U in the last two seasons (avg margin: -10.5 ppg!)...

I will try playing the trend here

$10 Buff / Nyj Under 47 - 125

 

[rolltide]

will DET make it 13 in a row?

 

[Kaboom]

will DET make it 13 in a row?

View attachment 75031

Thx RT ... I thought I had a trend on the Over .... a few weeks ago ... an misplaced it ...

Appreciate ... I lean Over ... thing that scares me is Goff on the road ...TD passes home/away ....

 

[Kaboom]

2022

PRIMETIME games went 19-34 O/U last year / 64% Under / 40.8 ppg.
...THURSDAY NIGHT games went 6-11 O/U / 65% Under / 41.0 ppg.
...SATURDAY NIGHT games went 1-1 O/U / 42.3 ppg.
...SUNDAY NIGHT games went 5-12 O/U / 71% Unders / 42.0 ppg.
...MONDAY games went 7-10 O/U / 40.1 ppg.

 

[one51rum]

Rogers is like 9-0 on monday nights

 

[Kaboom]

Rogers is like 9-0 on Monday nights

all with the Pack ...of course ... will it matter on Monday ....??? ...hmmmmm???

 

[bluefish33]

all with the Pack ...of course ... will it matter on Monday ....??? ...hmmmmm???

Love these trends Kaboom! Thanks and GL

 

[Kaboom]

Since 2003, QBs drafted No. 1 overall are 0-13-1 SU and 1-13 ATS in their first start

The last No. 1 pick to win their first start? David Carr in 2002.

Plays

$15 Det + 6 - 134

$15 Atl ML - 180

$15 Det + 6 - 134...................

 

[Kaboom]

2022

PRIMETIME games went 19-34 O/U last year / 64% Under / 40.8 ppg.
...THURSDAY NIGHT games went 6-11 O/U / 65% Under / 41.0 ppg.
...SATURDAY NIGHT games went 1-1 O/U / 42.3 ppg.
...SUNDAY NIGHT games went 5-12 O/U / 71% Unders / 42.0 ppg.
...MONDAY games went 7-10 O/U / 40.1 ppg.

Updated ... glad I stayed away from that Over

...THURSDAY NIGHT games went 6-12 O/U

 

[Kaboom]

Browns ...new QB / careful

Coach Stefanski in Game 1 of a bk to bk vs division foes ... 1-7 SU / Ats

Over /Under 1-7 .... maybe a sm lean on the Under here for me ?? Unsure ?

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Rams McVay as a Div Dog in which he lost last time he faced them

3-2 SU / 5-0 Ats ( But NO KUPP on Sunday ...careful )

Over / Under 4-1 in those games

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Balt ..Coach Harbaugh as Home Favs of 3 or more last 5

Rec ... 5-0 SU / ATS

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Monday Night Home Dogs ....since 10/5/21

Over / Under 0-11-1

I will be adding dome CFB trends shortly for you guys

 

[Kaboom]

No Fantasy Plays counted on records ...fyi

OVER 43.5−115
Jalen Hurts Rushing Yards
OPEN
Wager: $15.00To Pay: $28.04

 

[Kaboom]

Chargers and Seahawks each have won four straight season openers.

Falcons have lost five straight season openers, the NFL’s longest active streak.

Cardinals ended last season on a seven-game losing streak and Arizona hasn’t lost eight straight since 2006.

Packers have won eight straight against the Bears.

Raiders have won six straight vs. the Broncos, their longest win streak vs Denver since winning 14 straight from 1965-1971.

Dak Prescott has won 10 straight starts vs. the Giants.

 

[Kaboom]

Broncos’ WR Jerry Jeudy, listed as questionable for today due to a hamstring injury, is not expected to play vs. the Raiders, per source.

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[HacheMan]

Thanks Kaboom

GL today

 

[Kaboom]

Thanks Kaboom

GL today

U too H man