NFL Week 1 2014

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Hello everyone, I hoe you are having a great summer. I have been patrolling these forums for a couple of years and posted just a few times. This year I want to post my plays every week. Good luck to everyone this season and I hope it is profitable.

Green Bay +6 2 units
Seattle over 45 1 unit
GB ML +200 .25 units

Denver -6.5 -115 2 units

Detroit over 45.5 .5 unit

SD +3.5 2 units
SD ML +165 .5 units
 

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I like the DEN, SD ATS and SEA/GB over line. I don't like the GB ML or the ATS line. When is the last time a SB winner lost the opener at home outright?

Secondly, as a home favorite SEA is 10-5 ATS 67%, while GB is only 2-5 (29%) as a road dog over the last two years. It's not entirely ridiculous to think GB will cover, but they re not winning outright and I think there are much better dogs out there in week one (MIA +4 NE, JAX +11 @PHI, to name just two).
 

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I like the DEN, SD ATS and SEA/GB over line. I don't like the GB ML or the ATS line. When is the last time a SB winner lost the opener at home outright?

Secondly, as a home favorite SEA is 10-5 ATS 67%, while GB is only 2-5 (29%) as a road dog over the last two years. It's not entirely ridiculous to think GB will cover, but they re not winning outright and I think there are much better dogs out there in week one (MIA +4 NE, JAX +11 @PHI, to name just two).

Giants 2012 but it wasnt the thursday opener. I dont think it's been very long since SB winners host the openers so theres not much data to go on. But Giants did host week1 2012 and lost.
 

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Giants 2012 but it wasnt the thursday opener. I dont think it's been very long since SB winners host the openers so theres not much data to go on. But Giants did host week1 2012 and lost.

It started in 2004, and the SB winning team is 8-1 SU as home team. Last year BALT got dismantled, but it was as an away team.
 

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It started in 2004, and the SB winning team is 8-1 SU as home team. Last year BALT got dismantled, but it was as an away team.
Right I had that info, but not every yr a SB team opened. You sure 9 SB teams opened up the season? I thinks it's around 4-5 SB winners that have since 2004 with Ravens being away.

So I don't think 8-1 is accurate....
 

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1-2 -1.45 units

Baltimore -1 5 units Baltimore owns the Bengals at home and after last season the Ravens are going to be hungry to start the year strong. Also have a strong trend favoring the Ravens.
 

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2-3 -7.45 units

Buying out of Over bet tonight

taking under 45.5 Detroit game 2 units

Detroit -4.5 1 unit
 

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