NFL Totals System Plays

[MikeOxbig]

Not sure if these have been posted yet.

Jax/Hou UNDER 47
Was/Det UNDER 38.5
SF/Min UNDER 40
Chi/Sea OVER 37
NO/Buf OVER 52
Mia/SD OVER 44
Den/Oak OVER 36
Dal/Car OVER 47

System is 10-3 ATT this year.




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[bscully27]

Was there a thread on how this total system works?
If not, any interest in divulging????

Thanks!

 

[MikeOxbig]

It's based off of the Ace/Ace NFL and NCAA Totals Formula that has been discussed in both the NCAA and the NFL forums. I made a few minor changes/tweaks from the original and have posted the weekly records below:

Week 1 went 6-1 ATT
Week 2 went 4-2 ATT
Total ATT 10-3

Good luck.
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[blindtag]

Nice record..i see u have anice list
just a little input..this also is a system play
0 and 2 teams wk 3 take the over
yes i like detroit game for the over
bol this wk sir..

 

[sdf]

Nice record..i see u have anice list
just a little input..this also is a system play
0 and 2 teams wk 3 take the over
yes i like detroit game for the over
bol this wk sir..

there is nothing significant of 0-2 teams going over in week 3

 

[hebrewnational]

Not sure if these have been posted yet.

Jax/Hou UNDER 47
Was/Det UNDER 38.5
SF/Min UNDER 40
Chi/Sea OVER 37
NO/Buf OVER 52
Mia/SD OVER 44
Den/Oak OVER 36
Dal/Car OVER 47

System is 10-3 ATT this year.




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good luck this week

 

[GunShark]

I'm definately betting on the "NO/Buf OVER 52" I think this is the best bet this week.

I'm not good with over and under but I would think that Den/Oak game would be Under, usually when 2 bad teams play against each other, they can't score very well.

 

[hybrid]

is this the first week you are posting these ? gl:toast:

 

[MikeOxbig]

is this the first week you are posting these ? gl:toast:

Yep. First week. Warning: my luck this year has been bad, or none at all.

Note:
Games I don't like on this list are SF/MIN under 40 and CAR/DAL over 47.
And in my experience, when 2 shitty teams play each other, they have no defense and the score is 48 to 45. So throw the WAS/DET under on there as a pick I don't like as well. (Which means these three will hit and the others won't.)

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[bigboy666]

First week?

http://therxforum.com/showpost.php?p=6994886&postcount=540

In any event, thanks for posting these - and I hope you continue to do so.

 

[bigboy666]

Note:
Games I don't like on this list are SF/MIN under 40 and CAR/DAL over 47.
And in my experience, when 2 shitty teams play each other, they have no defense and the score is 48 to 45. So throw the WAS/DET under on there as a pick I don't like as well. (Which means these three will hit and the others won't.)

But isn't that the advantage of having system plays? Sticking to them helps remove emotion from the equation.

 

[Jambruins]

what are the tweaks you have made? I would like to setup an excel sheet and am wondering what the changes are? Thanks and goodluck

 

[MikeOxbig]

First week?

http://therxforum.com/showpost.php?p=6994886&postcount=540

In any event, thanks for posting these - and I hope you continue to do so.

Let me clarify...WEEK 3 games are the first plays I've posted PRIOR to the start of that week's games. If you look at the date, I made that post on Monday night after all of WEEK 1 Sunday games were played. I would have posted the WEEK 2 plays prior to, but I didn't get them in in time. For your reference, WEEK 2 went like this:

KC/OAK under 38 (13-10) - WIN
CIN/GB under 42 (31-24) - LOSS
NO/PHI over 46 (48-22) - WIN
STL/WAS under 36.5 (9-7) - WIN
TB/BUF over 42 (20-33) - WIN
PIT/CHI over 37.5 (14-17) - LOSS

But isn't that the advantage of having system plays? Sticking to them helps remove emotion from the equation.

Exactly. Just a little commentary for human performance vs system performance entertainment is all...
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[disboitee]

thanks for keeping up with o/u post Mike...

 

[deadm0ney]

lets see how this works out.

 

[bigboy666]

2-5 thus far. Absolutely horrible.

Jax/Hou UNDER 47 loss
Was/Det UNDER 38.5 WIN
SF/Min UNDER 40 loss
Chi/Sea OVER 37 WIN
NO/Buf OVER 52 loss
Mia/SD OVER 44 loss
Den/Oak OVER 36 loss
Dal/Car OVER 47