~NFL Playoff Picture 2024~ written by Joe Tansey, January 1, 2024 [ B/R on X]

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Buffalo Bills come into Week 18 with one of the most bizarre playoff scenarios you will ever see.

Buffalo could finish as high as the No. 2 seed with the AFC East title and there is a scenario in which it does not qualify for the playoffs at all.

The Bills are currently one game ahead of the Indianapolis Colts, Houston Texans and Pittsburgh Steelers, who all sit at 9-7, in the AFC wild-card hunt.

Indianapolis and Houston will play an elimination game in Week 18, while Pittsburgh visits a Baltimore Ravens team that clinched the No. 1 seed in the AFC in Week 17.

The NFC wild-card race does not have any extreme situations, like Buffalo holds, and it could be determined by one Week 18 victory.

The Green Bay Packers control their own fate for the No. 7 seed. A win over the Chicago Bears is all they need to eliminate the Seattle Seahawks and keep the NFC South from having multiple playoff participants.


The only certainties about the AFC playoff picture are that Baltimore is the top seed and Cleveland is locked into the No. 5 seed.

Baltimore secured home-field advantage throughout the AFC postseason with its Week 17 win over the Miami Dolphins.

Miami's loss opened the door for the Bills to win the AFC East with a home triumph over the Dolphins in Week 18.

Miami simply needs to win at home to avoid the wild-card chaos. A loss would drop the Dolphins to the No. 6 seed if they finish on the same record as the Browns. Cleveland plays a Cincinnati Bengals team eliminated from postseason contention, so it should pick up a win if it plays its starters.

The Bills will lose out on a wild-card spot if they stumble against the Dolphins and both the Jacksonville Jaguars and Pittsburgh Steelers win in Week 18.

Jacksonville plays the Tennessee Titans, while the Steelers take on the Ravens, who have nothing to play for. The Jags need to win to avoid a potential lose-and-out scenario. That would only happen if they stumble against the Titans and the Steelers win.

The Indianapolis-Houston clash will eliminate one of the 9-7 teams from the playoff race. The Colts are in front of the Texans right now thanks to a 31-20 victory in Week 2.

Pittsburgh can get into the postseason with a win in Baltimore combined with help from the wild scenarios mentioned above.

Green Bay's Sunday night win over the Minnesota Vikings cleared up the NFC wild-card race.

The Packers just need to beat the Chicago Bears at Lambeau Field on Sunday to lock into a postseason spot.

The Packers could leap from No. 7 to No. 6 if they win and the Los Angeles Rams rest their starters against the San Francisco 49ers. Green Bay won the Week 9 head-to-head meeting with the Rams.

Los Angeles might prefer the No. 7 seed depending on how it views the matchup with either the Detroit Lions or Dallas Cowboys. Dallas needs a win to secure the NFC East crown and No. 2 seed, while a loss and a Philadelphia Eagles win would drop the Cowboys to fifth.

The other teams still alive in the NFC require help to reach the postseason.

The New Orleans Saints need to beat the Atlanta Falcons to have a chance of either leapfrogging Green Bay for seventh, or into the top of the NFC South over the Tampa Bay Buccaneers.

Tampa Bay can lock up the NFC South crown with a win over the Carolina Panthers, which would then doom the Saints to playoff tiebreakers.

New Orleans has a worse conference record than both Green Bay and Seattle, so the Packers and Seahawks both must lose for the Saints to get in with a win.

Atlanta is still alive despite being one spot behind the eliminated Chicago Bears in the NFC standings. The Falcons need to beat the Saints and have the Bucs lose to earn a shot at the NFC South crown.

Minnesota has a near impossible task to jump from No. 10 to No. 7. The Vikings need to beat the Lions and then for the Packers, Seahawks and one of the Saints and Bucs to lose to earn the final wild-card position.





 

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Houston with Stroud in beats Colts.
 
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Key Games for Buffalo....Detroit.... Dallas for week 18 for the playoffs!!!!!!
 
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Who is in the playoffs NFL 2024?

  • *-Baltimore Ravens (13-3)
  • x-Miami Dolphins (11-5)
  • z-Kansas City Chiefs (10-6)
  • #-Jacksonville Jaguars (9-7, 3-1 vs HOU+IND)
  • x-Cleveland Browns (11-5)
  • Buffalo Bills (10-6)
  • #-Indianapolis Colts (9-7, 1-2 vs JAX+HOU, win over HOU & PIT)
  • #-Houston Texans (9-7, 1-2 vs IND+JAX, loss to IND, win over PIT)
 
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Which NFL teams are resting players in Week 18?
Here's a guide to all the teams who could be sitting their starters in Week 18, which will no doubt affect spreads on their games:


  • Baltimore Ravens (vs. Pittsburgh Steelers) ...
  • Cleveland Browns (vs. Cincinnati Bengals) ...
  • Detroit Lions (vs. Minnesota Vikings) ...
  • Philadelphia Eagles (vs. New York Giants)
 

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HtH, this week reminds me of skeet shooting off the back of a boat. Way too many variables.
Teams that are locked in, teams that are out, maybe 3-4 games were effort can be predicted.
Ind v Hou, Mia v Buf, N.O. v Atl, plus others were one teams in, the other out.
One oddity, Cle locked into the 5, Cinn out, but coach has said hes going all in to win, he wants to finish over .500. (9-8 or 8-9).
Raking acorns, tomorrow I'll pick a few games to bet. TOUGH WEEK.

BOL 2 all!!
 

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HtH, this week reminds me of skeet shooting off the back of a boat. Way too many variables.
Teams that are locked in, teams that are out, maybe 3-4 games were effort can be predicted.
Ind v Hou, Mia v Buf, N.O. v Atl, plus others were one teams in, the other out.
One oddity, Cle locked into the 5, Cinn out, but coach has said hes going all in to win, he wants to finish over .500. (9-8 or 8-9).
Raking acorns, tomorrow I'll pick a few games to bet. TOUGH WEEK.

BOL 2 all!!
Great Info uscmd !!! Thanks for posting
 
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HtH, this week reminds me of skeet shooting off the back of a boat. Way too many variables.
Teams that are locked in, teams that are out, maybe 3-4 games were effort can be predicted.
Ind v Hou, Mia v Buf, N.O. v Atl, plus others were one teams in, the other out.
One oddity, Cle locked into the 5, Cinn out, but coach has said hes going all in to win, he wants to finish over .500. (9-8 or 8-9).
Raking acorns, tomorrow I'll pick a few games to bet. TOUGH WEEK.

BOL 2 all!!
You can bet it's going to be tough week!!! I agree uscmd !!!!
 
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Analysis and bet by [ B/R on X] >>>>> For the second straight year, the Packers will be home for a win-and-in season finale against a division opponent. Last year, the Lions ended the Packers' playoff dreams, and the Bears will be charged with doing the same this season. While the Bears are playing great football down the stretch, I'm going to side with a Packers' team that has vivid memories of last year's failure. The Bears are just 21st against the pass and, while they have been opportunistic in creating turnovers, the Packers are top five in the league in giveaways this season. While the Packers are 26th overall against the run this year, they are 9th in the last three games and allow nearly a yard less per carry at home. Quarterback Love has looked like the quarterback the team envisioned when they drafted him in the first round four years ago. He has looked confident in the pocket and has several young receivers that have thrived this season. While it appears that WR Reed will miss this week's game, Love should get Christian Watson back and the speedy receiver should open up the middle of the field for the likes of Doubs, Melton, Hicks, and TE Tucker Kraft. Green Bay defeated Chicago in the opening game of the regular season 38-20 at Soldier Field and will pick up a victory at home on Sunday in the regular season finale which will qualify them for the postseason.

Green Bay is scoring an average of 22.9 points per game and allows an average of 21.3 points per game. Look for the Packers to use the ground game to open up the passing lanes for Jordan Love. The Bears are just 21st against the pass and, while they have been opportunistic in creating turnovers, the Packers are top five in the league in giveaways this season. While the Packers are 26th overall against the run this year, they are 9th in the last three games and allow nearly a yard less per carry at home. My Bet>> The Packers will not repeat the mistakes of the recent past. Green Bay -2 1/2 buying the hook.

Dallas Cowboys are on the road with plenty at stake as they take on the Washington Commanders Sunday afternoon. Dallas comes in off a 20-19 home win over Detroit in their previous game last Saturday, failing to cover the line as a 4.5-point favorite. Washington was dropped 27-10 by San Francisco at home in their previous contest, failing to cover the line as a 14-point underdog. In the all-time regular season series between the teams, the Cowboys own a 77-46-2 advantage, including a 45-10 home win in the most recent matchup on November 23, 2023. 7 Point 2 Team Teaser Dallas-6 & Green Bay +4
 
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Green Bay -2 1/2 buying the hook, Money Line $-162 with a press//// 7 Point 2 Team Teaser Dallas-6 & Green Bay +4 The Bets are in!!!!
 
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Green Bay -2 1/2 buying the hook, Money Line $-162 with a press//// 7 Point 2 Team Teaser Dallas-6 & Green Bay +4 The Bets are in!!!!
Also like the Chiefs money line of my option, because of the edge found when comparing my data-led probabilities of my analysis to the sportsbooks' odds. I will take points + 3 1/2 and hedge the money line +$160 with a if bet parlay with Green Bay -3
 
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In order for the remaining bets to have action you must win the first bet. If the first bet loses or pushes, there will be no subsequent action. As each choice wins, there will be action on the following bet. There may be up to 15 selections in one if bet. Take into account that correlation restrictions for these types of bets are the same as they are for parlays In the same way than a parlay, an if bet links together 2 or more individual plays. However, unlike a parlay, an if bet is not an all-or-nothing bet: the individual plays are still individual wagers and pay at the listed money line if they win. 2 team reverse press consists of multiple overlapping press if bets.>>> Green Bay -3 a press > if reverse bet] Chiefs +3 1/2

*All Bets Made at The D Circa Sportsbook/ Downtown Vegas

 
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Tampa Bay has everything to play for in Sunday’s game against the Panthers. With a win, the Buccaneers secure the divisional title. The team’s passing offense has been great all year behind Baker Mayfield. Tampa Bay is averaging 231 passing yards per game as their offensive focus has solely been on throwing the football. The Panthers have been eliminated from the playoffs for a while now and they don’t have anything to play for except for pride. The line is pretty small between these two teams and I think that Tampa Bay should win by a touchdown easily. The Panthers offensive struggles all year will continue and be their downfall in the game. Tampa Bay Money Line -$235 X 2 press

Chiefs +3 1/2 a press > if reverse bet] Tampa Bay Money Line -$235

*All Bets Made at The D Circa Sportsbook/ Downtown Vegas

 

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