NFL Picks 2018

[jgm4661]

Week 9 picks

Home team in caps. Comparisons are team unit vs. opponent’s opposite. ie Team pass O vs. Opponent pass D.

nyj +3
Edge in O avging 33 pts game and get back 2 of top 3 WRs . Edge at QB, run O and run D allowing only 3.2 ypr. MIA missing starting QB again.

 

[jgm4661]

Wk 9: 0-1
YTD: 6-2

Bad bet on rookie QB, 4 ints, even vs Brock Osweiler. MIA's O had 6 pts, d won game w pick 6.

 

[jgm4661]

Wk 13:

Home team in caps. Comparisons are team unit vs. opponent’s opposite. ie Team pass O vs. Opponent pass D.

Actually just going to watch tonight but lean

DAL +7.5
Big edge in rush O means they can hang around here. Edge in run D too . NO down their starting LT and DAL pass rush D coming on lately Jaylon Smith and Demarcus Lawrence and tackling machine Layton Van der Esch.

 

[jgm4661]

NYG +4
Lots of value here w chi QB Trubisky out. Edge pass o and run D. NYG O starting to come around w Saquon Barkley & Eli settling down.

 

[jgm4661]

Wk 13: 1-0
YTD: 7-2

 

[Dexter03]

cheersgif

 

[jgm4661]

Week 15 picks

Home team in caps. Comparisons are team unit vs. opponent’s opposite. ie Team pass O vs. Opponent pass D.

dal +3
Edge everywhere except pass D. ind one of worst pass Ds in the league allowing a pr of 102 and 23 ppg. dal one of best Ds in league allowing only 18 ppg and 3.6 ypr and Sean Lee back now. Held NO to 13 pts.

 

[jgm4661]

Scratch dal +3. Just going to watch

 

[polo]

Anything else sticks out?

 

[jgm4661]

Anything else sticks out?

Not really. Tough slate of games w lots of inconsistent teams. Glad to stay away this week.

 

[jgm4661]

Week 17 picks

Home team in caps. Comparisons are team unit vs. opponent’s opposite. ie Team pass O vs. Opponent pass D.

DEN + 6.5
KC likely to lock up #1 seed earlier so lac locked into #5 and may rest players. Value here regardless as DEN still one of better Ds esp pass rush w Bradley Chubb and Von Miller. Beat lac in LA earlier this yr too.
S be low scoring w F < ~ 21 pts or less so take dog ( 80% ATS)

 

[jgm4661]

Week 17 0-1
YTD 7-3

DEN forced 3 TOs but gave up 3 including a sack TD. D played well but O bad.