NFL Picks 2017

[jgm4661]

Week 2

Some ideas so far. Home team in caps. Comparisons are team unit vs opponent’s opposite . ie Team pass O vs Opponent pass D.

TB -7
Edge everywhere and huge edge in pass O w Desean Jackson, Mike Evans and top rookie TE OJ Howard. Just added TJ ward to a loaded D too. Chi down both starting WRs so will be tough to keep up.

BAL -7.5
cle going w rookie QB Deshon Kizer will be a tough learning curve. Cle nicked at LB. BAL edge in pass O,pass D and TOM. Look for some turnovers here.

phi +4.5
Competitive team here who should be able to move ball on KC who are down OLB Tamba Hali , CB Steve Nelson and just lost S Eric Berry . Edge in pass D

DEN +2
A good home team getting pts. Edge in Pass D and pass O. dal missing starters at CB, DT and ILB

 

[jgm4661]

Going w

phi +4.5
DEN +2.5
TB-7

 

[jgm4661]

Add

BAL -7.5

 

[jgm4661]

Scratch BAL -7.5

 

[jgm4661]

phi had a nice cover going holding KC to 13 pts late in the 4th then had 2 costly turnovers.

2-1

 

[Dexter03]

gj bud

 

[jgm4661]

Week 3

Ideas so far. Home team in caps. Comparisons are team unit vs opponent’s opposite . ie Team pass O vs Opponent pass D.

SF +2.5
Take the dog in low scoring affairs. F scoring < 21 pts only covers ~21%. lar looked awful losing to WAS at home. SF may win outright.

NYJ +6
Same as above. NYJ are competitive w Matt Forte, Jermaine Kearse and Jeremy Kerley and should be able to hang around. mia missing starters at S and ILB

sea +2.5
Better team & could win outright, Edge everywhere except run O.

 

[jgm4661]

Going w

nyg +6

 

[jgm4661]

1-0 Week 3

3-1 ytd

 

[Dexter03]

gj

 

[jgm4661]

Week 4

Ideas so far. Home team in caps. Comparisons are team unit vs opponent’s opposite . ie Team pass O vs Opponent pass D.

MIA +1.5
Overreaction to Cam handing no the game last week w 3 tos . no is down both starting CBs and maybe the nickel CB,both OTs and a DT. MIA edge in pass O and run O will be able to hang around.

HOU + 2.5
Played NE touigh last week. borth teams ~ = so should be a pick em at worst. Deshaun Watson showing maturity already throwing and running the ball capably.

NYJ + 4.5
Jax overrated after Flacco threw game away last week. NYJ has weapons in RB Matt Forte, WR Jermaine Kearse and now TE Austin Stefarian– Jenkins and showed they can score beating mia last week decisively. Both teams = again so take the pts w home squad.

cin -2.5
cin played well in GB last week and O is clicking again. RB Mixon looks to be a star. Rookie QB Deshon Kizer is doing well but prone to rookie turnovers against one of the better secondaries. Lots of value here.

BAL +2.5
Another overreaction to last week. Another = home dog getting pts. BAL will want to bounce back after embarrassing loss to jax. 2 good Ds so will be a low scoring affair so take the pts

ind + 12.5
SEA and their OL has looked awful and only beat SF by 3 at home and not deserving of a double digit favorite Jacoby Brisset proving a capable almost starter level QB and a running threat as well.

 

[jgm4661]

Just realised MIA game is in London so no real value afterall. no gets starting CB Marshon Lattimore back too. Forte out for NYJ but there is still some value there

 

[wizard1183]

Just realised MIA game is in London so no real value afterall. no gets starting CB Marshon Lattimore back too. Forte out for NYJ but there is still some value there

Yea Nola game could go either way. I've tried looking at it and if I chose? I'd take Miami however this is their 3rd road game. Nola 2nd cause home or away it's still nuetral

 

[jgm4661]

Pick week 4

Injuries narrowed many of the contests above. May add an afternoon game

MIN -2.5
Edge everywhere. Stifling D. Case Keenum little drop off and will have time vs a week pass rush, det missing starting LT against Danielle Hunter and Everson Griffin

 

[jgm4661]

MIN defence played well holding DET to 14 pts which should be enough to win. But they lost starting RB Dalvin Cook and Case Keenum was ineffective turning the ball over 3x and only producing 7 pts at home

0-1
3-2 ytd

 

[jgm4661]

Week 6

Home team in caps. Comparisons are team unit vs. opponent’s opposite. ie Team pass O vs. Opponent pass D.

BAL -6.5
BAL big edge in pass O and D so will load the box and stop the run. Chi going w a rookie QB so expect some turnovers & missing their top 2 WRs. Chi losing by 11 pts on avg so expect more of the same here.

pit +4
Overreaction to last week though their play was troubling but look for a regrouping here. Edge everywhere except pass D. KC down starting C ,OG, OLB and CB as well. Pit better team on paper so this should be a pickem. They could win outright

 

[XSPower]

Good luck today....

 

[jgm4661]

Good luck today....

Thanks.

BAL has OL problems ( 3 OGs out) or just played bad today. chi had 2 d tds.

Week 6: 1-1
YTD : 4-3

 

[jgm4661]

Week 7

Home team in caps. Comparisons are team unit vs. opponent’s opposite. ie Team pass O vs. Opponent pass D.

ari +3
Will be a low scoring affair. 2 = teams so is really a pick em on neutral site. ari only allowing 3.3 ypr. LAR giving up 4.8 ypr so Adrian Peterson will have a good day and keep it close.

 

[jgm4661]

Week 7: 0-1
YTD: 4-4

Carson Palmer injured early. Impressive win last week vs TB but the OL still has issues. LAR played well too and are for real.