NFL MOV's : What are the important percentages?

RunMaker · Sep 23, 2015

I know this is somewhere, but I'm too tired to look it up right now.

NFL MOV:

01 points ---------- 01.5%
02 points ---------- 02.5%
03 points ---------- 25.0%

04 points ---------- 13.0%
05 points ---------- 02.0%
06 points ---------- 10.0%
07 points ---------- 15.0%

08 points ---------- 10.0%
09 points ---------- 02.0%

10 points ---------- 10.0%
11 points ---------- 02.0%
12 points ---------- 02.0%
13 points ---------- 02.0%
14 points ---------- 02.0%
15+....... ---------- 01.0%

Just putting the above as an example. Those are nowhere near correct. But in the example above, 25% of NFL games are decided by exactly 3 points. And only 2% of NFL games are decided by 9 points.

Anybody have these actual stats from a statistical site?

Thanks in advance.

MotorMouth · Sep 23, 2015

RunMaker said:
I know this is somewhere, but I'm too tired to look it up right now.

NFL MOV:

01 points ---------- 01.5%
02 points ---------- 02.5%
03 points ---------- 25.0%

04 points ---------- 13.0%
05 points ---------- 02.0%
06 points ---------- 10.0%
07 points ---------- 15.0%

08 points ---------- 10.0%
09 points ---------- 02.0%

10 points ---------- 10.0%
11 points ---------- 02.0%
12 points ---------- 02.0%
13 points ---------- 02.0%
14 points ---------- 02.0%
15+....... ---------- 01.0%

Just putting the above as an example. Those are nowhere near correct. But in the example above, 25% of NFL games are decided by exactly 3 points. And only 2% of NFL games are decided by 9 points.

Anybody have these actual stats from a statistical site?

Thanks in advance.

Strange , you are too tired to do a simple google search, yet awake enough to create this chart with random numbers and everything.face)(*^%

here you go https://www.sportsinsights.com/blog/why-are-key-numbers-so-important-in-nfl-betting/#!prettyPhoto

RunMaker · Sep 23, 2015

Thanks for the compliment. Never fails.

RunMaker · Sep 23, 2015

This is a good, related thread.

(Spread matters: Related SU to ATS outcomes)

http://www.therxforum.com/showthread.php?t=1029933

Hamilbet · Sep 23, 2015

MARGIN OF VICTORY	# OF GAMES	% OF TOTAL GAMES
1	119	4.64%
2	117	4.56%
3	479	18.69%
4	171	6.67%
5	92	3.59%
6	176	6.87%
7	294	11.47%
8	104	4.06%
9	46	1.79%
10	196	7.65%
11	84	3.28%
12	49	1.91%
13	102	3.98%
14	153	5.97%
15	48	1.87%
16	58	2.26%
17	108	4.21%
18	72	2.81%
19	37	1.44%
20	74	2.89%
21	103	4.02%

RunMaker · Sep 23, 2015

That is perfect. Thank you.

Anybody have this info as well, but in relation to the totals?

For instance, the same grid.... but the corresponding total is 40, 41, 42 and etc. It would be a different grid for each total, but that would be outstanding information.