NFL Forum Question

[Loves2kickass]

How many points do NFL handicappers in the forum give for home field advantage in their capping of NFL games. I know the answer to this but am curious to hear others numbers and opinions. Let's see who really knows WTF they're doing or who just throw darts.

If you're a trend bettor this won't apply to you. I'm speaking of anyone who actually handicaps sides using a analytical perspective.

 

[PirateAlew]

Old school used to be around 3 pts, now has trended just under 2, and in certain circumstances like 49ers in LA or last night Dallas in LA i don't give much of an edge (enormous fan bases of these teams in these key cities)...will give more to home teams in playoffs and divisional rivalries with playoff implications get a slightly higher than 2 pt edge for me...

 

[KNOCKONWOOD]

Personally this day and time I don't think home field means much today....Agree with PA, YRS ago 3 and was the average...Now, depends on where but maybe 1 if that now but closer to 2 on average....I've thrown it out the window pretty much...I owned seats at the Panthers for 25 yrs and sometimes more fans from the other side....Understandable starting out because all of us had favs elsewhere.....Panthers haven't reached that excitement level I saw for fans a few times....Personally for me, 3 for yrs but now.....Panthers homefield can't compete with KC and others But.....You can always reach your turn but Panthers are jinxd and why I sold my seats...If had to choose I couldn't depends on teams so crap, bump home field this day and time, not the same as yrs ago...I'll say 1 but you can't really give a number in my opinion for all....Take care, Knock!

 

[itchyback]

True Home-Field Advantage for every NFL & college football team | VSiN

www.vsin.com

 

[Loves2kickass]

True Home-Field Advantage for every NFL & college football team | VSiN

www.vsin.com

That was a Google search lol and those numbers are way off

 

[G-Man!]

How many points do NFL handicappers in the forum give for home field advantage in their capping of NFL games. I know the answer to this but am curious to hear others numbers and opinions. Let's see who really knows WTF they're doing or who just throw darts.

If you're a trend bettor this won't apply to you. I'm speaking of anyone who actually handicaps sides using a analytical perspective.

Yep! Sounds like you already know it all and are leading this question just to argue. I think YOU should tell everyone here first what you think you know and THEN those who care to debate in a friendly way can respond...
The "Dart Throwers" which you are demeaning here - arent going to answer...thats why you asked the question in a pompous way...

Im sure others are waiting...
Pease tell the dart throwers WTF you know!
Hope you have some real stats and data that proves only your answer is right?
.

 

[authorbytrade]

I think true home field advantage is game specific. I too am old enough to remember the standard "just add 3 points to the home team" approach and know this has slipped substantially. The last two Raiders games I've attended in Las Vegas had the Raiders with no more than an even split of the fans, at best. I, however, don't think that's what has really effected the value of homefield advantage in the NFL, to me it's the ease of travel. Visitors just don't have to deal with the things they had to deal with even just a decade ago and definitely not what they had to deal with 30 years ago. I think from push rates and ATS numbers you can see that homefield has slipped but I still wouldn't be eager to bet Miami -6 in Green Bay in December or Minnesota -4 in Arizona in August without considering the home filed setup in both those vastly different scenarios. I know some smart players that use 1.8 as standard homefield now but, then again, they wouldn't be true advantage players if they actually just flat-rated homefield now would they.

I can see from the few bets you've listed and the nature of this query that you feel it's probably zero. I'm not sure that's the answer I would give but could respect the argument of someone who believed it.

 

[MLB]

1.7

 

[BigLouReturns]

So far this season home teams are 47-46 SU. Not much of an advantage.

 

[itchyback]

Better question would be. How do you calculate homefield infantage

 

[exploited17]

Kind of irrelevant imo.
So much of it is situational.
Get a better team and good matchup as long as there are no great situational advantages that team is likely to win no matter where it is played.

 

[Loves2kickass]

1.7

Right on MLB. That's what I was looking for and close to what I use. Last season HF calculated to be about 1.6 on average.

 

[itchyback]

how is it calculated

for ex texans won 0 games at home last year
chiefs win 7

so both get 1.6 ?

ty

 

[cigar]

Yep! Sounds like you already know it all and are leading this question just to argue. I think YOU should tell everyone here first what you think you know and THEN those who care to debate in a friendly way can respond...
The "Dart Throwers" which you are demeaning here - arent going to answer...thats why you asked the question in a pompous way...

Im sure others are waiting...
Pease tell the dart throwers WTF you know!
Hope you have some real stats and data that proves only your answer is right?
.

Right. This guy acts like a pompous know it all but he's had about 4 different surre fire ways of picking winners including splits sheets in the year that i been back.The other site people haven't seen him since touting the pack on the alt line. He's looking for answers cause he's experimenting.

 

[BigLouReturns]

how is it calculated

for ex texans won 0 games at home last year
chiefs win 7

so both get 1.6 ?

ty

Agreed. You can't give the same number to all teams. The Jaguars playing at home on a Sunday afternoon is miles apart from Seattle hosting a Sunday or Monday night game.

 

[Loves2kickass]

how is it calculated

for ex texans won 0 games at home last year
chiefs win 7

so both get 1.6 ?

ty

Respectfully, it has nothing to do with wins and losses. Just because a team is playing at home it doesn't mean they'll win, we're all aware of that obviously. I use it in my power rating lines for ATS selections and contest picks.

 

[G-Man!]

As usual you have no information to add Mr. Trend Player.

F-off louie...Youre the only trend player on the whole board ...Post more that go back to 1966...

 

[Biz]

How many points do NFL handicappers in the forum give for home field advantage in their capping of NFL games. I know the answer to this but am curious to hear others numbers and opinions. Let's see who really knows WTF they're doing or who just throw darts.

If you're a trend bettor this won't apply to you. I'm speaking of anyone who actually handicaps sides using an analytical perspective.

Standard used to be 3

now it’s 1-2 if that

 

[itchyback]

Bookmakers agree Raiders have virtually no home-field advantage

Home-field advantage in the NFL used to be worth a standard three points to the spread. But those days have changed, especially for the Raiders at Allegiant Stadium.

www.reviewjournal.com

Standard used to be 3

now it’s 1-2 if that

erral

 

[itchyback]

Are raiders 0 lol