NFL for the week of 9/28

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Thanks for posting ATX...Question...I can get WAS -2.5/-119 or -3/-107. What would be the better value? TY...
 

ATX

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in this game -2.5 for sure.

esp. since it is only costing you 12 cents.
 

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ATX mind sharing your thoughts with us on why you like Washington -2.5..

thanks
 

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ATX - I'll be there with ya on Washington. Also like SD and ARZ. Looks like I'll be on Dallas, however. Good luck buddy.
 

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love the big dogs this week...should be a lot of barking going on in NFL.

2 units
SD
Ari

1 unit
Det

posted in my thread

good luck boys!
 

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atx,,the WASH game is one of the spot teaser games i posted about ystrday..................what are your thoughts re: this game at WASH +3.5/NYJ +3 ?? have WAS -2.5 for 5 units as my str8 play ........is a 1 or 2 unit play on the teaser a good hedge or would a 2 team parlay be better , or just a str8 play on the NYJ ?? WOULD BE INTERESTED TO HEAR ANY THOUGHTS
 

ATX

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I dont play teasers so I cant really tell you much. I would just stick to straight plays they pay better in the long run.


There is no way I can do superb writeups on all my wagers, there are too many wagers. I've said it before, and I'll say it again, SIXTH SENSE has the best writeups I've seen.

one of the keys to this matchup is WAS avgs more per rush on offense and defensively has held their opponent to less yds per rush than NE. All I really try to determine is if WAS wins by 3 or more 53% of the time. I think they win this one by 3 or more about 58-60% of the time.
 

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I think they win this one by 3 or more about 58-60% of the time.


^ can you elaborate on this a little more.. Why, do you think they win this by 3 or more 58-60% of the time? I have no idea how one would come up with that..

thanks...
 

ATX

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elaborate...

red teams beat New England in sept games on the road before the fifth game of the season when there is not a hurricane when the hot dogs cost 2.50 but not when the beer is warm and after Altice's birthday over 58% of the time.

Happy belated Birthday, Altice.

c'mon guys everbody sing ...

Happy Birthday to you...
Happy Birthday to you...
Happy Birthday dear Altice,
Happy Birthday to you...

And maaannnnyyy more.
 

ATX

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I will be on:

BAL
HOU
for sure, just hoping for that extra half point

pretty sure I will be taking:
NO
NYJ
MIN
DET and +550
AZ and +425
CIN and +175

leaning to:
ATL
SD--this game is probably best to pass on, at least until the half, if anyone has a take on this game feel free to post on it. I am not spending any time on it, but I think the Raiders are getting too many points for being in the SB last year. I feel that there may be 3 or 4 games this week in which a team covers (dog) but doesnt win SU. I have a feeling one of them is DET but that ML is inflated esp. with KC up next for the Broncos. I think AZ may be a trap at St Lou but without Faulk I dont think this Rams team should be favored by 10.5 over anyone (unfortunately AZ has the ability to not cover 30 pt spreads hopefully they use that GB win as a spark) and I faded the Rams last year during this part of the season so no way I take St Lou Sunday. Rushing stats favor the Cowboys, but the line is too low, IMO Dallas is getting too much respect for their win over the NYG, and the word I'm getting is that the public is backing Dallas. Parcells is capable of getting this team prepared and pulling of the victory, but I think the Jets running game finally gets it going. I think this line should be more like -4.5, DAL was +8 in their last game and with the NYJ's tough loss at NE last week, they need this one even worse. It's tough to take NO and I'm hoping for +3. I may end up passing if I dont. This may be the game that the public wins, it's in a dome and on turf, Indi may feel at more at home. And I have my eye on this Indi team they may be going through January this year, it's still early but their defense which was their glaring weakness for years looks to be putting it together, I rode their under for two or three weeks but I feel it may be time to get off, but I may change my mind. HOU should win SU, Jax is starting Leftwich from what I hear so HOU may be a 2% play for me. JAX laying points? CIN/CLE: almost a tossup, follow the line move, take the points, I love the under, but I may pass on the side. How bad is Cinci this year? That is what I keep asking myself, not a good question to not know the answer to when thinking of backing a team. Not too much in depth but I dont have time.
 

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ATX- I'm pretty much in agreement with all your picks except fotr the Jets. Dallas is coming off a bye week and I thought that Carter was impressive against the Giants. The Jets haven't shown me anything all year. Any thoughts? GL
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ATX

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From what I hear, public is on DALLAS. I agree that stats favor Dallas, but I think HFA and Quincy give the Jets a little value. Just a strategy I stick with, not a big play.

HOU +3 or better for 1.1%
HOU ML for .4%

DET ML +550 or better for .5%
 

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