NFL 12/01/2025 ➔

[Joe$$Moneyline]

Thanks for posting
Gl

 

[itchy_pickle]

@Joe$$Moneyline You're welcome. Good luck to you as well my friend.

 

[itchy_pickle]

WEEK 15 BET SUMMARY
I may add a bet for TNF

Denver vs Green Bay U43 (-110)
New England vs Buffalo O49 (-110)
Cincinnati vs Baltimore O51½ (-110)
New York G vs Washington O47 (-110)

 

[itchy_pickle]

My statistical-Implied Lines also does really well with NBA totals.

 

[itchy_pickle]

THERX NFL TOTALS: 9-4, 69% (+4.65 Units)

WEEK 15 BET SUMMARY

Denver vs Green Bay U43 (-110)
Statistical-Implied Line 47 > 43 = Under

New England vs Buffalo O49 (-110)
Statistical-Implied Line 42 < 49 = Over

Cincinnati vs Baltimore O51½ (-110)
Statistical-Implied Line 45½ < 51½ = Over

New York G vs Washington O47 (-110)
Statistical-Implied Line 42 < 47 = Over

Lines remain the same with the exception of NYG/WAS which you can get at Over 46/46.5

 

[Joe$$Moneyline]

My statistical-Implied Lines also does really well with NBA totals.

Post them up Brother
Thanks

 

[itchy_pickle]

@Joe$$Moneyline They're posted in NBA sub forum. Haven't posted much there because doesn't seem to be much interest in the NBA here.

 

[itchy_pickle]

I'll add a couple sides the day of the games. Leaning GB, CAR & MIA but that can change depending on the lines.

TNF the line is pretty tight. Market-Implied Line -5½, exactly where it's sitting now. I'd need it to move to 3 or 7 to make a bet on either side.

 

[itchy_pickle]

I may add a total for tonight's game. Waiting to see if the line holds or moves higher.

 

[itchy_pickle]

THERX NFL TOTALS: 9-4, 69% (+4.65 Units)

WEEK 15 BET SUMMARY

Tampa Bay vs Atlanta O43½ (-110)
Statistical-Implied Line 40 < 43½ = Over

Denver vs Green Bay U43 (-110)
Statistical-Implied Line 47 > 43 = Under

New England vs Buffalo O49 (-110)
Statistical-Implied Line 42 < 49 = Over

Cincinnati vs Baltimore O51½ (-110)
Statistical-Implied Line 45½ < 51½ = Over

New York G vs Washington O47 (-110)
Statistical-Implied Line 42 < 47 = Over

 

[Cheddar]

I have to pick 1 game for a group parlay card. I always do ncaaf but I don’t trust all the opt out crap. I took Cincinnati over this week based on your plays. Good weather and looks like the best option to me. GL

 

[itchy_pickle]

@Cheddar That's a good choice. Either the one you chose or the BUF/NE over. I hope you win it, Good luck.

 

[itchy_pickle]

@Cheddar I'm not sure if you just need football picks only but if you also ever need NBA totals take a look in the NBA sub forum. I just recently started to post minimal, strong bets there.

 

[itchy_pickle]

I saw the 2nd half total at my book was heavily juiced to the U21½. I hope any halftime bettors were real careful with that line. There's a reason the books added the half point to the total and it wasn't to give away free money.

 

[itchy_pickle]

I saw the 2nd half total at my book was heavily juiced to the U21½. I hope any halftime bettors were real careful with that line. There's a reason the books added the half point to the total and it wasn't to give away free money.

Point was the book was trying to snatch up some under bettors. I hope nobody bit into it.

 

[itchy_pickle]

THERX NFL TOTALS: 10-4, 71% (+5.65 Units)

WEEK 15 BET SUMMARY

Tampa Bay vs Atlanta O43½ (-110)
Statistical-Implied Line 40 < 43½ = Over
- If you're an Alternate Line bettor they both hit as well with 57 points scored. 051½ (+260) ✔ O36½ (-260) ✔

Denver vs Green Bay U43 (-110)
Statistical-Implied Line 47 > 43 = Under

New England vs Buffalo O49 (-110)
Statistical-Implied Line 42 < 49 = Over

Cincinnati vs Baltimore O51½ (-110)
Statistical-Implied Line 45½ < 51½ = Over

New York G vs Washington O47 (-110)
Statistical-Implied Line 42 < 47 = Over

 

[Mofome2]

Nice call thxs

 

[ashack1]

And another nice call, last night. Excellent work, itchy.

 

[itchy_pickle]

@Mofome2 @ashack1 Thank you very much. Hopefully if someone wanted to follow they saw the post. I put a warning out and hr before the game of a possible bet. Good luck this week.