NFC East
NYG, Dallas, Philly - People already think these teams are good... You aren't going to pick one of them and call it a "suprise team"
Washington - coach PORN and a quarterback that is mildly retarded and set on throwing all check downs and cries whenever anybody in the media says anything bad about him. No thanks on the deadskins.
Central
Minn- People will talk about Minnesota as a suprise team. They have a dominant RB and they build their team right, from the inside out. They have good lines with a strong OL and DL which bodes well for them. My biggest complaints ( and they are biggies) is that they have an inept coach and QB. As luck has it, those are the two most important slots on your roster.... Not only is childress a bad coach, but anybody that stuck with Tavaras Jackson that long deserves to be fired. Jackson is a fucking joke and doesn't belong anywhere near a football.
Chi- The blocks are there for the defense and special teams, but nobody is a fan of Orton. In a weak NFC they MIGHT be able to claw their way back to the SB, but I wouldn't bet on it.
GB- One of the youngest rosters in the league, I DO think that Aaron Rodgers exceeded expecations, and if they could play defense like 2 years ago instead of last year ( I see no reason why not), I see GB as a legit team to make it deep in the playoffs.
Detroit- I won't mention any names, but I can remember people on this site saying that the Lions are going to be better than people think. I argued with them then that Detroit is about guaranteed to be a top 5 bad team. Rod Marinelli might be the worst coach in the NFL and his defense sucked ass....
South
New Orleans- Drew Brees is probably the best player in the NFC, as far as making everybody around him better, and doing more with less. If they can add some more WR talent, have a healthy North/South Runner and just be average on defense the saints could win. They are brought in some players on D but asking that defense to be average might still be a little much. I'd say NO has a shot though.
Car- I like what they build on their O-line and their RB's but Jake Delhomme is skitzo. Asking him to be consistant for 3-4 games in the playoffs is asking too much.
Atlanta- I still haven't bought all the hype.
TB - I am 100% against firing gruden and bringing in a happy 32 year old... nice guy, but not cut out to be the head coach.
West -
Seattle - Seattle had an injury to Hasslefag but if he's healthy they probably do better than 9-7 Arizona and go to the playoffs. They have talent on D, they had a good experienced coach, a decent QB... I just can't fucking stand Jim Mora.
Arizona - They made the SB so they can't be a suprise team, but I hate that they had their coaching staff raided. I like Russ Grimm and Wisenhunt, but losing those coordinators hurt. Wisenhut and Kubiak are my two young coaches I endorse over anybody.
Rams- Team is a riggin mess.
49ers- Team still has issues.
I guess that means in the NFC I'd say Green Bay as my best bet to do better than expectations... followed by the Saints ( due to offense), Seacocks due to overall talent and shit division...