Newsletters

Search

Let's go Brandon!
Joined
Nov 6, 2012
Messages
25,180
Tokens
Recap
Marc Lawrence's Playbook Tuesday - Thursday Plays - https://www.therx.com/threads/newsletters.971451/page-567#post-14533497

Newsletter Tracking
This season so far -
 

Let's go Brandon!
Joined
Nov 6, 2012
Messages
25,180
Tokens
Recap
Marc Lawrence's Playbook Tuesday - Thursday Plays - https://www.therx.com/threads/newsletters.971451/page-567#post-14533497

Newsletter Tracking
This season so far -
 
Joined
Jul 3, 2023
Messages
173
Tokens
THE RED SHEET
NOVEMBER 9, 2024 VOLUME 56 - NUMBER 11

INDIANA 47 - Michigan 17 - (8:00 EST) -- Line opened at Indiana minus 14, and is still minus 14. No question that,
along with Vanderbilt, we've had a season-long relationship with these Hoosiers, who have come in like
clockwork, with current 0-9 SU run, & while 7-0 ATS by +26, +9½, +7, +4, +42½, +8, & +29 pts,
rising to 8th in the polls, with QB Rourke 2nd only to OleMiss Dart, in Passing Efficiency. As readers
are aware, we backed off a bit when he had thumb trouble, but he was front-&-center in LW's 47-10
rout of MichiganSt (4 TD passes). Depleted Wolves haven't sniffed a road cover, & won't start in this.
RATING: INDIANA U 89

TULANE 55 - Temple 13 - (4:00) -- Line opened at Tulane minus 27, and is still minus 27. Quite a hefty spread load for
most any team to be carrying, but Greenies, who stumbled out of early gate (34-27 & 34-19 losses to
KansasSt & Oklahoma), following the departure of all-time Wave QB Pratt, have certainly turned it all
around, with 6 straight wins, along with 5-1 ATS run, breaking loose with back-to-back-to-back romps
with a 157-63 pt edge, along with a 260-113 pt advantage in their last 6 outings. Owls are lost on the
road, allowing 43.5 ppg in this year's travels, with loss here eliminating them from any playoff hopes.
RATING: TULANE 89

TENNESSEE 59 - Mississippi State 20 - (7:00) -- Line opened at Tennessee minus 25, and is now minus 24. Don't
particularly enjoy carrying such a heavy load (along with Tulane), but that's the way things shook out.
The Vols have been one of the most potent squads in the land, since the arrival of Heupel in '21,
reaching 40 pts on 23 occasions. Not only that, but Volunteer defense has been the unnoticed uncle,
while ranking 4th, 6th, 5th in total, rushing, & scoring "D". Exact opposite for Bulldogs: 127th "D".
RATING: TENNESSEE U 88

Byu 37 - UTAH 20 - (10:15)-- Line opened at BYU minus 5, and is now minus 3½. Finally a spread which just ensures
that the stat winner also conquers the line. The Utes have been a perennial power, ever since the
arrival of Urban Meyer in 2003. Eighteen bowls in a 22-yr span, with 10 double digit win campaigns.
The downer? How about 5 straight bowl losses, with LY's 8-5 mark beneath the norm. Even more of
the same TY: 1 cover, while on a 4-game SU losing run. Unbeaten Coogs 6 pts from a perfect ATS log.
RATING: BYU 88

Duke 37 - NORTH CAROLINA STATE 24 - (3:30) -- Line opened at North Carolina St minus 2½, and is now minus 3.
Imps are a team which seems to just hang around, but always dangerous, under tutelage of David
Cutcliffe (2-9 & 3-9 records in '20 & '21), following school-record 3 straight bowl wins). However, his
replacement, Mike Elko, has produced beyond hope with 9-4 & 8-5 records, including a pair of bowl
wins (14 & 12½ pt covers). And TY, 'Devils are at 6-3 SU & 5-2-1 ATS. 'Pack just 2 covers thus far.
RATING: DUKE 88

Detroit Lions 34 - HOUSTON 19 - (8:20 - NBC) -- Line opened at Detroit minus 4, and is now minus 3. Five straight
losing seasons for the Lions, prior to last year's brilliant recovery, making it into the playoffs for the
first time since '16, then coming within a FG of making it to the Super Bowl. Best start since 1956 title
win over Jimmy Brown & Co, as QB Goff has been simply superb, with 28 TDs, & 24 incompletions
in his last 6 games. Texans have shaken dust from 5-1 start, with current 2-3 run. Won't buck Lions.
RATING: DETROIT LIONS 88

NEAR CHOICES (Rated 87): Californa, SouthFlorida, Oregon, Boise St - NFL: San Francisco, Atlanta, Miami

LARGE LINE MOVES: Bowling Green (-9½ to -14); No Illinois (+1½ to -2); Nevada (+26½ to +24); Louisiana (-14 to -
16½); New Mexico (+20 to +18); Georgia Tech (+13 to +11); Utah St (+22½ to +20½); Notre Dame (-24½ to -26); Utah
(+5 to +3½); Rice (+10½ to +9); Miami-Ohio (-10½ to -12); Liberty (-9½ to -10½); Boston College (-1 to -2); Cincinnati
(-3½ to -4½); Oklahoma St (+12½ to +11½); NFL: Indianapolis (+5 to +4); Jacksonville (+5 to +4); Philadelphia (-6½ to
-7½); Houston (+4 to +3); KEY INJURIES: Army QB Daily (Und) ??; Baylor QB Finn (Und) ??; Central Michigan QB
Emanuel (leg) Out; Colorado QB Ponder (Und) ??; Florida QB Lagway (hamstring) ??; Fla International QB Jones
(Und) ??; Ga Tech QB King (Und) ??; Iowa QB McNamara (concussion) ??; Kentucky QB Vandagriff (Und) ??; Miami
QB Gabbert (Und) ??; Michigan St QB Chilis (Und) ??; Missouri QB Cook (leg) ??; Nebraska QB Raiola (back)
Probable; No Illinois QB Hampton (Und) ??; Old Dominion QB Wilson (Und) ??; Penn St QB Smolik (Und) ??; Rutgers
QB Surace (Und) ??; Sam Houston St QB Watson (shoulder) ??; San Diego St QB Duffy (suspension) ??; So Florida
QB Brown (Und) ??; Syracuse QB DelRio-Wilson (Und) ??; Texas A&M QB Henderson (Und) ??; Texas El Paso QB
Locklear (Und) ??; Texas St QB McCloud (Und) ??; Toledo QB Osborne (Und) ??; UAB QB Zero (shoulder) ??; UCLA
QB Davis (Und) ??; Utah QB Rising (leg) Out; Va Tech QB Drones (Und) ??; West Virginia QB Greene (Upper body)
?? - NFL: Baltimore RB Ali (ankle); RB Mitchell (knee) ??; Carolina RB Brooks (knee) ??; QB Dalton (Und) ??; Chicago
QB Williams (ankle) ??; Cleveland RB Hines (knee) Out; QB Thompson-Robinson (finger) ??; Dallas QB Prescott
(hamstring) Out; Denver RB Badie (back) ??; Detroit RB Vaki (knee) ??; Green Bay RB Lloyd (ankle) Out; Houston
RB Brooks (knee) Out; RB Pierce (groin) ??; Kansas City RB Edwards-Helaire (illness) ??; LA Chargers RB Edwards
(ankle) Out; Miami QB Thompson (chest) ??; RB Wilson (knee) ??; NY Jets QB TGravis (ankle) Out; New Orleans RB
Miller (hamstring) Out; RB Williams (groin) ??; Philadelphia RB Barkley (back) ??; Pitt RB Patterson (ankle) ??; San
Fran RB McCaffrey (achilles) Prob; RB Mason (shoulder) ??; Tenn QB Levis (shoulder) ??; RB Spears (hamstring) ??...
 

Let's go Brandon!
Joined
Nov 6, 2012
Messages
25,180
Tokens

Member
Joined
Mar 3, 2010
Messages
2,562
Tokens
Winning Points NFL
4* Best Bet Pittsburgh over Washington by 17
3* Best Bet Philadelphia over Dallas by 23

Winning Points NCAA
4* Best Bet Mississippi over Georgia by 16
3* Best Bet BYU over Utah by 20
 

Friendly and Helpful
Joined
Jun 28, 2009
Messages
2,886
Tokens
Can you post the newsletter instead of just the picks?

Please and thanks in advance.
 

Member
Joined
Apr 24, 2011
Messages
67
Tokens

College Football Week 11 Betting Spots

Let Down Spots:
  • Ohio State could be flat hosting Purdue after the Penn State win.
  • Rice at Memphis after beating Navy.
  • Syracuse at Boston College after beating Virginia Tech.
  • Hawaii could be soft after beating Fresno State.
  • Texas Tech hosting Colorado after beating Iowa State.
Get Up Spots:
  • Clemson at Virginia Tech to keep hopes alive.
  • Pitt better get up hosting Virginia after SMU crushed them.
  • Iowa State needs to brush off after losing at home to Texas Tech.
Look Ahead Spots:
  • Tennessee looking past Mississippi State to Georgia is possible.
Long Rest:
  • New Mexico State with an extra five days hosting Western Kentucky.
  • Texas State with an extra five days at Louisiana Monroe.
  • Sam Houston with an extra day of rest at Kennesaw State.
  • Louisiana Tech with an extra day at Jacksonville State.
  • Liberty with an extra three days rest at Middle Tennessee State.
  • Temple coming off the bye with an extra five days rest hosting Tulane.
  • UCONN with an extra two days at UAB.
  • James Madison coming off the bye with an extra six days hosting Georgia State.
  • South Florida with an extra day of rest hosting Navy.
  • East Carolina with an extra five days of rest hosting Florida Atlantic.
  • Boise State with an extra day of rest hosting Nevada.
  • San Diego State with an extra day of rest hosting Nevada.
  • Boston College off the bye hosting Syracuse.
  • Georgia tech off the bye hosting Miami is big.
  • Colorado coming off the bye at Texas Tech is good.
  • Kansas off the bye hosting Iowa State.
  • Maryland off the bye at Oregon.
  • North Texas off the bye hosting Army.
  • Notre Dame off the bye hosting Florida State.
  • Rutgers off the bye hosting Minnesota is big.
  • Southern Miss off the bye hosting Marshall.
  • Texas off the bye hosting Florida is a spot.
  • UNLV off the bye and an extra day to face at Hawaii is big.
 

Let's go Brandon!
Joined
Nov 6, 2012
Messages
25,180
Tokens
Joined
Dec 11, 2006
Messages
48,950
Tokens
Winning Points NFL
4* Best Bet Pittsburgh over Washington by 17
3* Best Bet Philadelphia over Dallas by 23

Winning Points NCAA
4* Best Bet Mississippi over Georgia by 16
3* Best Bet BYU over Utah by 20
Sleep, is there any way you can get us a link to Winning Points so we can use their NFL game logs in our research?
Much appreciated .
 

Member
Joined
Aug 22, 2013
Messages
79
Tokens

Easy Pickins​


OREGON (-24.5) by 31.53 over Maryland - Saturday, November 9. The computer trend line has the Ducks by 28.77 in the first-ever meeting between these schools. The Terps are extremely reliant on the passing game to move the ball with 72.5% of their yardage coming through the air. Oregon can be pass-centric, as well, but it's a 64% clip. The Ducks rank 5th in pass defense in the B1G and Maryland ranks last.

TULANE (-26.5) by 35.50 over Temple - Saturday, November 9. The computer trend line adds a couple points for the Green Wave to make it a 37.17-point margin. Tulane is ranked 4th on total offense in the American and Temple is last. The Green Wave are 3rd in total defense and the Owls are 8th. Tulane is 3-1 ATS at home, while Temple is 1-3 ATS on the road.

Iowa (-5.5) by 11.24 over UCLA - Saturday, November 9. The computer trend line raises the margin to 13.18 for the Hawkeyes who rank 1st in the B1G in rushing offense and face UCLA's No. 3 rushing defense. But the Bruins rank 16th on offense (out of 18 teams) against Iowa's No. 8 total defense.

Army (-5.5) by 7.36 over NORTH TEXAS - Saturday, November 9. Army's No. 3 offense faces UNT's No. 13 defense (out of 14 AAC schools). UNT's No. 1 offense faces Army's No.1 defense. Even without QB Bryson Daily, who is questionable, Army should be able to cover a rather small spread. The computer trend line puts the margin at 8.77.

Hold Your Horses​


Clemson (-6.5) by 1.77 over VIRGINIA TECH - Saturday, November 9. Both teams are coming off losses with Clemson falling 33-21 at home to Louisville and Virginia Tech dropping a 38-31 OT game at Syracuse. Clemson has won 6 straight in the series, but the last 3 were under Justin Fuente (0-3) as these teams haven't met since the Covid season of 2020. The concern is the questionable status of RB Bhayshul Tuten and QB Kyron Drones, but they had neither last week at the 'Cuse and should have won the game. With those two, we'd be tempted to the Hokies as the outright favorite. Without them, we can see this a 3 or 4-point ballgame.

Upsets​


Central Florida by 3.94 over ARIZONA STATE (-2.5) Saturday, November 9. The computer trend line favors the Sun Devils (6-2, 3-2 Big 12) to cover the spread with a favored margin of 7.17 points over the visiting Knights (4-5, 2-4), but that only adds more confusion to a game where some numbers point one way, and others take you in a different direction. Behind new QB Dylan Rizk, UCF snapped a 5-game losing streak with a 56-12 blowout of Arizona in Orlando in the Space Game that pays homage to the school's many graduates working in the space industry on the nearby Space Coast at Cape Canaveral. ASU was a 42-21 winner at Oklahoma State after getting a week off to recover from a 24-14 loss at Cincinnati. UCF brings an offense that tops the conference while ASU ranks 4th in the Big 12 in total defense. The Sun Devils are 8th in the Big 12 on offense and the Knights are 9th on defense. Both teams feature a dangerous runner attack with the Knights led by RJ Harvey (133.44 yards per game) at No. 3 in the nation, and the Sun Devils' Cam Skattebo (129.86 per game) at No. 7. UCF ranks 3rd, and Arizona State 2nd, in rushing defense. The Sun Devils are 4-0 ATS at home, while UCF is 2-1 ATS on the road.

West Virginia by 5.47 over CINCINNATI (-4.5) - Saturday, November 9. The Mountaineers (4-4, 3-2) were a 14.22-point preseason favorite to win this game. Now, they rare only a 5.47 pick, and the computer trend line flips this game to Cincinnati by 3.27. The Bearcats (5-3, 3-2) average 32 more yards per game but give up 30 more. WVU is 17-3-1 all-time in the series, including last year's 42-21 win in Morgantown which was the first meeting between these schools since 2011.

TEXAS TECH by 0.06 over Colorado (-3.5) - Saturday, November 9. Deion Sanders takes his Heisman candidates to Lubbock with a bowl bid secured, but hungry for more. His QB son, Shedeur, is 7th in passing yards per game and 10th in QB rating. Famed two-way starter Travis Hunter is universally regarded as the best player in the college ranks this season. But Texas Tech ranks 2nd in the Big 12 in total offense and Colorado is only 12th. On defense, the Buffaloes are 8th and the Red Raiders are 15th out of 16 teams. The computer trend line takes Colorado by 8.83.

OLE MISS by 4.42 over Georgia (-2.5) - Saturday, November 9. It always feel like a stretch to bet against Georgia, but the 'Dawgs are even bigger underdogs on the computer trend line at 7.81 points. Georgia won 52-17 over Kiffin and Company last year in Athens so they would, no doubt, love to exact some revenge. Prior to last season, the teams had not met since 2016 when Ole Miss won 45-14 in Oxford. Hugh Freeze was in his last season as the HC of the Rebels and Kirby Smart was in his first season at Georgia. Ole Miss is No. 1 in the SEC in passing offense and total offense. Georgia is 7th in total offense and 3rd in passing offense. Georgia is 3rd in total defense and Ole Miss ranks 7th.

Kennesaw by 2.74 over UTEP (-3.5) - Saturday, November 9. Kennesaw (1-7, 1-3 CUSA) derailed Liberty's unbeaten season two weeks ago by upsetting the Flames 27-24 in Kennesaw for the first win of the Owls' FBS existence after moving up this year. UTEP (1-8, 1-5) is nothing to fear, but the computer trend line still likes the Miners by 3.82 points.

USF by 4.42 over Navy (-3.5) - Saturday, November 9. The computer tend line has Navy favored by 5.02 points to snap a 2-game losing streak after opening with 6 straight wins. The first loss, of course, was a blowout to Notre Dame, which as followed by last week's 24-10 shutdown at Rice. The Owls have the No. 7 rushing defense in the American Athletic Conference, while the Bulls rank 6th, so this could be another difficult outing for the Midshipmen, regardless of the spread and the trend line pointing in their direction.


 

Forum statistics

Threads
1,119,510
Messages
13,569,224
Members
100,818
Latest member
c54credit1
The RX is the sports betting industry's leading information portal for bonuses, picks, and sportsbook reviews. Find the best deals offered by a sportsbook in your state and browse our free picks section.FacebookTwitterInstagramContact Usforum@therx.com