Stanford Steve and The Bear: Week 12 college football picks, bets and nuggets
"Stanford Steve" Coughlin and Chris "The Bear" Fallica preview Week 12 of the 2022 college football season as only they can, offering their top bets, nuggets and totals worth wagering on.
Odds and lines are from Caesars Sportsbook unless otherwise noted.
Records:
The Bear (Last week: 1-2. Season: 37-18-1)
Stanford Steve (Last week: 1-2. Season: 23-20-1)
The plays
No. 7 USC Trojans (-2.5, 76) at No. 16 UCLA Bruins
The Bear: UCLA gave up a few too many big plays and just might have gotten caught looking ahead last week vs. Arizona, which also played USC tough earlier this year. There's no better way to bounce back off an upset loss than a game against your rival, one which has garnered all the attention and spotlight over the past 11 months even as the Bruins hung 62 on the Trojans last year. No Travis Dye could wind up being a huge deal for SC in this game. This game has flown over totals in the mid-60s the past three years and that number has rightly been adjusted. But I believe UCLA bounces back and gets the win.
Pick: UCLA +2.5
No. 4 TCU Horned Frogs (-2.5, 58) at Baylor Bears
The Bear: If TCU can get out of Waco with a win, it would be the Horned Frogs most impressive victory of the season. The spot screams Baylor. The Bears were embarrassed on their home field last week. TCU won a close, physical battle at Texas and now are three wins away from a CFP berth. It's getting more real for the Frogs now. A two-point loss to TCU last year may have kept Baylor from a CFP berth and after allowing better than 61% conversions on third down last week and committing two turnovers, I'd expect a cleaner game from Baylor and give it a great shot to hand TCU its first loss.
Pick: Baylor +2.5
Fresno State Bulldogs at Nevada Wolfpack (+22.5, 54.5)
Stanford Steve: We lost last week taking the Bulldogs on the road laying double digits because UNLV decided to kick a field goal with 10 seconds left. Well, we're going right back and taking the "Road Dogs" this week in Reno. Fresno State is averaging over 41 points per game in their last four games and Nevada is giving up over 30 points per game this season, including 41 last week to Boise State.
Pick: Fresno State -22.5 (Fresno State 41 Nevada 17)
UAB Blazers at No. 6 LSU Tigers (-14.5, 52.5)
The Bear: This is a total situational play. LSU the past four weeks has won at Florida, rallied for a season-changing victory against Ole Miss, pulled an improbable upset over Alabama and gutted out a win at Arkansas. How much more does LSU have in the tank after the physical and emotional toll of the last month? It's Tiger Stadium at night, so there's always that danger, but UAB has a really good back in DeWayne McBride, who might be able to help shorten the game. I just wonder if this is a "catch your breath" week before the trip to A&M and the SEC Championship Game.
Pick: UAB +14.5
UConn Huskies at Army Black Knights (-10, 43.5)
Stanford Steve: Let me get this right... a 3-6 team is giving a red hot 6-5 team 10 points? The 3-6 Cadets have scored a total of 16 points in their last two games. Army also has one win over an FBS team this season so far. The Huskies might still be partying in Storrs after winning three straight on the field, and two of those games they were more than a touchdown underdog against the spread. I'll take the home team and give the points here.
Pick: Army -10 (Army 31 UConn 14)
Stanford Cardinal at California Golden Bears (-5, 46.5)
The Bear: What could be better than Cal on a six-game losing streak vs. a Stanford team which has scored 16, 15, 13, 14 and 7 in the past five games. It sure looks like the stamp has been licked, the envelope sealed and the season is in the mail for the Cardinal. At least Cal has shown some fight lately and it's a rare chance to beat up on Stanford, which has owned the rivalry lately.
Pick: Cal -5
Stanford Steve: Cal ran for nine yards last week at Oregon State, while Stanford ran for 22 yards at Utah. It's not feeling like a high powered offensive game on either side when these teams meet Saturday in Berkeley. I do feel like Cal is better in the run game with Jadyn Ott getting the bulk of their carries for. Both these teams have combined for nine straight losses and while it wont be the best played game, it is a rivalry game. I'll take the home team and lay the points.
Pick: Cal -5 and under 46.5 (Cal 10 Stanford 3)
The Bear's money-line parlay
Like some big favorites but don't want to lay the points? Here are some to parlay together.$100 returns $82
Last Week: -100
Season: -90
Florida State Seminoles -3000
Tennessee Volunteers -1700
Penn State Nittany Lions -1100
Clemson Tigers -1100
Michigan Wolverines -1100
Georgia Bulldogs -2000
North Carolina Tar Heels -1600
Air Force Falcons -2200
Notre Dame Fighting Irish -2000
Fresno State Bulldogs -2100
The Bear's underdogs to play on the money line
Last Week: 1-3, -0.9 unitsSeason: 12-32, -13.15 units
UCLA Bruins +110
Baylor Bears +125
Nebraska Cornhuskers +375
Duke Blue Devils +250
Bear bytes
No. 1 Georgia is favored by 22.5 at Kentucky, No. 2 Ohio State is favored by 27.5 at Maryland and No. 3 Michigan is favored by 18 over Illinois. That continues a trend this season illustrating the separation between the top of the rankings and everyone else.Entering this week, top 3 teams have played 31 games this year, with one top-3 matchup between Georgia and Tennessee. On average, the 30 favorites were favored by 29 PPG.
Even if you limit it to the seven games vs. ranked teams, those seven favorites were favored by an average of 14 PPG. Only one game saw a single-digit spread, Alabama's loss at Tennessee as a nine-point favorite. But let's keep fooling ourselves that expanding the playoff will generate different teams winning.
No. 4 TCU Horned Frogs at Baylor Bears
This is the first time a team 10-0 or better has been favored by a field goal or fewer in a regular-season game since 2015 when 11-0 Iowa was a two-point favorite at 5-6 Nebraska and won 28-20.
No. 7 USC Trojans at No. 16 UCLA Bruins
The past three years have seen the total close at 66, 65 and 65.5 in this game. Those games have produced 87, 81 and 95 points.
No. 10 Utah Utes at No. 12 Oregon Ducks
This is the first time since 2015 Oregon is favored over Utah. The Ducks have been an underdog each of the past six games vs. the Utes.
Texas Tech Red Raiders at Iowa State Cyclones
After last week's loss to Oklahoma State, Iowa State is now 5-17 under Matt Campbell (1-5 this year) in games with a spread between +3.5 and -3.5.
UConn Huskies at Army Black Knights
UConn is 9-2 ATS this season, having covered seven straight, including outright underdog wins vs. Fresno State, Boston College and Liberty.
Texas Longhorns at Kansas Jayhawks
The Longhorns have failed to cover each of the past five and seven of the past nine vs. Kansas. In the past three years, Texas has been favored by 31, 21 and 15 and those games resulted in a one-point loss, two-point win and seven-point win.
No. 22 Oklahoma State Cowboys at Oklahoma Sooners
This is the seventh time OU is favored in a Big 12 game this year. OU is 1-5 ATS and 2-4 SU in the previous six games.
Recap
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Gridiron Gold Sheet Best Bets
College:
Central Michigan -4 1/2
SMU +4 1/2
South Florida +14
San Diego State -11 1/2
Purdue -17 1/2
Arizona +4 1/2
C Carolina +3 1/2
FAU -4 1/2
Oklahoma -5 1/2
NFL:
Packers -1 1/2
Bills -8
Colts +10
Chiefs -5 1/2
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Red Sheet - https://www.therx.com/threads/newsletters.971451/page-508#post-14002447
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Records
Newsletter Tracking Through November 13 - https://www.therx.com/threads/newsletters.971451/page-507#post-13999931
More
Podcasts - https://www.therx.com/threads/newsletters.971451/page-508#post-14002669
Stanford Steve and the Bear: Week 12 college football picks, bets and nuggets - https://www.therx.com/threads/newsletters.971451/page-509#post-14003096
American Turf Club 1434.pdf
drive.google.com
GoldSheet Week 12.pdf
drive.google.com
College:
Central Michigan -4 1/2
SMU +4 1/2
South Florida +14
San Diego State -11 1/2
Purdue -17 1/2
Arizona +4 1/2
C Carolina +3 1/2
FAU -4 1/2
Oklahoma -5 1/2
NFL:
Packers -1 1/2
Bills -8
Colts +10
Chiefs -5 1/2
Marc Lawrence's Playbook November 15-21.pdf
drive.google.com
Pointwise Week 12.pdf
drive.google.com
Power Plays Wk 12.pdf
drive.google.com
Power Sweep Wk 12.pdf
drive.google.com
Powers' Picks November 16-21.pdf
drive.google.com
Sports Reporter 4812.pdf
drive.google.com
Totals Tipsheet Iss. 11.pdf
drive.google.com
VSiN 2022-23 College Basketball Betting Guide.pdf
drive.google.com
VSiN Pro Matchups Guide November 16-22.pdf
drive.google.com
Winning Points 12.pdf
drive.google.com
Records
Newsletter Tracking Through November 13 - https://www.therx.com/threads/newsletters.971451/page-507#post-13999931
More
Podcasts - https://www.therx.com/threads/newsletters.971451/page-508#post-14002669
Stanford Steve and the Bear: Week 12 college football picks, bets and nuggets - https://www.therx.com/threads/newsletters.971451/page-509#post-14003096
VSIN WORLD CUP BETTING GUIDE
drive.google.com
vsin_2022_world_cup_betting_guide_11-16-22 (2).pdf
drive.google.com
Marc Lawrence's Playbook Midweek Alert
drive.google.com
Marc Lawrence's Playbook Midweek Alert November 15-21.pdf
drive.google.com
Thanks BUZZ!Marc Lawrence's Playbook Midweek Alert
Marc Lawrence's Playbook Midweek Alert November 15-21.pdf
Phil Steele's Inside the Pressbox - College
drive.google.com
Phil Steele's Inside the Pressbox College Week 12.pdf
drive.google.com
Phil Steele's Inside the Pressbox - NFL
drive.google.com
Phil Steele's Inside the Pressbox NFL Week 11.pdf
drive.google.com
Recap
drive.google.com
drive.google.com
Gridiron Gold Sheet Best Bets
College:
Central Michigan -4 1/2
SMU +4 1/2
South Florida +14
San Diego State -11 1/2
Purdue -17 1/2
Arizona +4 1/2
C Carolina +3 1/2
FAU -4 1/2
Oklahoma -5 1/2
NFL:
Packers -1 1/2
Bills -8
Colts +10
Chiefs -5 1/2
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Red Sheet - https://www.therx.com/threads/newsletters.971451/page-508#post-14002447
drive.google.com
drive.google.com
drive.google.com
drive.google.com
drive.google.com
drive.google.com
Records
Newsletter Tracking Through November 13 - https://www.therx.com/threads/newsletters.971451/page-507#post-13999931
More
Podcasts - https://www.therx.com/threads/newsletters.971451/page-508#post-14002669
Stanford Steve and the Bear: Week 12 college football picks, bets and nuggets - https://www.therx.com/threads/newsletters.971451/page-509#post-14003096
American Turf Club 1434.pdf
drive.google.com
GoldSheet Week 12.pdf
drive.google.com
College:
Central Michigan -4 1/2
SMU +4 1/2
South Florida +14
San Diego State -11 1/2
Purdue -17 1/2
Arizona +4 1/2
C Carolina +3 1/2
FAU -4 1/2
Oklahoma -5 1/2
NFL:
Packers -1 1/2
Bills -8
Colts +10
Chiefs -5 1/2
Phil Steele's Inside the Pressbox College Week 12.pdf
drive.google.com
Phil Steele's Inside the Pressbox NFL Week 11.pdf
drive.google.com
Marc Lawrence's Playbook November 15-21.pdf
drive.google.com
Marc Lawrence's Playbook Midweek Alert November 15-21.pdf
drive.google.com
Pointwise Week 12.pdf
drive.google.com
Power Plays Wk 12.pdf
drive.google.com
Power Sweep Wk 12.pdf
drive.google.com
Powers' Picks November 16-21.pdf
drive.google.com
Sports Reporter 4812.pdf
drive.google.com
Totals Tipsheet Iss. 11.pdf
drive.google.com
VSiN 2022-23 College Basketball Betting Guide.pdf
drive.google.com
VSiN Pro Matchups Guide November 16-22.pdf
drive.google.com
VSiN 2022 World Cup Betting Guide.pdf
drive.google.com
Winning Points 12.pdf
drive.google.com
Records
Newsletter Tracking Through November 13 - https://www.therx.com/threads/newsletters.971451/page-507#post-13999931
More
Podcasts - https://www.therx.com/threads/newsletters.971451/page-508#post-14002669
Stanford Steve and the Bear: Week 12 college football picks, bets and nuggets - https://www.therx.com/threads/newsletters.971451/page-509#post-14003096
Week 11 selections for Circa Friday Football Invitational
STANDINGS
BOBBY “BUCKETS” BRUBECK
UAB +15
Bears +3
Cowboys -1.5
Browns-Bills Over 49.5
(BB) UCLA +2.5
Record (points): 26-23-1 (26.5)
Best Bets: 4-6 (4)
CHUCK EDEL
Georgia-Kentucky Under 48
Western Kentucky-Auburn Under 52
Oklahoma State-Oklahoma Over 66.5
Mississippi-Arkansas Over 65
(BB) NC State-Louisville Under 45
Record (points): 31-19 (31)
Best Bets: 4-6 (4)
BRIAN EDWARDS
Duke +7
LSU -15
Boston College +21
UL Monroe-Troy Under 48
(BB) Giants -3
Record (points): 23-27 (23)
Best Bets: 5-5 (5)
CHRIS “THE BEAR” FALLICA
Texas-San Antonio -13.5
UCLA +2.5
Vanderbilt +14
Marshall -4.5
(BB) Baylor +2.5
Record (points): 29-21 (29)
Best Bets: 7-3 (7)
X-STEVE FEZZIK (second eliminated)
Record (points): 21-28-1 (21.5)
Best Bets: 6-3-1 (6.5)
JOEY “TUNES” FORTUNA
Cincinnati-Temple Under 51
Mississippi-Arkansas Over 65
Colts +7
Lions +3
(BB) Raiders +3
Record (points): 25-25 (25)
Best Bets: 4-6 (4)
DOUG KEZIRIAN
Michigan State -10.5
Western Kentucky +5.5
Houston +6
Arkansas +2.5
(BB) UNLV -11.5
Record (points): 32-17-1 (32.5)
Best Bets: 6-3-1 (6.5)
MARC LAWRENCE
Illinois +17.5
UCLA +2.5
Arkansas +2.5
Vikings +1.5
(BB) Baylor +2.5
Record (points): 25-23-2 (26)
Best Bets: 6-4 (6)
RANDY MCKAY
Fresno State-Nevada Over 54
Hawaii +11.5
Colts +7
Eagles-Colts Under 46
(BB) Oklahoma State-Oklahoma Over 66.5
Record (points): 26-22-2 (27)
Best Bets: 7-3 (7)
X-MIKE NORTH (first eliminated)
Record (points): 16-26-3 (17.5)
Best Bets: 3-6 (3)
ERIN RYNNING
Mississippi-Arkansas Over 65
Oklahoma State-Oklahoma Over 66.5
Colts +7
Bengals-Steelers Under 40.5
(BB) Cowboys-Vikings Over 47.5
Record (points): 22-27-1 (22.5)
Best Bets: 3-6-1 (3.5)
DAN SALEY
Penn State -18.5
Iowa +2.5
UCLA +2.5
Arkansas +2.5
(BB) Utah State -1
Record (points): 22-26-2 (23)
Best Bets: 4-6 (4)
JAMES SALINAS
UCLA +2.5
Raiders +3
Steelers +4
Browns +7.5
(BB) Eagles-Colts Under 46
Record (points): 30-17-3 (31.5)
Best Bets: 5-5 (5)
PAUL STONE
Texas Tech-Iowa State Under 47.5
Arkansas +2.5
Oklahoma State +7.5
Hawaii +11.5
(BB) Connecticut +10
Record (points): 27-22-1 (27.5)
Best Bets: 4-6 (4)
JEFF WHITELAW
TCU-Baylor Over 57.5
Colts +7
Commanders -3
Steelers +4
(BB) Falcons -3
Record (points): 27-21-2 (28)
Best Bets: 6-3-1 (6.5)
CRIS ZENIUK
Jets +3.5
Lions +3
Bears +3
Raiders +3
(BB) Bills -7.5
Record (points): 22-27-1 (22.5)
Best Bets: 3-7 (3)
———————
MIKE PALM
Illinois +17.5
USC -2.5
Commanders -3
Giants -3
(BB) Jets-Patriots Under 37.5
Record (points): 26-22-2 (27)
Best Bets: 6-4 (6)
MATT YOUMANS
Northwestern +18
Kansas +9
UCLA +2.5
Hawaii +11.5
(BB) Jets +3.5
Record (points): 28-21-1 (28.5)
Best Bets: 7-3 (7)
Source: https://www.vsin.com/standings-for-circa-friday-football-invitational/
Newsletter Tracking updated through November 20, 2022 from Mendoza Line
Not every newsletter gets posted every week, and I'll try to note when the record doesn't include every week of the season.
Another note is that the grading is based on the line indicated in the newsletter at the time of publication, not the closing line. Many of these newsletters will claim a win against the best available line as it moves throughout the week, but these records reflect the outcome against the line they were willing to make a play on in their newsletter.
CKO (We haven't seen this one yet this season)
11* (0-0-0)
10* (0-0-0)
o/u (0-0-0)
Gridiron Gold Sheet (We've gotten this one only 7 weeks this season)
NCAA Best Bets (19-24-1)
NFL Best Bets (18-13-1)
Marc Lawrence's Playbook NCAA
5* (8-3-1)
4* (7-5-0)
3* (7-5-0)
Upset pick (4-8-0)
Betcha Didn't Know (8-4-0)
Awesome Angle (8-6-0)
Incredible Stat (6-3-1) (Arizona +7.5 pending for MNF)
Marc Lawrence's Playbook NFL
5* (6-4-1)
4* (4-6-1)
3* (5-5-1)
Pointwise NCAA
1* (9-15-0)
2* (5-6-1)
3* (6-5-1)
4* (9-15-0)
5* (13-10-1)
Pointwise NFL
3* (2-8-1)
4* (10-11-1)
5* (15-7-0)
Power Sweep NCAA
4* (2-9-0)
3* (8-14-0)
2* (14-8-0)
Underdog Play of the Week (8-3-0)
Tech Play of the Week (6-1-0)
Revenge Play of the Week (2-7-0)
Situational Play of the Week (3-4-0)
Series Play of the Week (4-5-0)
Power Sweep NFL
4* (5-6-0)
3* (5-6-0)
2* (4-6-1)
4* Pro Angle (0-6-0)
3* o/u play (7-4-0)
Powers' Picks NCAA
3* (11-5-1)
2* (21-18-0)
1* (1-0-0)
Powers' Picks NFL
4* (0-0-0)
3* (1-3-0)
2* (16-6-1) (SF -2 pending on a teaser for MNF)
1* (4-6-0)
Sports Reporter
NCAA Super Best Bets (0-0-0)
NCAA Best Bets (24-17-0)
NFL Super Best Bets (0-0-0)
NFL Best Bets (10-10-0)
Red Sheet (0-5 so far this week)
90* (0-1-0)
89* (11-11-0)
88* (22-20-0) (Arizona +8 pending for MNF)
Winning Points
NCAA 4* (8-4-0)
NCAA 3* (8-4-0)
NFL 4* (4-7-0)
NFL 3* (4-6-1)
Killer Sports, not including teasers (We haven't seen this one yet this season)
SBB 4.5* (0-0-0)
SBB 4* (0-0-0)
Cajun NCAA (0-0-0)
Pick 60 Play of the Week (0-0-0)
Victor Kings's Totals Tipsheet (0-4 overall this week, a rare bad year for this one)
3* (6-15-0)
2* (6-6-0)
Team Total of the Week (4-7-0)
Power Plays
NCAA 4.5* (12-20-1)
NCAA 4* (25-33-0)
NFL 4* (3-7-1)
Gold Sheet
NCAA Key Releases (30-19-0)
NFL Key Releases (20-20-0)
ITPB
NCAA (27-33-1)
NFL (10-10-0) (I believe this has literally gone 1-1 every week we've had it)
Kenny White
NCAA (0-0-0)
NFL (0-0-0)
Not every newsletter gets posted every week, and I'll try to note when the record doesn't include every week of the season.
Another note is that the grading is based on the line indicated in the newsletter at the time of publication, not the closing line. Many of these newsletters will claim a win against the best available line as it moves throughout the week, but these records reflect the outcome against the line they were willing to make a play on in their newsletter.
CKO (We haven't seen this one yet this season)
11* (0-0-0)
10* (0-0-0)
o/u (0-0-0)
Gridiron Gold Sheet (We've gotten this one only 7 weeks this season)
NCAA Best Bets (19-24-1)
NFL Best Bets (18-13-1)
Marc Lawrence's Playbook NCAA
5* (8-3-1)
4* (7-5-0)
3* (7-5-0)
Upset pick (4-8-0)
Betcha Didn't Know (8-4-0)
Awesome Angle (8-6-0)
Incredible Stat (6-3-1) (Arizona +7.5 pending for MNF)
Marc Lawrence's Playbook NFL
5* (6-4-1)
4* (4-6-1)
3* (5-5-1)
Pointwise NCAA
1* (9-15-0)
2* (5-6-1)
3* (6-5-1)
4* (9-15-0)
5* (13-10-1)
Pointwise NFL
3* (2-8-1)
4* (10-11-1)
5* (15-7-0)
Power Sweep NCAA
4* (2-9-0)
3* (8-14-0)
2* (14-8-0)
Underdog Play of the Week (8-3-0)
Tech Play of the Week (6-1-0)
Revenge Play of the Week (2-7-0)
Situational Play of the Week (3-4-0)
Series Play of the Week (4-5-0)
Power Sweep NFL
4* (5-6-0)
3* (5-6-0)
2* (4-6-1)
4* Pro Angle (0-6-0)
3* o/u play (7-4-0)
Powers' Picks NCAA
3* (11-5-1)
2* (21-18-0)
1* (1-0-0)
Powers' Picks NFL
4* (0-0-0)
3* (1-3-0)
2* (16-6-1) (SF -2 pending on a teaser for MNF)
1* (4-6-0)
Sports Reporter
NCAA Super Best Bets (0-0-0)
NCAA Best Bets (24-17-0)
NFL Super Best Bets (0-0-0)
NFL Best Bets (10-10-0)
Red Sheet (0-5 so far this week)
90* (0-1-0)
89* (11-11-0)
88* (22-20-0) (Arizona +8 pending for MNF)
Winning Points
NCAA 4* (8-4-0)
NCAA 3* (8-4-0)
NFL 4* (4-7-0)
NFL 3* (4-6-1)
Killer Sports, not including teasers (We haven't seen this one yet this season)
SBB 4.5* (0-0-0)
SBB 4* (0-0-0)
Cajun NCAA (0-0-0)
Pick 60 Play of the Week (0-0-0)
Victor Kings's Totals Tipsheet (0-4 overall this week, a rare bad year for this one)
3* (6-15-0)
2* (6-6-0)
Team Total of the Week (4-7-0)
Power Plays
NCAA 4.5* (12-20-1)
NCAA 4* (25-33-0)
NFL 4* (3-7-1)
Gold Sheet
NCAA Key Releases (30-19-0)
NFL Key Releases (20-20-0)
ITPB
NCAA (27-33-1)
NFL (10-10-0) (I believe this has literally gone 1-1 every week we've had it)
Kenny White
NCAA (0-0-0)
NFL (0-0-0)
Red Sheet Nov 22-28
KANSAS STATE 52 - Kansas 31 - (8:00 EST) -- Line opened at Kansas State minus 11½, and is still minus 11½. What
word pops to mind when discussing the college football fortunes of the Wildcats of Kansas State?
Well, for us it is "steady". Always there, always competitive. Currently on a 26-11-1 ATS run, with a
112-62 pt edge over their last 3 HGs, ranking 4th in turnover margin, & 17th in rushing, while cranking
up their overhead game the last 6 wks, Jayhawks were spread darlings, before a 98-42 pt deficit last
2 outings, following their bowl eligibility win over Oklahoma St. Yep, the Wildcats simply do it again.
RATING: KANSAS STATE 89
Central Florida 48 - SOUTH FLORIDA 24 - (7:00) -- Line opened at Central Florida minus 17½, and is now minus 19½.
Well, the high-flying Knights (7-1 run, including SU upset of Cincinnati), were brought down to earth
by always dangerous Navy last week, coming from a 798-339 rushing yd edge in their 3 previous
games, to a 248-83 overland deficit vs the Middies. Thus, even though they've already snagged bowl
eligibility, aren't about to take any opponent for granted, which includes these Bulls, who've moved it,
but still are in possession of the nation's "WORST" defense. This a Knight bouncebacker in style.
RATING: CENTRAL FLORIDA 89
PENN STATE 52 - Michigan State 17 - (4:00) -- Line opened at Penn St minus 7, and is now minus 18½. Are the Lions
doing, or what. Try 5 straight covers (+96 pts ATS), with 70-31 FD, 665-165 RY edges. Last week,
they turned a 10-7 deficit vs Rutgers, into a 55-10 win. Right, a 48-0 windup. As we noted on
Pointwise, the host in this series was absolute "money" for a dozen years. Things have changed, of
course, but the 10th-ranked Nits just continue on, while the Spartans are near the bottom 20% in 5-of6 "O" & "D" columns. All the pressure in this game will on the sporadic shoulders of the Spartans.
RATING: PENN STATE 88
IOWA 33 - Nebraska 13 - (4:00 Friday) -- Line opened at Iowa minus 3, and is now minus 10½. Some flukey line moves
this week, with this one among them. For awhile, it appeared as if the Hawkeyes might never score
after facing 3 patsies in their first 4 games (10 pts, or fewer in 3 of first 6). But they've turned it
around, with current 4-0 SU/ATS run, while ranking 6th in total defense, but 130th in total "O". Five
straight losses for the 'Huskers, & have been held to 14 pts, or fewer, in 6-of-8 games, & in off blowing
a 14-3 lead over Wisconsin in the 4th. Can't see any matching Cornhusker overland production.
RATING: IOWA 88
CLEMSON 45 - South Carolina 17 - (12:00) -- Line opened at Clemson minus 13½, and is now minus 14½. Perfect
spot for the Tigers to be catching the Gamecocks, who are in off the season's most shocking win, in
47½ pt cover, while upsetting the then 5th-ranked Tennessee Vols, by an unimaginable 63-38 final.
Thus, the "letdown" factor definitely comes into play, especially when taking on such a power as these
Tigers. Third straight home game for Clemson, which is in off 27-6 FD & 447-98 YD edges in
throttling of Miami. Last week's Gamecock success should only ignite this crowd to a fever pitch.
RATING: CLEMSON 88
SEATTLE 27 - Las Vegas 17 - (4:05) -- Line opened at Seattle minus 3½, and is still minus 3½. Sure, there are hotter
teams in the NFL (Titans: 8-0 ATS; Bengals: 7-1 ATS; Wash: 5-0-1 ATS; Pats: 6-1 ATS; etc), but
nothing wrong with the Seahawks' 4-1 spread run, missing by just 2½ loss to the Bucs in Germany.
They are tied with the Niners, atop the NFC West, & have covered their last 2 HGs by 12½ & 11 pts,
while ranking ahead of the Raiders in all but one prime stat column. The Raiders rank 27th in the NFL
in total "D", while searching for their first road win. And you can throw in the fact of LW's bye week.
RATING: SEATTLE 88
NEAR CHOICES (Rated 87): Oregon State, UCLA, LSU, Tennessee -- NFL: Minnesota, Tennessee, Pittsburgh
KANSAS STATE 52 - Kansas 31 - (8:00 EST) -- Line opened at Kansas State minus 11½, and is still minus 11½. What
word pops to mind when discussing the college football fortunes of the Wildcats of Kansas State?
Well, for us it is "steady". Always there, always competitive. Currently on a 26-11-1 ATS run, with a
112-62 pt edge over their last 3 HGs, ranking 4th in turnover margin, & 17th in rushing, while cranking
up their overhead game the last 6 wks, Jayhawks were spread darlings, before a 98-42 pt deficit last
2 outings, following their bowl eligibility win over Oklahoma St. Yep, the Wildcats simply do it again.
RATING: KANSAS STATE 89
Central Florida 48 - SOUTH FLORIDA 24 - (7:00) -- Line opened at Central Florida minus 17½, and is now minus 19½.
Well, the high-flying Knights (7-1 run, including SU upset of Cincinnati), were brought down to earth
by always dangerous Navy last week, coming from a 798-339 rushing yd edge in their 3 previous
games, to a 248-83 overland deficit vs the Middies. Thus, even though they've already snagged bowl
eligibility, aren't about to take any opponent for granted, which includes these Bulls, who've moved it,
but still are in possession of the nation's "WORST" defense. This a Knight bouncebacker in style.
RATING: CENTRAL FLORIDA 89
PENN STATE 52 - Michigan State 17 - (4:00) -- Line opened at Penn St minus 7, and is now minus 18½. Are the Lions
doing, or what. Try 5 straight covers (+96 pts ATS), with 70-31 FD, 665-165 RY edges. Last week,
they turned a 10-7 deficit vs Rutgers, into a 55-10 win. Right, a 48-0 windup. As we noted on
Pointwise, the host in this series was absolute "money" for a dozen years. Things have changed, of
course, but the 10th-ranked Nits just continue on, while the Spartans are near the bottom 20% in 5-of6 "O" & "D" columns. All the pressure in this game will on the sporadic shoulders of the Spartans.
RATING: PENN STATE 88
IOWA 33 - Nebraska 13 - (4:00 Friday) -- Line opened at Iowa minus 3, and is now minus 10½. Some flukey line moves
this week, with this one among them. For awhile, it appeared as if the Hawkeyes might never score
after facing 3 patsies in their first 4 games (10 pts, or fewer in 3 of first 6). But they've turned it
around, with current 4-0 SU/ATS run, while ranking 6th in total defense, but 130th in total "O". Five
straight losses for the 'Huskers, & have been held to 14 pts, or fewer, in 6-of-8 games, & in off blowing
a 14-3 lead over Wisconsin in the 4th. Can't see any matching Cornhusker overland production.
RATING: IOWA 88
CLEMSON 45 - South Carolina 17 - (12:00) -- Line opened at Clemson minus 13½, and is now minus 14½. Perfect
spot for the Tigers to be catching the Gamecocks, who are in off the season's most shocking win, in
47½ pt cover, while upsetting the then 5th-ranked Tennessee Vols, by an unimaginable 63-38 final.
Thus, the "letdown" factor definitely comes into play, especially when taking on such a power as these
Tigers. Third straight home game for Clemson, which is in off 27-6 FD & 447-98 YD edges in
throttling of Miami. Last week's Gamecock success should only ignite this crowd to a fever pitch.
RATING: CLEMSON 88
SEATTLE 27 - Las Vegas 17 - (4:05) -- Line opened at Seattle minus 3½, and is still minus 3½. Sure, there are hotter
teams in the NFL (Titans: 8-0 ATS; Bengals: 7-1 ATS; Wash: 5-0-1 ATS; Pats: 6-1 ATS; etc), but
nothing wrong with the Seahawks' 4-1 spread run, missing by just 2½ loss to the Bucs in Germany.
They are tied with the Niners, atop the NFC West, & have covered their last 2 HGs by 12½ & 11 pts,
while ranking ahead of the Raiders in all but one prime stat column. The Raiders rank 27th in the NFL
in total "D", while searching for their first road win. And you can throw in the fact of LW's bye week.
RATING: SEATTLE 88
NEAR CHOICES (Rated 87): Oregon State, UCLA, LSU, Tennessee -- NFL: Minnesota, Tennessee, Pittsburgh
