News and Notes

[NewYorkKnight]

Tom Izzo is 7-2 in the Elite 8 both SU and ATS. And when not favored, his teams are 4-1 (both SU and ATS).

1-11 vs. Krzyzewski

 

[NewYorkKnight]

Draft Kings Sportsbook

Great 8 public betting report


Purdue ... 54% $$ ... 64% Tickets

Over ... 58% $$ ... 77% Tickets


Gonzaga ... 66% $$ ... 59% Tickets

Over ... 52% $$ ... 57% Tickets

 

[NewYorkKnight]

Fading the public in the Great 8 since 2005:

Bet Labs

Less than 50% of bets: 33-20-2 ATS
<40% of bets: 11-5-1 ATS
<35% of bets: 4-0-1 ATS

 

[NewYorkKnight]

Underdogs in the Great 8 have gone 33-21-2 ATS since 2005 per Bet Labs

Purdue +4.5 vs. UVA
Texas Tech +5 vs. Zags
MSU +1.5 vs. Duke
Auburn +3 vs. UK

 

[NewYorkKnight]

Gonzaga is now favored to win the Tournament at multiple Vegas books


SuperBook ...

Gonzaga +250
Duke +275
Virginia +350
Michigan State 8-1
Kentucky 10-1
Purdue 12-1
Auburn, Texas Tech 14-1

 

[NewYorkKnight]

Still early, but as of right now the highest sharp concentration is on Gonzaga

Highest public concentration is Purdue

 

[NewYorkKnight]

Entering Great 8

Underdogs ... 30-26 ATS

Unders ... 28-26-2

 

[NewYorkKnight]

Historically, the Great 8 has been a great bet for underdogs


Faves records since 1996 in the Great 8 ...


Straight Up ... 52-40 (56.5%)
Against the spread ... 36-54-2 (40%)

 

[NewYorkKnight]

The Great 8 has been good for Over bettors in pastyears


The OVER/UNDER in the Great 8 since 1998


49-35 (58% OVERs)

 

[NewYorkKnight]

PointsBet Sportsbook

"We have received a five-figure bet on the Texas Tech v. Gonzaga under at 140"

Decent size wager for the small Jersey book

 

[NewYorkKnight]

Purdue scored 99 points in their Sweet 16 game against Tennessee

Since 2005, underdogs that scored 80+ pts in their previous game have gone 43-80-4 (35%) ATS in the tournament

 

[NewYorkKnight]

Eric Osterman, manager of The SuperBook

Afternoon report ...


“It’s been pretty one-sided" ...“We took quite a bit of action on Gonzaga at -4 before we went to 4.5. That includes a couple a pretty good-sized bets. Nothing huge, just consistent play on Gonzaga. We need the underdog right now.”



Wagering for this 8:49 p.m. ET tip ...

“We haven’t moved off 4.5, and the reason why is because we’re getting play on both sides" ... “We took one play on Purdue +4.5 from a guy we respect, but the public money is coming in on Virginia. It’s pretty even, as far as money is concerned.

“But it’s also pretty slow. I’m thinking this is one where people wait for the Gonzaga game to finish, then rush to the counter to bet this game.”

 

[NewYorkKnight]

CG Technology

Just took $20,000 on Texas Tech +4.5 vs. Gonzaga

 

[jasonc69]

CG Technology

Just took $20,000 on Texas Tech +4.5 vs. Gonzaga

Are they usually a follow or fade? Can Tech keep up?

 

[NewYorkKnight]

It's just info ... Wager placed by recreational bettor

 

[NewYorkKnight]

1-11 vs. Krzyzewski

Coach K is 11-1 straight up against Izzo ... winning by 8.1 points per game

6-6 ATS

 

[NewYorkKnight]

CG Technology

Took a $20,000 wager on Virginia -4.5 vs. Purdue

 

[Enfuego]

Thanks for the assist NYK!

 

[Enfuego]

[FONT=&quot]Hey Texas Tech, guess what Mr. Poison just did??? He took Gonzaga -4.5 for $153K to win $150K! Congratulations! Looks like you are headed to the [/FONT][FONT=&quot]#FinalFour[/FONT]

 

[Enfuego]

[FONT=&quot]How is Mr. Poison doing in the tournament overall? He is 2-0 on totals and 3-14 on sides! Yes, that's a win percentage of 100% on totals and 17.6% on sides! Just in the tournament the fade of Mr. Poison is 74%![/FONT]