New York Mets at Philadelphia Phillies (7/3/09)

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GoBucksGoOHIO

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Jun 29, 2009
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another free play by nova, posted on sports2debate.com. he won the last 2 days on baseball picks and i cashed in. enjoy!

New York Mets at Philadelphia Phillies (7/3/09)

New York Mets at Philadelphia Phillies (-152) 7:05 pm EST
Pick: Phillies (-152 ML)

Units Risked: 2
Reason:
Well last night we saw the old John Lackey, and he cashed our tickets for another winner and our second straight July winner. Tonight we are looking for more.
Tonight our play takes us to Philadelphia. We have two teams battling it out in the NL East race, and neither team is playing good baseball. The Phillies just got swept away by the Atlanta Braves, and while the Mets did beat the Pirates and have a two game winning streak. Yes that's right they beat the Pirates, so let's not throw a parade just yet.
So why am I on this game and the Phillies who are struggling? Simple.....On Friday night, the slumping Phillies will try to avoid their first seven-game home skid in nearly five year. And they will do so against a team that they flat out OWN.
Livan Hernandez gets the start for the Mets tonight. Hernandez (5-3, 4.04 ERA) will face the Phillies for the first time in a Mets uniform. Hernandez is 0-2 in his last three starts. Now here is the interesting part. The Phils are in need of a starter for tonight so they have called up Rodrigo Lopez from Triple A. Lopez was summoned for his first major league start since July 26, 2007 when he was with Colorado.
Lopez had Tommy John surgery a month later, and spent last season recovering. The right-hander went 5-4 with a 3.91 ERA in 13 starts with Triple-A Lehigh Valley, and is 65-65 with a 4.80 ERA in a seven-year major league career.
And Lopez is a -152 FAVORITE? This line smells off to me, and while I know the Phils are at home we already discussed that they dropped 6 straight there, and they just got swept. They have no business being a -152 favorite tonight, and for that reason I am on them.
 

jdigae01

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Dec 1, 2006
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line dropped a little bit to -150 but still dont think the phillies should be a favorite that high in this spot.

ill tail it for a unit.
 

SizzleChest

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Feb 28, 2006
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"And Lopez is a -152 FAVORITE? This line smells off to me, and while I know the Phils are at home we already discussed that they dropped 6 straight there, and they just got swept. They have no business being a -152 favorite tonight, and for that reason I am on them"

You have a great point here. I believe this line was set before Lopez was even named to start tonight. And of course coming off the poor showing in Atlanta they just had, why would a team who is not very strong at home be favored to a perennial power in the Mets by that much???

Good call here...and I should've sniffed it out myself.
 

DChosta

"Sit on mah lap!"
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Jun 19, 2006
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3,422
whew mama, hot play today.. couldn't force myself to play it with the amount of juice though.. congrats!
 

jdigae01

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Dec 1, 2006
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2,429
thanks for the winner gobucks!!!!! never in doubt. those are the ones we love.
 

knighty

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Jun 4, 2009
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That fucking Mets fucked up my parlay beating Pitt yesterday and when I picked them to win against Pil they lose like there is no fucking tommorow...unfucking real man.
 

GoBucksGoOHIO

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Jun 29, 2009
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A little pre 4th of July fireworks on this one. i love gettin an early huge lead on my bets, best feeling in the world
 

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