Anthony Redd
Anthony Redd Thursday's Card 75-Dime - Stanford
40-Dime - Stanford (1st Half)
20-Dime - Iowa State
BOUGHT,PAID AND CONFIRMED------GL GUYS
Anthony Redd Thursday's Card 75-Dime - Stanford
40-Dime - Stanford (1st Half)
20-Dime - Iowa State
BOUGHT,PAID AND CONFIRMED------GL GUYS
MREAST NCAAB THURSDAY BLAST
Golden Panthers have just 4 wins to show for 15 games on the season, but have played 11 on the road, including the last 7. The win column remains thin, but closer look shows they are playing better than the oddsmakers expect, as theyhave covered each of their last 5. They finally get a team at home they can matchup with. Jags off of impressive road win at Florida, likely to be flat as a pancake for this one, and despite of it, are just 3-8 ATS on the season, and have not worn the favorite hat well, at just 6-20 ATS, and also 2-9 ATS in their last 11 vs a tam with a losing record. I'll go with Florida International here.
#513 SOUTH ALABAMA JAGUARS @ #514 FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL GOLDEN PANTHERS 12PM EST
PLAY ON #514 FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL GOLDEN PANTHERS +4 -110 FOR 3 UNITS
Golden Panthers have just 4 wins to show for 15 games on the season, but have played 11 on the road, including the last 7. The win column remains thin, but closer look shows they are playing better than the oddsmakers expect, as theyhave covered each of their last 5. They finally get a team at home they can matchup with. Jags off of impressive road win at Florida, likely to be flat as a pancake for this one, and despite of it, are just 3-8 ATS on the season, and have not worn the favorite hat well, at just 6-20 ATS, and also 2-9 ATS in their last 11 vs a tam with a losing record. I'll go with Florida International here.
#513 SOUTH ALABAMA JAGUARS @ #514 FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL GOLDEN PANTHERS 12PM EST
PLAY ON #514 FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL GOLDEN PANTHERS +4 -110 FOR 3 UNITS
SPORTS WAGERS
Air Force +4½ over HOUSTON
Cougar backers beware. This is the first game of the day in what is surely to be an exciting day for backers. This game is going to be on the front end of a ton of parlays and the books are always especially sharp in this situation. So, what we have here is the high flying Cougars, playing in Texas as a 4½-point choice. No doubt the Cougars are the popular pick, as they’re a team loaded with offe3nsive weapons starting with a QB that has put up monster numbers. Houston also went an impressive 10-3 overall and 6-2 in the conference. They also had a big win over then #5 Oklahoma St, 45-35. However, they also had some disturbing losses against UTEP and UCF, not to mention dropping the C-USA championship game against East Carolina. So, yeah, they’re a decent team with a great offense. However, they’re defense leaves plenty to be desired and these Falcons are no pushovers. They had a chance to beat the Cougars last season in this very same Bowl game but just fell short by six. Air Force had some notable games in its schedule, including three losses to ranked teams. They lost to #10 TCU by just three points, to #18 Utah by just a TD and although they lost by 17 to BYU, they still played well, especially in the second half. They also took Navy to OT in Annapolis early in the year before losing 16-13 and its other loss came in Minnesota 20-13. That’s five “good losses” for this squad and they’re a lot more battle tested than this Cougar team, who played a ton a very easy schedule. Anyway, this is the classic battle between the tortoise and the hare and we all know who wins that test. The Falcons are disciplined, methodical, play great D, while the Cougars are reckless, fast and will put up close to 55 passes in this one. Even more than that however, is the “trap” line set by the books that has everyone on the Cougars and that’s the biggest red flag of them all. Play: Air Force +4½ (Risking 2.08 units to win 2).
Iowa St +1.13 over Minnesota
Both these teams just got in by winning six games but the Cyclones losses were a lot more impressive. Iowa St. also played in the offensive oriented Big-12 and held its opponents to an average of just 21 points per game. That’s significant because after playing the likes of Oklahoma St., Kansas, K-State, Texas A&M and Missouri to name a few, playing these Gophers should appear in slow motion for them. The Gophers have virtually no running game and would have trouble moving the ball against the marching band. They were walloped by just about every good team they played and had some narrow wins against some bad teams. The Cyclones didn’t do a whole lot better, however, they do possess a very decent running game and should be able to put up some points against this very mediocre defense. Play: Iowa St +1.13 (Risking 2 units).
Oklahoma –9 over Stanford
Wow, speaking of “odd” lines, this one seems a little strange indeed. Here we have the 19th ranked Cardinal a 9½-point pup against the unranked Sooners and that alone is an oddity for sure. It even makes less sense when you consider that the Sooners are without its leader Sam Bradford and although he missed most of the year anyway, most believe that’s why the Sooners finished a very disappointing 7-5 on the year when they were supposed to be National Title contenders. So, the next question is why are the Sooners such a high favorite? I can’t answer that but I do know that the oddsmakers do not make bad lines in these highly bet and watched games. The inclination would be to take the points but the line is too appealing and that alone makes the Sooners a play. Despite the average year in terms of wins, Oklahoma still has a tremendous defense, especially against the run and that’s Stanford’s strong suit. If the Cardinal can’t run they could run into big trouble here and that’s something to keep an eye on. The Sooners allowed the opposition an average of just 13½ points per game and that’s incredible when you consider the offensive minded teams they played. They also beat Oklahoma St. 27-0 in the final game of the year and that’s a score and a significant win. Most will be taking the points here, that’s a gimme and anytime you’re on the opposite side of the public, it usually works out well. Again, the points here are TOO appealing and that’s a big red flag. Play: Oklahoma -9½ (Risking 2.2 units to win 2).
Air Force +4½ over HOUSTON
Cougar backers beware. This is the first game of the day in what is surely to be an exciting day for backers. This game is going to be on the front end of a ton of parlays and the books are always especially sharp in this situation. So, what we have here is the high flying Cougars, playing in Texas as a 4½-point choice. No doubt the Cougars are the popular pick, as they’re a team loaded with offe3nsive weapons starting with a QB that has put up monster numbers. Houston also went an impressive 10-3 overall and 6-2 in the conference. They also had a big win over then #5 Oklahoma St, 45-35. However, they also had some disturbing losses against UTEP and UCF, not to mention dropping the C-USA championship game against East Carolina. So, yeah, they’re a decent team with a great offense. However, they’re defense leaves plenty to be desired and these Falcons are no pushovers. They had a chance to beat the Cougars last season in this very same Bowl game but just fell short by six. Air Force had some notable games in its schedule, including three losses to ranked teams. They lost to #10 TCU by just three points, to #18 Utah by just a TD and although they lost by 17 to BYU, they still played well, especially in the second half. They also took Navy to OT in Annapolis early in the year before losing 16-13 and its other loss came in Minnesota 20-13. That’s five “good losses” for this squad and they’re a lot more battle tested than this Cougar team, who played a ton a very easy schedule. Anyway, this is the classic battle between the tortoise and the hare and we all know who wins that test. The Falcons are disciplined, methodical, play great D, while the Cougars are reckless, fast and will put up close to 55 passes in this one. Even more than that however, is the “trap” line set by the books that has everyone on the Cougars and that’s the biggest red flag of them all. Play: Air Force +4½ (Risking 2.08 units to win 2).
Iowa St +1.13 over Minnesota
Both these teams just got in by winning six games but the Cyclones losses were a lot more impressive. Iowa St. also played in the offensive oriented Big-12 and held its opponents to an average of just 21 points per game. That’s significant because after playing the likes of Oklahoma St., Kansas, K-State, Texas A&M and Missouri to name a few, playing these Gophers should appear in slow motion for them. The Gophers have virtually no running game and would have trouble moving the ball against the marching band. They were walloped by just about every good team they played and had some narrow wins against some bad teams. The Cyclones didn’t do a whole lot better, however, they do possess a very decent running game and should be able to put up some points against this very mediocre defense. Play: Iowa St +1.13 (Risking 2 units).
Oklahoma –9 over Stanford
Wow, speaking of “odd” lines, this one seems a little strange indeed. Here we have the 19th ranked Cardinal a 9½-point pup against the unranked Sooners and that alone is an oddity for sure. It even makes less sense when you consider that the Sooners are without its leader Sam Bradford and although he missed most of the year anyway, most believe that’s why the Sooners finished a very disappointing 7-5 on the year when they were supposed to be National Title contenders. So, the next question is why are the Sooners such a high favorite? I can’t answer that but I do know that the oddsmakers do not make bad lines in these highly bet and watched games. The inclination would be to take the points but the line is too appealing and that alone makes the Sooners a play. Despite the average year in terms of wins, Oklahoma still has a tremendous defense, especially against the run and that’s Stanford’s strong suit. If the Cardinal can’t run they could run into big trouble here and that’s something to keep an eye on. The Sooners allowed the opposition an average of just 13½ points per game and that’s incredible when you consider the offensive minded teams they played. They also beat Oklahoma St. 27-0 in the final game of the year and that’s a score and a significant win. Most will be taking the points here, that’s a gimme and anytime you’re on the opposite side of the public, it usually works out well. Again, the points here are TOO appealing and that’s a big red flag. Play: Oklahoma -9½ (Risking 2.2 units to win 2).
Dave Cokin
Take " (233) AIR FORCE "
I was hoping these two teams would match up in a bowl game, as I was looking for one more chance to fade Houston in the right spot and I believe this is it. The Cougars are an exciting team and there's no doubt they have an imposing aerial attack that can score on anyone. But Houston is still a badly flawed squad as they are absolutely porous defensively and their total inability to stop any decent running game has caused them big problems down the stretch this season. That sets Air Force and its option game up for a big day, and that also likely means less time on the field for the Houston offense as the Falcons should be able to put together time consuming and productive drives against Houston. That's just the fundamental setup for this game. There are several other variables worth mentioning. You'll rarely see a bowl team that allows in excess of 200 rushing yards per game as Houston does. Those teams make poor bowl favorites, and it gets even more lopsided when the opponent rushes for better than 200 ypg as Air Force does. It's a revenge game for the Falcons as they lost a close decision to Houston in a 2008 bowl game. Plus, Houston is now favored in a bowl after losing their conference title game as chalk, and teams in that scenario have definitely been worth fading. I see this as a great spot for the underdog, and I'm eagerly grabbing the points with Air Force for my Bowl Game of the Year!
Take " (233) AIR FORCE "
I was hoping these two teams would match up in a bowl game, as I was looking for one more chance to fade Houston in the right spot and I believe this is it. The Cougars are an exciting team and there's no doubt they have an imposing aerial attack that can score on anyone. But Houston is still a badly flawed squad as they are absolutely porous defensively and their total inability to stop any decent running game has caused them big problems down the stretch this season. That sets Air Force and its option game up for a big day, and that also likely means less time on the field for the Houston offense as the Falcons should be able to put together time consuming and productive drives against Houston. That's just the fundamental setup for this game. There are several other variables worth mentioning. You'll rarely see a bowl team that allows in excess of 200 rushing yards per game as Houston does. Those teams make poor bowl favorites, and it gets even more lopsided when the opponent rushes for better than 200 ypg as Air Force does. It's a revenge game for the Falcons as they lost a close decision to Houston in a 2008 bowl game. Plus, Houston is now favored in a bowl after losing their conference title game as chalk, and teams in that scenario have definitely been worth fading. I see this as a great spot for the underdog, and I'm eagerly grabbing the points with Air Force for my Bowl Game of the Year!
TONY GEORGE
Mizzou -6.5
Big number but Missouri after early season setbacks, came on strong and have not lost since QB Gabberts ankle healed. Not sold on Navy or a weak Schedule or season ending wins against Notre Dame and or Army. Navy is one dimensional with running the ball and Mizzou a…nd LB Witherspoon adept at stopping the run allowing less than 3 yards per carry in the tough Big 12. Mizzou gets up early with quick strike offense, and a decent running game with a well oiled spread attack unlike any Navy has seen all year, and Navy cannot play from behind with just 75 yards passing through the air. Mizzou better than their record shows, and QB Gabbert 23 TDs against 7 picks through the air…Mizzou pulls away late, 10-13 point winner. Mizzou is up for this game.
Play 1 Unit on Mizzou
Houston -4.5
Have to go with a… team who averages 14 ppg more than Air Force. QB Keenum is the real deal with 5400 yds passing , 43 TDs and only p picks all year. Resp[ect Air Force attack but Houston playing in Ft. Worth in this game, lots of fans there, and Air Force has not seen an offense resembling this all year. Neither defense very good so you look at the offenses and the QB and see which one is better, and that is all Houston, who is not happy losing to East Carolina in the Conf. USA Championship and want to make a showing here. They are 7-10 points better..line under a TD, I am taking it.
Play 1 Unit on Houston
UNDER 48.5 Iowa State / Minnesota
Both teams in their last 5 games allowed just 16 ppg on defense. Minnys deep threat WR Decker out with injury, a huge blow for them stretching the field vertically. ISU can play defense and both teams will eat clock with their controlled and balances offense’s. I do not see a shootou…t here at all. 20-16 type ballgame. Neither team allows much on the ground and Minny cannot run it so expect ISU to tee off on the QB..lots of 3 and outs on both sides of the ball.
Play 1 Unit on the UNDER
Mizzou -6.5
Big number but Missouri after early season setbacks, came on strong and have not lost since QB Gabberts ankle healed. Not sold on Navy or a weak Schedule or season ending wins against Notre Dame and or Army. Navy is one dimensional with running the ball and Mizzou a…nd LB Witherspoon adept at stopping the run allowing less than 3 yards per carry in the tough Big 12. Mizzou gets up early with quick strike offense, and a decent running game with a well oiled spread attack unlike any Navy has seen all year, and Navy cannot play from behind with just 75 yards passing through the air. Mizzou better than their record shows, and QB Gabbert 23 TDs against 7 picks through the air…Mizzou pulls away late, 10-13 point winner. Mizzou is up for this game.
Play 1 Unit on Mizzou
Houston -4.5
Have to go with a… team who averages 14 ppg more than Air Force. QB Keenum is the real deal with 5400 yds passing , 43 TDs and only p picks all year. Resp[ect Air Force attack but Houston playing in Ft. Worth in this game, lots of fans there, and Air Force has not seen an offense resembling this all year. Neither defense very good so you look at the offenses and the QB and see which one is better, and that is all Houston, who is not happy losing to East Carolina in the Conf. USA Championship and want to make a showing here. They are 7-10 points better..line under a TD, I am taking it.
Play 1 Unit on Houston
UNDER 48.5 Iowa State / Minnesota
Both teams in their last 5 games allowed just 16 ppg on defense. Minnys deep threat WR Decker out with injury, a huge blow for them stretching the field vertically. ISU can play defense and both teams will eat clock with their controlled and balances offense’s. I do not see a shootou…t here at all. 20-16 type ballgame. Neither team allows much on the ground and Minny cannot run it so expect ISU to tee off on the QB..lots of 3 and outs on both sides of the ball.
Play 1 Unit on the UNDER
Nick "BookieKiller" Parsons
NAVY +6.5
The nation’s fourth-best rushing offense has guided Navy to its most victories in three seasons.
Navy averages 272.5 yards on the ground via an option offense led by talented junior quarterback Ricky Dobbs; Dobbs, who’s rushed for 1,037 yards, set an NCAA single-season record for rushing TD's by a quarterback with 24 after scoring once in a 17-3 win over rival Army on Dec. 12.
The Midshipmen are 8-2 SU their last ten overall.
On the other side of the field: Trying for a third consecutive bowl victory, the Tigers hoped to be headed to a more prestigious postseason destination after starting 4-0. Three straight defeats to ranked teams Nebraska, Oklahoma State and Texas during a stretch of four losses in five games, however, ended their chances of a Big 12 North Division title and BCS bowl bid.
With the nation’s 13th-ranked passing offense (285.0 yards per game), Missouri averaged 36.2 points while winning four of five after being held to 36 total points during its three-game losing streak.
Remember though, Missouri is a poor 2-6 ATS its last eight overall.
Bottom line: Despite his individual record-breaking season, Dobbs is more concerned with the success of the Midshipman, who haven’t had a 10-win season since 2004.
“Team success is the most important record,” said Dobbs, who’s averaging 110.5 rushing yards in his last four games. “This record belongs to the offensive line and the fullbacks that block.”
With a "mind set" like that, and behind a big running game, look for NAVY to improve to 4-1 ATS this season when playing the roll of underdog and for Missouri to fall to 3-5 ATS when playing the roll of favorite!
*8* NAVY.
NAVY +6.5
The nation’s fourth-best rushing offense has guided Navy to its most victories in three seasons.
Navy averages 272.5 yards on the ground via an option offense led by talented junior quarterback Ricky Dobbs; Dobbs, who’s rushed for 1,037 yards, set an NCAA single-season record for rushing TD's by a quarterback with 24 after scoring once in a 17-3 win over rival Army on Dec. 12.
The Midshipmen are 8-2 SU their last ten overall.
On the other side of the field: Trying for a third consecutive bowl victory, the Tigers hoped to be headed to a more prestigious postseason destination after starting 4-0. Three straight defeats to ranked teams Nebraska, Oklahoma State and Texas during a stretch of four losses in five games, however, ended their chances of a Big 12 North Division title and BCS bowl bid.
With the nation’s 13th-ranked passing offense (285.0 yards per game), Missouri averaged 36.2 points while winning four of five after being held to 36 total points during its three-game losing streak.
Remember though, Missouri is a poor 2-6 ATS its last eight overall.
Bottom line: Despite his individual record-breaking season, Dobbs is more concerned with the success of the Midshipman, who haven’t had a 10-win season since 2004.
“Team success is the most important record,” said Dobbs, who’s averaging 110.5 rushing yards in his last four games. “This record belongs to the offensive line and the fullbacks that block.”
With a "mind set" like that, and behind a big running game, look for NAVY to improve to 4-1 ATS this season when playing the roll of underdog and for Missouri to fall to 3-5 ATS when playing the roll of favorite!
*8* NAVY.
Evan Altemus
IOWA STATE +2.5
Minnesota will be without star wide receiver Eric Decker for this game, which is a huge blow to the Gophers offense. They struggled late in the season without him in the line-up, as they don’t have many weapons on offense. The motivational edge in this game is clearly on the side of Iowa State in this game. They haven’t been to a bowl game in several years, so they will be very fired up to play against Minnesota. Meanwhile, the Gophers have been to a few bowls recently, so they won’t be as motivated to play in this game. Iowa State had to deal with injuries throughout the season, including to their starting quarterback, which effected how well the offense could have performed. Therefore, I feel that the Cyclones are slightly undervalued here. Minnesota’s offense has been fairly anemic at times this season, but their defensive statistics have been fairly decent. However, those good statistics came against some very weak offenses in the Big 10 Conference. Iowa State’s poor defensive statistics are slightly misleading because of the potent offenses they have had to face this season. Iowa State will win this game comfortably with their edges in motivation and match-ups.
5 UNIT SELECTION IOWA STATE.
IOWA STATE +2.5
Minnesota will be without star wide receiver Eric Decker for this game, which is a huge blow to the Gophers offense. They struggled late in the season without him in the line-up, as they don’t have many weapons on offense. The motivational edge in this game is clearly on the side of Iowa State in this game. They haven’t been to a bowl game in several years, so they will be very fired up to play against Minnesota. Meanwhile, the Gophers have been to a few bowls recently, so they won’t be as motivated to play in this game. Iowa State had to deal with injuries throughout the season, including to their starting quarterback, which effected how well the offense could have performed. Therefore, I feel that the Cyclones are slightly undervalued here. Minnesota’s offense has been fairly anemic at times this season, but their defensive statistics have been fairly decent. However, those good statistics came against some very weak offenses in the Big 10 Conference. Iowa State’s poor defensive statistics are slightly misleading because of the potent offenses they have had to face this season. Iowa State will win this game comfortably with their edges in motivation and match-ups.
5 UNIT SELECTION IOWA STATE.
Bob Balfe
IOWA STATE +2.5
The Gophers got a new stadium this year and things look promising for this offense. Senior QB Adam Weber has not had a good year and ever since they lost Decker the offense has done nothing. This team almost lost to South Dakota State at home in their new multi million dollar stadium just weeks ago. I cant say great things about Iowa State either and these teams are evenly matched. The edge has to go to the dog who is better in the turnover department and actually had a big win due to that winning in Lincoln against a very good Nebraska team. Take Iowa State.
IOWA STATE +2.5
The Gophers got a new stadium this year and things look promising for this offense. Senior QB Adam Weber has not had a good year and ever since they lost Decker the offense has done nothing. This team almost lost to South Dakota State at home in their new multi million dollar stadium just weeks ago. I cant say great things about Iowa State either and these teams are evenly matched. The edge has to go to the dog who is better in the turnover department and actually had a big win due to that winning in Lincoln against a very good Nebraska team. Take Iowa State.
