New Year's Eve ~ Bucking the 80% Trend

[StatsAnalytics]

Over the last 3 NBA Seasons on New Year's Eve (small sample size), here are the ATS Results for the Away Teams:

2018 Away Teams ATS: 7-1 (88%)
2017 Away Teams ATS: 5-1 (83%)
2016 Away Teams ATS: 4-2 (67%)

Overall Away Teams ATS L/3 Seasons: 16-4 (80%)

Does this tell us anything and if so, what? Could this just perhaps be random? Could this mean the Home Teams have other things (New Year's Eve Parties, Family plans, etc..) on their mind? I tend to side with the random theory based on the small sample size but I do believe this trend over the L/3 season is worth mentioning and I'd like to know what everyone thinks. In any event......I'm going to buck the trend with my ATS pick tonight:


New Year's Eve Picks
Risked 1.07 units to win 1 Phoenix Suns +11 -107 vs Golden State Warriors ----> Bucking the Trend

Risked 1.05 units to win 1 UNDER 228.5 -105 vs New Orleans Pelicans

 

[exploited17]

I wouldn't say it is considering it is a home dog getting DD.
Anyway....went back to 2013 and it seems these games are underdog winners or blowouts at home. Not much in between as far as barely covers Pick the winner you get the game

 

[StatsAnalytics]

I wouldn't say it is considering it is a home dog getting DD.
Anyway....went back to 2013 and it seems these games are underdog winners or blowouts at home. Not much in between as far as barely covers Pick the winner you get the game

Thanks for the research and of course we can always data mine and drilldown even further to quantify specific situations but because of the small sample size to begin with, I just kept it at a high level. Very hard trigger to pull on the Suns (ML) over the Warriors though, but at +435 maybe it's worth a 1/2 unit or so. Do you know the record and profit since 2013?