New Polling Date- Not looking good for Mccain

[primetime21+]

Aside from one poll showing Obama with a 1 point lead, the other polls are all 4 points to 14 points for Obama. When is Mccain going to make that move that the right wingers were predicting a month ago?

Polling Data

<table class="data"><tbody><tr><th class="noCenter">Poll</th><th class="date">Date</th><th>Sample</th><th>MoE</th><th>Obama (D)</th><th>McCain (R)</th><th class="spread">Spread</th></tr><tr class="rcpAvg"><td class="noCenter">RCP Average</td><td>10/14 - 10/20</td><td>--</td><td>--</td><td>50.1</td><td>43.2</td><td class="spread">Obama +6.9</td></tr><tr class="alt"><td class="noCenter">Rasmussen Reports</td><td>10/18 - 10/20</td><td>3000 LV</td><td>2.0</td><td>50</td><td>46</td><td class="spread">Obama +4</td></tr><tr><td class="noCenter">Reuters/C-SPAN/Zogby</td><td>10/18 - 10/20</td><td>1211 LV</td><td>2.9</td><td>50</td><td>42</td><td class="spread">Obama +8</td></tr><tr class="alt"><td class="noCenter">Hotline/FD</td><td>10/18 - 10/20</td><td>791 LV</td><td>3.5</td><td>47</td><td>41</td><td class="spread">Obama +6</td></tr><tr><td class="noCenter">Gallup (Traditional)*</td><td>10/18 - 10/20</td><td>2384 LV</td><td>2.0</td><td>51</td><td>44</td><td class="spread">Obama +7</td></tr><tr class="alt"><td class="noCenter">Gallup (Expanded)*</td><td>10/18 - 10/20</td><td>2299 LV</td><td>2.0</td><td>52</td><td>42</td><td class="spread">Obama +10</td></tr><tr><td class="noCenter">ABC News/Wash Post</td><td>10/17 - 10/20</td><td>1324 LV</td><td>2.5</td><td>53</td><td>44</td><td class="spread">Obama +9</td></tr><tr class="alt"><td class="noCenter">CNN/Opinion Research</td><td>10/17 - 10/19</td><td>764 LV</td><td>3.5</td><td>51</td><td>46</td><td class="spread">Obama +5</td></tr><tr><td class="noCenter">IBD/TIPP</td><td>10/16 - 10/20</td><td>1088 LV</td><td>3.0</td><td>47</td><td>41</td><td class="spread">Obama +6</td></tr><tr class="alt"><td class="noCenter">Pew Research</td><td>10/16 - 10/19</td><td>2382 LV</td><td>--</td><td>53</td><td>39</td><td class="spread">Obama +14</td></tr><tr><td class="noCenter">GWU/Battleground</td><td>10/14 - 10/20</td><td>1000 LV</td><td>3.1</td><td>48</td><td>47</td><td class="spread">Obama +1</td></tr></tbody></table>

 

[Sekrah]

Great, more fradulant polls giving Democrats a double digit edge in voter turnout.

You're going to be very disappointed in a couple weeks.

 

[DonDotta27]

?? He gained some ground +1 or +4 is like a dead even tie even between 6-10 is still ok for mccain

 

[D2bets]

Great, more fradulant polls giving Democrats a double digit edge in voter turnout.

You're going to be very disappointed in a couple weeks.

Wanna bet on that?

 

[primetime21+]

Great, more fradulant polls giving Democrats a double digit edge in voter turnout.

You're going to be very disappointed in a couple weeks.

Zogby's poll uses the polling data from 2004 to set the party weightings. So they do not have a strong democrat lean. In fact they have a strong republican lean. what does that mean? Well since Zogby has Obama with an 8 point lead, the republicans would have to have a turnout that FAR exceeded what they did in 2004. And since all the studies point to a heavier democrat turnout, it is safe to assume that Obama's numbers are even better than the 8 percent Zogby shows.

The same can be said with the Gallup Traditional poll which should be the more favorable for mccain. In that poll Obama has a 7 point lead.

So the only dissapointment will be if Obama does not win in a landslide.

 

[primetime21+]

?? He gained some ground +1 or +4 is like a dead even tie even between 6-10 is still ok for mccain

When you have 10-15 polls, you would hope that at least 1 or 2 show the race within reach from day to day. They are called statistical outliers. Heck some polls show the race at 14. Does anyone think that Obama really has a 14 point lead? The reality is somewhere in the middle. And if that is true, the result will be an Obama 6-8 point win, which is in effect a landslide.

And how is between 6 and 10 still ok for mccain? There are 2 weeks left. We have been hearing about this coming surge in the polls for mccain and it has never materialized.