New IC Thread - Thru MM

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Let's get another one started:

Plays for Purchase as of Sunday
4* NBA (POD): Magic vs. Celtics (1pm)
4*CBB (POD): Northern Illinois vs. Toledo (2pm)
 

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INDIAN COWBOY

4 Unit Play. Take Over 197.5 between Orlando Magic @ Boston Celtics (Sunday @ 1pm est). Let's take the Over in the NBA today as we look for the Winning Week and our 9th winning week of the last 11. We are 3-3 on the week as I would love to go 4-3 on the week squeezing out a profit in our flat betting while going 5-2 in college hoops today with our winner there for an overall week of 9-5. There is a reason I waited as long as I could to release this play as we get a far better number than the opening price as we get this total at 197.5. What the public remembers in this game is the last contest in which Boston went on the road to defeat this team 90-80. But, there are some key differences in that contest. For starters, Boston was on the road and defense had to be their calling card if they were going to win and they had Garnett in that game. They do not have him this game. Boston without Garnett has been scoring far more points if you have noticed as well. For example, the Cleveland game showed this when the final score was 105-94. If Boston can drop 105 points on the Cavs at home, they can certainly drop that and more against the Magic. Tack on the fact that 72% are on the home favorite here in the Celtics, the Magic having revenge and likely to be an active dog as there is a reason why the line is just +3, you will likely see just that - an active dog and an Over. I actually think the Magic win this game SU but betting against Boston in beantown is suicidal so let's just take the Over and call it a day shall we? We have Orlando with revenge and consequently will look to exceed the total as an active dog, the public likely gets buried which is further indication that Orlando exceeds expectations, the Orlando vs. Chicago game total was 222 and the Bulls attempt to be a defensive team, the Celtics and Pistons even scored 200 in Beantown and there is no reason why the total cannot exceed 200, nevertheless 197.5. The over is 8-2 for the Magic after an ATS loss, the over is 4-1 for the Magic the last 5 road contests and the over is 4-0 for Boston when they play winning teams at home indicative competitive games that go over the posted total for Boston without Garnett
 

OpW

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4 Unit Play. #826. Take Toledo -4 over Northern Illinois (Sunday @ 2pm est). Congrats on yet another winning week in college hoops. We went 4-2 overall in hoops this week as we look to go 5-2 on the week. There is a big difference between 5-2 and 4-3 and given that we hit Kansas yesterday and have won back to back weeks in hoops, I feel good about today. The Rockets of Toledo was not a hard pick for the POD today. Keep in mind they have just 6 wins this year - but all come at home. Yes, Northern Illinois is a team that has 10 wins, but did you know they have yet to win a conference game on the road this year? Remember, Northern Illinois is a team that has 5 conference wins as compared to Toledo that has just 4 conference wins. But, Northern Illinois is a completely different team on the road. NI shoots just a clip over 58% from the Free Throw line overall and when on the highway, they simply do not get the calls. Tack on the fact that Toledo gets the home cooking calls today, has revenge from an ugly 51-75 loss earlier this year, this makes out to be a similar game for us when we took Columbia over Princeton earlier this week in college. Remember, Toledo shoots 64% from the line which although is not great, is sufficient enough and better than NI for certain. Toledo has some quality wins at home this year and they have defeated even better ranking teams than Northern Illinois. This includes wins over Western Michigan at home, Ball State at home, Central Michigan at home and Eastern Michigan at home. In short, these are all teams around the 225 to 260 range that Toledo has taken care of when they are on their home court. Having said this, NI is a team that has a power ranking over 280. Plus, on the road this, team has a power ranking outside the top 300. In short, let's take the team in Toledo who has a great deal of revenge, is at home for Senior Day, shoots better free throws, comes home after a tough loss to Central Michigan on the road and has beaten even better teams at home than Northern Illinois so this is a game they likely win by a 10-12 point margin in my opinion. NI has yet to win a conference road game this year once again and are 0-7 ATS as road underdogs so why do we expect that to change on the last regular season game of the year for them? The Rockets have covered their last 5 contests as a favorite.
 

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nothing is worse than a suckass cap from the get go. this game tracked under from the tip. never even a chance.
 

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nothing is worse than a suckass cap from the get go. this game tracked under from the tip. never even a chance.

Please keep the thread to posting his picks. With all due respect MJ we've done fine without derogatoray comments. The guy made money for us in January and February and he has done so in March. I have no idea where you are coming off making those comments. It's always been about the long-term with this guy. He even talks about Orlando winning outright I have no idea why he just didn't go with the Magic.
 

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lol don't get this guy confused with the mj that posts computer plays

juice you are right man! I saw the post count later and was like it's not the guy who is hot in hoops in the forum. :laugh:

I have IC 5-2 for the week in college and 3-4 in the nba for 8-6. Guess its better than losing. We got a bit lucky with Toledo. @)
 

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3 NBA misses in a row including a 5u GOM... very odd.

But the CBB has been dead on, let's see if we can get a 2 fer tonight.
 

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CBB:
5-2 This Week.
4-3 Last week.
7 of 9 Winning Weeks.
29-17-3 Run last 46 Days (61%) (29 of 46 Winning Days)

NBA
8 of 11 Winning Weeks
39 of 65 Winning Days, 39-26 Last 65 PODs (60%).

February: +3.75 Units Net units.
January Overall: 38-21 (64%) = +58 Net Units.
January NBA (19-10) (65.5%) = +32 Net Units
January CBB (19-11-1) (63%) = +26 Net Units

Plays for Purchase as of Monday
4*CBB (POD): Chattanooga vs. Charleston (7pm)
4* NBA (POD): Lakers vs. Blazers (10pm)
 

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juice you are right man! I saw the post count later and was like it's not the guy who is hot in hoops in the forum. :laugh:

I have IC 5-2 for the week in college and 3-4 in the nba for 8-6. Guess its better than losing. We got a bit lucky with Toledo. @)

We should all be tickled pink to be 8-6 (57%) for any and every week. We love to be spoiled with 75% weeks, but 57% cappers are rare and far between. Especially ones that put out an average of 2 plays per day.

It sure would be nice to go on a little 10-4 run this week though, lol.
 

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my money says he's all over chatt... basically homedogs, revenge factor, can win outright, and public is all over charlston at the moment
 

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i agree jboston. he will take the ugly dog in my opinion. i am secretly hoping it is tenn chat as i want to play it. i'll leave it alone if he is on the other side.
 

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IC - not confirmed but from same source I get this from everyday

4 Unit Play. #521. Take Charleston -2.5 over Chattanooga

4 Unit Play. #512. Take the Portland Trailblazers +2 over L.A. Lakers
 

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