Netherlands - Casino Eredivisie : Breda - Zwolle

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I know the eredivisie is an over paradise but look at what i ve found here:

Breda has by far the best defence in the league, together with ajax, which is also on of the better defences in most if not all of the euro championships. They ve accepted 28 goals one less than ajax, with the 3rd best defence being 35 goals for feyenoord, 38 and 39 for niijmegen and utrecht.

Unlike ajax though they also have the first worst offence, together with, well, guess who, their opponent today zwolle, with 29 and 28 goals recpectively.

Of their home games just 4/14 have gone over and those were two 2-2 draws, another 2-1 win and a loss to ajax 0-3. How's zwolle doing in their away games? Just 5 out of 15 games have gone over.

Breda has a goal strike and concede rate of 90 minutes, and Zwolle same for strike rate and half for the concede rate.

Then can anyone tell me why the books have the over favoured with a 1.6-1.65 average odds? (all except pacific vegas who would agree with my train of though here and have the over at 1.75) I got a good idea why, public expectations, holland, high scoring league, without a lot of thought the average sqaure would put a netherlands over in one of his parleys.

Pinnacle are kind enough to offer the under at whooping 2.1. Win or lose i see great value in two teams with their home/away respective games in total have gone over 33% of the time.

I ll thank pinnacle for the gift and put my 1 1/2 units on this under.
 

res

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JackDee, was just thinking the same thing. Do you favor Breda for the side or would you expect draw as more likely outcome??

Would like your input on the Real/Juve predicted outcome. Personally, I believe Juve's only and best chance is to not allow a goal. Problem in my thinking is, which Real defence will show up today??? Was leaning to Real but now questioning myself.
 

res

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PS. Line on Breda has dropped from -1/2 -110 to +100 at Pinnacle in last 30 minutes. Guess folks want that 1/2 goal.
 

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Zwolle is not known for their
defensive battles. 7 of their last 10
have gone OVER 2 1/2. They have given up
58 goals this season. Zwolle is ranked 3rd
out of 18 teams for most goals allowed.

I hope you boys get your UNDER....
I'll take a pass.

enjoy.
 

res

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Zwolle given up 32 in last 14 on the road while scoring 10. Breda has scored 13 in last 14 at ome while giving up 10. Unless Zwolle scores early, could see it being pretty conservative for awhile.
 

res

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I ended up playing Breda -1/2 for 1 unit when line was +100. Also played under for 1 unit when line was +110. Look for 1-0 or 2-0 to win both
icon_smile.gif
 

res

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JackDee, wouldn't have hit as hard if hadn't have seen your post. Thought I was the only one thinking that way especially with Pinnacle raising that line from yesterday. Also thought Breda was a gift at even money. Think the early Breda goal was a blessing, meant they could sit and wait for Zwolle to try and tie. Just need Real to score once more.

By the way JackDee, feel free to email me with insights if you desire. Info"POOP" has been terrible the past 2 days. Have missed things--like yesterday--because I couldn't get to site. Email is Utagutag@aol.com. Thanks again
 

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