Need advice on hedging my bet

[SlightlyOffkiltered]

All I need is NE ml tonight to win a 1000 parlay that pays 1696. Should I take Bal ml+210 for 500 or let it ride

 

[709]

cold weather,wet grass in favor of short pass offense. In the back of BB and Brady mind, Ravens were the one who started the deflated gate which involved w/ Indy game, they would love to damage Balt hope in the playoff race. If you have a bookie 2nd half bet, wait till 2h to bet cuz NE are 20 something to zero when leading at the half at home

 

[SlightlyOffkiltered]

Thanks. Appreciate the help. I don't see NE losing but anything is possible.

 

[709]

one note for fun:
NE had played 3 under games in last 3 weeks (SF/NYJ/Rams) whose were teams under Pats control. Time now to play Over 45, they avg 4 tds at home

 

[mango]

210? See some 240 in Vegas and online. You need another book.

I'd hedge 800 so I guarantee myself a nice profit and go out to a steak dinner. But I'm biased since I think Ravens win especially since Pitt won and they need this win more than the Gronkless Pats.

 

[sdf]

you can take Balt +7 for 1000 to win 900

a) NE wins but doesnt cover...you win $2600
b) NE loses SU....you win nothing
c) NE wins big and covers...you win $696

just a thought

 

[powerz]

It depends on what your original plan was when you placed the bet...this looks like it was only a two or three game parlay

So was your thought no way NE loses at home? ...Then let it ride
Was it just to get the first few games in the barn and then look at the MNF in an isolated fashion? - Then I would hedge and try and win twice
Or was it to get to MNF so you could bet on BALT .....if that was the case I don't think you'd be asking.

In looking at the game in an isolated situation my Chart has NE win SU 4 out of 6 times but only covering twice.

My Advice would be to hedge the whole Original bet so get down on Baltimore +6 to win $1000.....So like SDF says you have two chances to win money....

 

[SlightlyOffkiltered]

Thanks for all the input guys. I've decided to take Bal +7(-130) for $1300 to win $1000. Win or lose I'm sill up a decent amount for the week

 

[709]

pats win by over 18 pts tonight

 

[tmader7]

pats win by over 18 pts tonight

OH yeah???!!! That's happened twice in the past 12 years......guess how many times Baltimore has done it.......hint, it's a draw. Every other game by less than seven. I like his play.

~T~

 

[tmader7]

Damn, Mods, what about that post review???????? Sorry, one of those Balty wins was by 15, not 18. My bad, but I can't edit before posts, this shit is just damn phucked up. TAKE ME OFF POST REVIEW!!!

~T~

 

[Bad_Cat]

Why would you give back what you would possibly win? Dumb. Stick to your guns

 

[Bad_Cat]

Damn, Mods, what about that post review???????? Sorry, one of those Balty wins was by 15, not 18. My bad, but I can't edit before posts, this shit is just damn phucked up. TAKE ME OFF POST REVIEW!!!

~T~

Lol

 

[varkeyboy]

one note for fun:
NE had played 3 under games in last 3 weeks (SF/NYJ/Rams) whose were teams under Pats control. Time now to play Over 45, they avg 4 tds at home

Agree......OVERRRRRRRRRRRR!!!!!

 

[varkeyboy]

1. Why would you give back what you would possibly win? Dumb. Stick to your guns

Not dumb at all if you like GUARANTEED MONEY....and if you like to MONEY MANAGE. You are a straight clown.

 

[SlightlyOffkiltered]

Not dumb at all if you like GUARANTEED MONEY....and if you like to MONEY MANAGE. You are a straight clown.

My thinking exactly. I just want to guarantee myself some profit on the game. If NE wins big I win close to $400 and if BAL wins straight up I split. But if NE wins and BAL covers I make a huge profit. Like I said before I'm up a decent amount and this insures that splitting is my worst scenario.

 

[torquas]

Dont chase more.. chase +money.. thats the basics of betting. Ask yourself the value. you ll have lots of time in future that you ll wait indeed. Cash it out.. And dont be mad when NE wins.

 

[AlistairCookie]

Why would you give back what you would possibly win? Dumb. Stick to your guns

The answer to your question is in your question. Since you don't see that, I think that might make you dumb.

Ya, it does.

 

[tmader7]

The answer to your question is in your question. Since you don't see that, I think that might make you dumb.

Ya, it does.

LMFAO!!! Listen SOK, you've done the right thing. I went back and looked at the past 12 years and your chances of Baltimore covering in those 12 years was 10 out of 12. Man, I'll fucking bankroll a lot of things at those kind of odds. GL

~T~

 

[chonce]

I like NE to win SU -- I like them to cover.

But I am conservative about this stuff; I would hedge a little -- enough so you guarantee profit, but not so much that you find yourself rooting for B-more. NE is 21-4 SU at home in last 25. But Baltimore has won in Gillette more than most -- 2009, 2012 playoffs and came damn close in 2014.

I like your plan on the B-More ML and guarantee a few hundred