Nebraska 2015 Preview

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Below is my preview for Nebraska, predicted starters, and schedule predictions. I am a Nebraska fan, but remain level headed and have realistic expectations, so the following is as unbiased as possible.

Preview: Return 5 starters on Offense and 6 on Defense.

Offense: Tommy Armstrong will lead the team on offense, and returns both starting tackles, but will have to replace both G's and their C. Due to injuries last year, two of the likely starters on the interior do have considerable experience. Replacing Abdullah won’t be possible, and RB will most likely be a by committee approach. The WR core is the best Nebraska has had in a very, very long time, and arguably the best in the conference. Demornay Pierson-El is an electric playmaker and is a name to watch. He was the best return man in CFB last year. TE will be an interesting position as Cethan Carter is a very difficult matchup as he is very athletic, but was almost exclusively used as a blocker in the old staff’s schemes. RB and OL will be the two areas that Nebraska needs must have players step up at if they hope to take a step forward. The WR's will be very good IF Tommy Armstrong improves his accuracy and gets them the ball. Riley and Langsdorf have said they will make their play calling fit the talent, and that will be a key. If Armstrong is throwing 30+ times per game, it won’t be good for Nebraska.

Defense: The defense with 3 out of 4 starters back on the DL and half of the secondary t returns a lot of experience. Rose at LB is a former start derailed by injury and will be a big addition to the defense. Gangwish replaces Gregory and will be far less effective getting to the QB, but an improvement vs the run. The big key will be the ability to make tackles in space and stop dual-threat QB's. The defense has been terrible against the run when they allow teams to get outside and use their speed. That has to change if they want to improve. Switching to a Quarters D will be an interesting development and makes this a harder unit to predict. Ultimately it just comes down to improvements in tackling in space and setting the edge.


Predicted Starters:
QB - Tommy Armstrong (JR)
RB - Terrell Newby (JR) or Adam Taylor (RS. SO) - Newby is the front runner, but Taylor brings more balance. Newby is more a speed back.
WR - Jordan Westerkamp (JR) - Phenomenal hands. He catches everything thrown his way, but isnt too dynamic after the catch.
WR - Brandon Reilly (JR) - Former walk-on held back by injury last year. 6' 1" and is the fastest player on the team.
WR - Demornay Pierson-El (SO) - Absolutely electric. Was the best return man in the nation last year. Could be a breakout star.
TE - Cethan Carter (JR) -Under the old regime he was mostly a blocker. Very athletic and could have a very big year.
LT - Alex Lewis (SR) -A solid LT, but he hasn’t lived up to the hype since transferring from Colorado.
LG - Chongo Kondolo (SR) - Was the top backup at G last year and played in every game
C - Ryne Reeves (SR) - Has played in 21 of 26 games the last two years. Long considered our best C, injuries have held him back.
RG - DJ Foster (RS FR) - Will have stiff competition here, but got good reviews last year and this spring. This could be a weak spot
RT - Zach Sterup (SR) - A serviceable RT, but not outstanding by any means.


DE - Jack Gangwish (SR) - Serviceable DE, he has an endless motor, but not overly talented.
DT - Maliek Collins (JR) -An absolute stud. Currently predicted as a late RD. 1 pick. Should be 1st team All-B1G
DT - Vincent Valentine (JR) - Mammoth run stopper that plays at 315lbs+. Very good shot at 2nd team All-B1G
DE - Greg McMullen (JR) - Another serviceable DE, more talented than Gangwish.
LB - Josh Banderas (JR) -Very good athlete that is better at playing the run than the pass.
LB - Michael Rose (JR) - Very good LB. Great vs the run. Started the second half of '13 and lost '14 to injury. 1st/2nd team All-B1G quality.
LB - Dedrick Young (FR) - Could see someone else here, but Young has tons of potential and is very good in coverage.
CB - Daniel Davie (SR) - Above average coverage skills and good against the run.
S - Nathan Gerry (JR) -Very good player. A ball hawk and above average run defender. Legit shot at 1st team All-B1G
S - Byerson Cockrell (SR) - Struggles against the run and is better in coverage. Just a serviceable S.
CB - Charles Jackson (JR) - Could be a transfer from Auburn here, but Jackson has long been said to be the best ATH on the team, he just couldn’t get the playbook and had injury trouble.


Schedule:
Sep. 5
BYU
Sep. 12
South Alabama
Sep. 19
at Miami-FL
Sep. 26
Southern Miss.
Oct. 3
at Illinois
Oct. 10
Wisconsin
Oct. 17
at Minnesota
Oct. 24
Northwestern
Oct. 31
at Purdue
Nov. 7
Michigan State
Nov. 14
at Rutgers
Nov. 27
Iowa

Key Games:

BYU - This is certainly not an ideal game to open with, especially with a new HC. BYU is a good team, and it goes without saying that Hill is very dangerous. They do have some questions of their own though. The big one being how healthy is Hill. Coming back less than a year removed from a broken leg and torn ligaments is very tough. While I think he will still be very good, I just don’t think he returns to his old form that quickly. The health of Jamal Williams at RB will be another big question, as he will not be 100% either. The other key will be who BYU suspends. Mendenhall has said 10 players will miss the game, and BYU writers have said to expect a few of those to be defensive starters. The danger for Nebraska certainly lies with BYU's offense who returns nine starters and 4 out 5 being on the OL. Ultimately I think this one is a high scoring affair that comes down to which D gets more stops. With Hill and Williams at less than 100%, and Nebraska having a better D, I think they get it done and extend the home opener streak to 30. Prediction - Nebraska by 3


Miami - Miami will have a good team as long as Kaaya continues to grow, which I believe he will. While this is a road game, with it being in the afternoon, I don’t expect it to be a tough environment other than the weather. Miami only returns five starters on offense, and has to replace two starters on the OL, including Ereck Flowers who is a huge loss. Kaaya loses his top three receiving threats from last year as well as Duke Johnson. I think the Miami offense takes a step back this year. On defense the Canes always seem to fill holes with very athletic players, but they only return six starters and three of their front 7. Ultimately I think Nebraska catches a young team at the right time here. Prediction - Nebraska by 7-10

Wisconsin - This one will be very interesting. As of right now, until Nebraska shows who they are going to be as a team, they edge has to go to Wisconsin. Stave will be a game manager, and while they only return two starters on the OL, Wisconsin always has a bunch of tanks up front. Aside from those already listed, top WR Erickson is back, as is TE Traylor. Traylor didn’t prove to be much of a receiving threat last year, but will help in blocking. Fumagalli will be the bigger receiving threat at TE and should get good playing time. Ultimately the offense will go through Clement, who I believe will be an outstanding RB. Defensively they return eight starters including the entire secondary. They will have to replace four of the front seven, and a coaching change always make things questionable, but in the end I think Wisconsin gets it done this year. Prediction - Wisconsin by 10

@ Minnesota - The Gophers return six starters on offense, but have to replace two players on their OL. Two of their three top targets from last year are gone, including the outstanding TE Williams. Workhorse RB Cobb is also gone and I think it all adds up to trouble for Minnesota. The defense returns seven starters, thee in the back four, and four of the front seven. The loss of Wilson at LB is a big blow, but Minnesota will have a tough D and certainly make teams grind it out. Ultimately I think Nebraska will force Leidner to throw to beat them, and with the loss of three key weapons up front it won’t be enough. On the whole, I expect Minnesota to take a step back this season in general. Nebraska by 10

Michigan St. - Simply put Michigan St is a better team. They will have to replace their top three rushers from last year, but they always seem to have a quality RB. Connor Cook is one of the best QB's in the country in my opinion, and while he loses Lippett, he returns 4 of his top 6 targets from last year. They also return 7 starters from a very good defense and 7 on offense including 4 out 5 OL. While they might have some growing pains without Narduzzi, those should long be fixed by the time this game rolls around. This is also where the schedule will definitely play a factor. This will be the 10th game with no BYE for Nebraska, and Mich. St. will be coming off a BYE. Nebraska's record at this point could play a factor, but even then I think that just helps them keep it close. Prediction - Mich. St. by 10-17

All in all, I think Nebraska has seven games this year where there is no reason to lose. On the flip side there is one game in which I just don’t see them winning currently, and that’s Mich. St. Outside of those eight, they have four toss ups and I think they are able to go 3-1 in those games and finish the regular season at 10-2. A tougher schedule than Wisconsin, and a head to head loss keeps Nebraska out of the B1G CCG, but is a step in the right direction.

I will post more information as time allows.
 

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In depth, but also short enough not to overwhelm. A lot of times the Homer-report can get way too intricate and, unless you follow said home team, hard to follow. Most looks pretty solid. The secondary could be the hardest area to call (aside from Gerry). There are a couple other names that could become a factor.

I'm not as bullish on MSU, though until proven otherwise they are the better team. Cook is the best QB on the schedule and the Oline is back, but they lose a lot of skill players, 45 TD's worth. That's a decent hiccup. The biggest obstacle is the Cook-Lippett connection. If the receivers don't do their part, as Cook throws some danger balls, the INTS could see an increase.
 

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I agree on the DB's. If Davie shows well coming off injury I think he locks down a CB spot, but if not you could have as many as 7 guys competing for two spots. I would like to see Williams beat out Cockrell at S, but based off some of Bankers comments, the seem to like Cockrell a lot. That WLB spot will be another interesting battle as will one of the guard spots.
 

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I take a different view of the game at Minnesota where you like Nebraska by ten. I would give the Huskers the edge on offense but I think Minnesota has the better players on defense. I'm a big fan of Jerry Kill and playing in his front yard is going to be difficult.

Not sure what the line will be but don't believe it will be anywhere close to 10. Just my opinion for what's its worth?
 

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Nebraska's offense will suffer because they will depend a lot more on Armstrong's passing ability, which is not real good. Their defense has huge holes on the outside of the line, and in the secondary. Losses to Michigan State and Wisconsin at home, plus possible losses to Miami, Minnesota, on the road, and BYU at home give Nebraska 7-10 wins, but more than likely around the 8 or 9 mark, which is nothing but a continuation of the Pelini days. It will take a complete fluke for Nebraska to become a legitimate contender for the Big 10 title in the near future. There are simply too many better teams in the Big 10, especially in the East.
 

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Nebraska's offense will suffer because they will depend a lot more on Armstrong's passing ability, which is not real good. Their defense has huge holes on the outside of the line, and in the secondary. Losses to Michigan State and Wisconsin at home, plus possible losses to Miami, Minnesota, on the road, and BYU at home give Nebraska 7-10 wins, but more than likely around the 8 or 9 mark, which is nothing but a continuation of the Pelini days. It will take a complete fluke for Nebraska to become a legitimate contender for the Big 10 title in the near future. There are simply too many better teams in the Big 10, especially in the East.

I agree with you on your comments on the outside of the line, if your were referring to the DE position? They have two average (at least in terms of Power 5 quality) players there, and very little depth. Care to elaborate on how the secondary has huge holes? It is easily our deepest and most talented position on the team…..
 

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Unfortunately for Nebraska (and Miami) their glory days are two decades behind them and will likely never get back to that level. Since the B1GW is the much weaker side, Nebraska should be able to put up consistent 8/9 win seasons and always be in the running for the division title.
 

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Nebraska's offense will suffer because they will depend a lot more on Armstrong's passing ability, which is not real good.

Nobody knows how the offense will look. All we can do is piece together what we know of Riley, Nebraska and try to mesh it together with what has been seen/said in practice. My historical perspective is that Nebraska will NOT be relying A LOT more on Armstron Jr passing than what we have seen the last 2 years. During Riley's last Oregon St tenure (12 years), the years where he didn't have an NFL caliber QB, his teams were balanced, but tended to the run between 51%-55%. In fact the 12 year statistical breakdown is 47% run. The evidence clearly shows that Riley adjusts to his personnel. I think it is likely to see Riley transition to using QB in the run more than he ever has, but less than Nebraska did the last few years for sure. They've already practiced the zone read in spring ball, though they have claimed the QB will not become a defacto RB. Nebraska, the last two years, ran 61%. That is likely to drop, but I think 55% is a decent expectation given the historical evidence + plus the addition of a QB run element to the Riley offense. Expect to see Armstrong Jr. passing attempts to go up from 29 (2014) to 33.
 

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Unfortunately for Nebraska (and Miami) their glory days are two decades behind them and will likely never get back to that level. Since the B1GW is the much weaker side, Nebraska should be able to put up consistent 8/9 win seasons and always be in the running for the division title.

One thing I can say is that it's all cyclical. Alabama had a long dry decade and I'm sure people were saying similar things. That team down from your area went 35+ years between national titles.
 

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I hope this comes through okay. This is the Nebraska betting prospectus from our website that just came out today. I had Nebraska at one less win than the consensus. But they should still have a very good season. Remember, it's not always what you think of Nebraska or any other team, but the teams on their schedule. And most of the Huskers games look very winnable to me. The weaker teams on their schedule are played on the road and the stronger teams are played at home. Which is usually the formula for a winning season.

http://www.saturdayedge.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/07/NEBRASKA-CORNHUSKERS-2015.pdf
 

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I hope this comes through okay. This is the Nebraska betting prospectus from our website that just came out today. I had Nebraska at one less win than the consensus. But they should still have a very good season. Remember, it's not always what you think of Nebraska or any other team, but the teams on their schedule. And most of the Huskers games look very winnable to me. The weaker teams on their schedule are played on the road and the stronger teams are played at home. Which is usually the formula for a winning season.

http://www.saturdayedge.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/07/NEBRASKA-CORNHUSKERS-2015.pdf


GS, it's a good breakdown. The one thing I saw was the bit about Leroy Alexander. He actually transferred with Pelini to YSU. Nebraska does have a very good safety in Nate Gerry, whom, for now, is the star of the secondary and a playmaker.
 

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Cant see them beating miami, revenge spot miami wins by 10-14
 

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In a recent interview (July 2) with The Associated Press, one of the questions ask Coach Riley caught my attention.

AP: There's a perception Tom Osborne has been slow to embrace you, based on the fact he was the athletic director
who hired the coach you replaced. Do you feel that way?

Riley: I haven't felt that personally. I think those kinds of relationships can grow over time. I hope as we see each
other more often that it naturally does. I don't think it has to be anything that is forced.

Kinda surprised me Osborne wasn't totally on board with the hiring of Riley. Not good for having a unified camp.
 

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Haven't heard that perception anywhere locally. When you understand Osborne's persona, you know his silence isn't anything of importance, and the local media would have been pounding it if they thought there was an issue. Osborne is reserved and he doesn't like to meddle. On the other hand, many of Osborne's assistants are ecstatic and went to spring practices. I think the former Oline coach carries on well with the current line coach and was at almost every practice as far as I recall. I know a lot of former players also are happy with the move.
 

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Would echo what Lee said and also add, that at this point, it really is irrelevant what Osborne thinks. Even more so with how on board Milt, Darlington, and McBride are. Sure it would be great to have the public backing of Osborne, but what difference would it make?
 

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Also, Osborne is on the playoff committee, I think he's trying to be extra careful. He was selective with his language when asked about the Big 12 and he basically said "Long sent a message that 12<13". Maybe it means nothing but it stood out to me.
 

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Well well. Win for Riley. Former Wisconsin RB signee announce his plans to attend NU. It's a recruiting win considering it was against Alabama and Miami. It sticks a bur in the badgers' ass. And it's believed that he could be very much in the running in a talented rb stable, but with no real frontrunner. Nebraska is going to run the ball this year, dont let recent Riley O fool you. They've gone to the vaults and are dusting off stuff they've run 8+ years ago.
 

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This is the reason why teams like Nebraska and Wisconsin simply are not good enough to challenge for a NC. All they do is run the ball. They have absolutely no concept of what a balanced offense is. Nebraska had a brief run where they did very well under Tom Osborne, but they have not come close to that run since Osborne left. As long as Nebraska runs a one dimensional offense, they will be good, but not good enough to seriously challenge for a Big 10 Crown, much less a NC.
 

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Nebraska ran the ball 62% of the time last year, Ohio St. ran the ball 63% of the time. Once again you come in spouting nonsense with no actual knowledge or background information. Nebraska needs to recruit better, have better coaching, and better in game adjustments.
 

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Well well. Win for Riley. Former Wisconsin RB signee announce his plans to attend NU. It's a recruiting win considering it was against Alabama and Miami. It sticks a bur in the badgers' ass. And it's believed that he could be very much in the running in a talented rb stable, but with no real frontrunner. Nebraska is going to run the ball this year, dont let recent Riley O fool you. They've gone to the vaults and are dusting off stuff they've run 8+ years ago.
wow i thought he was dead set on the Canes. (bama never had a shot...he never even visited. was just the big name school to throw in there because they had an interest in him a year ago)

nice grab
 

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