Very good sign I follow is when the square books are leading the charge with the best numbers than make the bet. The sharp books are telling us what the true line should be and they seem to be highest on the moneyline.
wow!
I guess this line tomorrow lowers to 10 or 10 1/2 points. I would not have thought that but hey that seems to be what will happen
lowest off shore I can find in my 20 active books is -400 SIA.
what are other seeing?
-430 at matchbook
That way of thinking is going to lead to the fav ML in every SB. Squares are always going to be inclined to take the dog ML or fav spread. Doesn't mean one is right or wrong as against the "real line".
This is how I use the Pinny lean. Great numbers will ALWAYS end up winning in the long run!!!!
I am coming off my best month ever of betting in January (almost won 90 units and that is betting 1 unit a game over 1,300 bets 55.8%) and almost all of my plays were against slightly OFF numbers. I LOVE COLLEGE HOOPS SEASON!!!!
Good luck today!!!
I hear you but I am not sure you can apply the same principles with the Super Bowl. There are so many other dynamics involved. That said, it is certainly never bad to get the best possible line on what you are betting. GL
I'm not surprised with your college hoops success. I can see certainly see you know your stuff. I'm sure you won't, but just don't go too nuts on -400 today. Your edge is so much stronger in college hoops.