***NCAAB Computer Picks III*** LEAN MACHINE & POD's

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I'm still trying to build an NCAAB system...I've been trying for years. This is my third and final attempt this year. I like it...but do not assume it will do well.

Lets see what happens.

The computer scans all the daily matchups for the leans... and then spits out the POD's which are the best picks from all the leans.

The leans may be useful by themselves...or may help others.

I suggest caution until we have a record established.

Leans Record (Not posted, documented at Wagerline)
<table class="data" id="ctrl_leaderboard_dgContestLeaders" style="border-collapse: collapse;" border="0" cellspacing="0"><tbody><tr class="my-stats"><td class="center"><table class="data" id="ctrl_leaderboard_dgContestLeaders" style="border-collapse: collapse;" border="0" cellspacing="0"><tbody><tr class="my-stats"><td class="center">9-7-0 </td><td> 56.25% </td><td> +650 </td><td>View</td><td>View</td><td>
</td></tr></tbody></table></td><td>
</td><td>
</td><td>
</td></tr></tbody></table>
POD's Record (Not posted)
Denver W
Rhode Island W
Troy W
Penns St. L

3-1
 

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Leans

NCAAB

Saturday, February 7

<table class="thepicks"><tbody><tr class="datahead"> <td width="32%">Game</td> <td width="15%">Score</td> <td width="15%">Status</td> <td width="29%">Pick</td> <td width="9%">Amount</td> </tr> <tr class="firstline"> <td> Kent St. </td> <td> - </td> <td>2:00 PM ET</td> <td>Ball St. +3.5</td> <td>500</td> </tr> <tr> <td> Ball St. </td> <td> - </td> <td> </td> <td> </td> <td> </td> </tr> <tr class="firstline"> <td> George Mason </td> <td> - </td> <td>2:00 PM ET</td> <td>George Mason -4</td> <td>500</td> </tr> <tr> <td> James Madison </td> <td> - </td> <td> </td> <td> </td> <td> </td> </tr> <tr class="firstline"> <td> Kansas St. </td> <td> - </td> <td>4:00 PM ET</td> <td>Texas A&M -3</td> <td>500</td> </tr> <tr> <td> Texas A&M </td> <td> - </td> <td> </td> <td> </td> <td> </td> </tr> <tr class="firstline"> <td> Southern Illinois </td> <td> - </td> <td>4:00 PM ET</td> <td>Southern Illinois +2</td> <td>500</td> </tr> <tr> <td> Missouri St. </td> <td> - </td> <td> </td> <td> </td> <td> </td> </tr> <tr class="firstline"> <td> Delaware </td> <td> - </td> <td>4:00 PM ET</td> <td>Delaware +3</td> <td>500</td> </tr> <tr> <td> Georgia St </td> <td> - </td> <td> </td> <td> </td> <td> </td> </tr> <tr class="firstline"> <td> Appalachian St. </td> <td> - </td> <td>4:30 PM ET</td> <td>Elon University -2.5</td> <td>500</td> </tr> <tr> <td> Elon University </td> <td> - </td> <td> </td> <td> </td> <td> </td> </tr> <tr class="firstline"> <td> UAB </td> <td> - </td> <td>6:00 PM ET</td> <td>UAB -2</td> <td>500</td> </tr> <tr> <td> Southern Mississippi </td> <td> - </td> <td> </td> <td> </td> <td> </td> </tr> <tr class="firstline"> <td> Old Dominion </td> <td> - </td> <td>7:00 PM ET</td> <td>Drexel -2</td> <td>500</td> </tr> <tr> <td> Drexel </td> <td> - </td> <td> </td> <td> </td> <td> </td> </tr> <tr class="firstline"> <td> Samford </td> <td> - </td> <td>7:00 PM ET</td> <td>Samford +3.5</td> <td>500</td> </tr> <tr> <td> Wofford </td> <td> - </td> <td> </td> <td> </td> <td> </td> </tr> <tr class="firstline"> <td> Troy </td> <td> - </td> <td>7:00 PM ET</td> <td>Troy +0</td> <td>500</td> </tr> <tr> <td> Florida Atlantic </td> <td> - </td> <td> </td> <td> </td> <td> </td> </tr> <tr class="firstline"> <td> Central Florida </td> <td> - </td> <td>7:00 PM ET</td> <td>Central Florida -2</td> <td>500</td> </tr> <tr> <td> East Carolina </td> <td> - </td> <td> </td> <td> </td> <td> </td> </tr> <tr class="firstline"> <td> Butler </td> <td> - </td> <td>7:00 PM ET</td> <td>Wright St. +2</td> <td>500</td> </tr> <tr> <td> Wright St. </td> <td> - </td> <td> </td> <td> </td> <td> </td> </tr> <tr class="firstline"> <td> Minnesota </td> <td> - </td> <td>8:00 PM ET</td> <td>Ohio St. -4.5</td> <td>500</td> </tr> <tr> <td> Ohio St. </td> <td> - </td> <td> </td> <td> </td> <td> </td> </tr> <tr class="firstline"> <td> Baylor </td> <td> - </td> <td>8:00 PM ET</td> <td>Texas Tech +4.5</td> <td>500</td> </tr> <tr> <td> Texas Tech </td> <td> - </td> <td> </td> <td> </td> <td> </td> </tr> <tr class="firstline"> <td> Bradley </td> <td> - </td> <td>8:05 PM ET</td> <td>Bradley +3</td> <td>500</td> </tr> <tr> <td> Drake </td> <td> - </td> <td> </td> <td> </td> <td> </td> </tr> <tr class="firstline"> <td> Murray St. </td> <td> - </td> <td>8:30 PM ET</td> <td>Murray St. +1.5</td> <td>500</td> </tr> <tr> <td> Austin Peay </td> <td> - </td> <td> </td> <td> </td> <td> </td> </tr> <tr class="firstline"> <td> Northern Arizona </td> <td> - </td> <td>10:05 PM ET</td> <td>Eastern Washington -1.5</td> <td>500</td> </tr> <tr> <td> Eastern Washington </td> <td> - </td> <td> </td> <td> </td> <td> </td> </tr> <tr class="firstline"> <td> Pepperdine </td> <td> - </td> <td>10:05 PM ET</td> <td>Pepperdine -1</td> <td>500</td> </tr> <tr> <td> Loyola Marymount </td> <td> - </td> <td> </td> <td> </td> <td> </td> </tr> <tr class="firstline"> <td> UC Santa Barbara </td> <td> - </td> <td>10:05 PM ET</td> <td>UC Irvine -2</td> <td>500</td> </tr> <tr> <td> UC Irvine </td> <td> - </td> <td> </td> <td> </td> <td> </td> </tr> <tr class="firstline"> <td> Idaho </td> <td> - </td> <td>11:05 PM ET</td> <td>Hawaii -2.5</td> <td>500</td></tr></tbody></table>===============================================

Best of the LEANS are todays POD's

Bradley +3

Murray St. +1.5


Please use caution and good luck! :103631605
 

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I really hope you can figure something out. i always look at all your selections. Honestly these 2 picks dont look that appealing. that said I'm crossing my fingures that you found something
 

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NCAAB

Sunday, February 8

<table class="thepicks"> <tbody><tr class="datahead"> <td width="32%">Game</td> <td width="15%">Score</td> <td width="15%">Status</td> <td width="29%">Pick</td> <td width="9%">Amount</td> </tr> <tr class="firstline"> <td> Creighton </td> <td> - </td> <td>2:05 PM ET</td> <td>Creighton +1.5</td> <td>500</td> </tr> <tr> <td> Northern Iowa </td> <td> - </td> <td> </td> <td> </td> <td> </td> </tr> <tr class="firstline"> <td> Maryland </td> <td> - </td> <td>7:30 PM ET</td> <td>Georgia Tech -2.5</td> <td>500</td> </tr> <tr> <td> Georgia Tech </td> <td> - </td> <td> </td> <td> </td> <td> </td> </tr> </tbody></table>

Todays leans...no POD's.
 

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This is still a work in progress...better to just watch for now.

I've made another adjustment to this system and added a filter.

I want less leans...but better quality...This will also give us less POD's...but I'm hoping we can get the leans above 55% ATS and be able to play them as well.

We should have a better idea after this next week. I feel like I'm close to having something here...but so far I just can't get it nailed down in NCAA.

~~:<<
 

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One lean today

NCAAB

Monday, February 9

<table class="thepicks"><tbody><tr class="datahead"> <td width="32%">Game</td> <td width="15%">Score</td> <td width="15%">Status</td> <td width="29%">Pick</td> <td width="9%">Amount</td> </tr> <tr class="firstline"> <td> Murray St. </td> <td> - </td> <td>8:00 PM ET</td> <td>Murray St. -3</td> <td>500</td> </tr> <tr> <td> Eastern Illinois </td> <td> - </td> <td> </td> <td> </td> <td> </td></tr></tbody></table>
Leans Record: 18-19-1

POD's:3-3
 

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Just leans today...no POD's.

NCAAB

Tuesday, February 10

<table class="thepicks"><tbody><tr class="datahead"> <td width="32%">Game</td> <td width="15%">Score</td> <td width="15%">Status</td> <td width="29%">Pick</td> <td width="9%">Amount</td> </tr> <tr class="firstline"> <td> Michigan St </td> <td> - </td> <td>7:00 PM ET</td> <td>Michigan St -4</td> <td>500</td> </tr> <tr> <td> Michigan </td> <td> - </td> <td> </td> <td> </td> <td> </td> </tr> <tr class="firstline"> <td> Seton Hall </td> <td> - </td> <td>9:00 PM ET</td> <td>Seton Hall -1</td> <td>500</td> </tr> <tr> <td> DePaul </td> <td> - </td> <td> </td> <td> </td> <td>
</td></tr></tbody></table>
Record:
Leans
19-19-1

POD's 3-3
 

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hey MJ...i was looking at the card last night and these 2 jumped out at me, so I like the leans. Feelin good about playing these.
 

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hey MJ...i was looking at the card last night and these 2 jumped out at me, so I like the leans. Feelin good about playing these.

I made a pretty big adjustment to this system...since the adjustment the leans are 2-1 and there hasn't been any POD's yet.

We'll see how the rest of this week goes.
 

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good job. i was on seton hall with you. what ever changes you made look good so far, keep it up
 

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Does this have value?

I am trying to see if betting on teams that have covered the spread by more than 10 in their last game vs a team that has failed to cover the spread in their last game by more than 10 is a winning proposition. I started on Feb7th and so far have a record of 15-5. The plays for Feb 11th would be Charleston and Rice. I have not back tracked it to see how it has done in the past. Do you think something so simple can work over the long run? I was referred to you by warpath and am following your picks through a subscription and now this forum. I hope you will help me to win more often. Thanks for your work and glad to meet you......JJ
 

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I am trying to see if betting on teams that have covered the spread by more than 10 in their last game vs a team that has failed to cover the spread in their last game by more than 10 is a winning proposition. I started on Feb7th and so far have a record of 15-5. The plays for Feb 11th would be Charleston and Rice. I have not back tracked it to see how it has done in the past. Do you think something so simple can work over the long run? I was referred to you by warpath and am following your picks through a subscription and now this forum. I hope you will help me to win more often. Thanks for your work and glad to meet you......JJ

The short answer is yes...something that simple can have value. The trick is how to use it...and refine it.

Nothing gives greater satisfaction than winning with a system you have designed yourself. If you need more help feel free to PM me.
 

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