please excuse spelling, grammar, as I've been typing so much I've seen the Jerry Kill speech 4 times already
Ok St @ Texas Tech over 79 (1)
Ok St scoring 40.3 and TT 46.3 ppg. TT is 6-2 on the O/U. They have gone over their last 5 at home. The last 3 in this series have gone over the number and combined for 80,86,80 points. Enough for a bet for me.
Central F @ Cincy -27 1/2 (1)
This game could get ugly, or Cincy could go through the motions, which in why I only played it for a (1). CF at 0-8 and 1-7 ats and the old coach quit on them (retired is the best word) this past week. Cincy just to explosive of a team and CF D giving up 33.4 ppg makes this a stab for me.
Marshall -19 1/2 @ Charlotte (1)
Another play on the much better team at 7-1 vs the 2-5 team. Marshall scoring 31.6 ppg while Charlotte is giving up 34 ppg. A little worry taking the visitor and them not being all fired up but I'll be square and take the fav and the much better qb in this game.
Clemson @ NCS +10 1/2 -115 (1)
It's scary to go against Clemson after they butchered Miami F 58-0 last week and put the final dagger through Golden. The year before they shutout this NCS 41-0. But here I am taking the points in hopes of a let down, revenge, a look ahead to Florida St, probably why I'm down so much in college this season! They do have 4 starters ? this Sat and have to be ready for a team that has covered ats in 4 out of the last 5 in this series.
Notre Dame @ Temple +10 (1)
Notre Dame @ Temple under 50 (1)
This is like a national championship game for Temple, who will never be given that chance even if they run the table. Temple are 7-0 and 5-2 ats and the total has gone UNDER in 6 of Temple's last 9 games. They already have beaten Penn St at home (27-10) and won at Cincy (34-26). They are not a rinky dink team just getting lucky. Their D are only allowing 14.6 ppg. They will find this Irish offense a lot tougher to hold down. ND at 6-1 and 6-1 ats. One bad snap away from beating Clemson at Clemson. Doing it with their backup qb this season. The Irish coming off a slugfest with USC and have Pitt on deck. Coach Kelly is a good one and will stress staying up and being ready for this game, but sometimes that just doesn't help. I keep waiting for inflated Irish lines and this one could be the spot.
Illinois @ Penn St -5 1/2 (2)
Illinois has over achieved this year and canning their coach at the beginning looks genius now. They stand at 4-3 and actually score more and give up less points than Penn St. They beat Penn St last year at Illinois (16-14). So why Penn St? Penn St quietly at 6-2 and 3-5 ats as their games are always over inflated due to popularity and memories of the past. Illinois w last year as a +5 dog and they year before at Penn St were getting +11 and covered. So this line is definitely more in line as Penn St is not a power house anymore. What they are though, is a hungry team at home with some payback on their minds and a QB who has under achieved from all expectations this season. And Illinois on the road has been a good bet if you play against them, Illinois is 4-14 ATS in its last 18 games on the road. Penn State is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Illinois, and I'm hoping they make it 8-1 and they haven't played at home for almost 3 weeks and they say there's no place like home! The Illini have struggled on the road for years.
Central Michigan -3 -125 @ Akron (2)
I'm riding this CM team this week. They have been a covering machine at 7-1 ats while Akron has struggled this season. Central Michigan is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Akron and 4-1-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Akron. Akron lost last week 59-10 while CM won a tough game at Ball St. The back to back road games concern me but I really do like CM in this one.
San Diego St -3 -125 @ Colorado St (2)
SDS is hot having won 4 straight by margins of 34, 23, 14, 14. In comparison, they beat Utah St 48-14 and Colorado St lost to Utah St 33-18. Not basing the play on that only. SDS is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing Colorado State and 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Colorado State. They are playing real good right now and the D have only given up 42 points in their last 4 games during the winning streak for 10.5 ppg. Colorado St will be fired up, but I'm riding the hot team in this game.
Florida Inter -3 -125 @ Florida Atl (2)
This one is simple for me. FI are 4-4 and 6-2 ats. FA are 1-6 and 1-5-1 ats.
FI scoring 29.3 & giving up 22.6 ppg
FA scoring 22.3 & giving up 31.1 ppg
Florida Atlantic is 1-11 SU in its last 12 games
Florida Atlantic is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games at home
Florida Atlantic is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Like I said in the first post, if I don't show a + this week it's time to concentrate on hoops. I hope this one is a winner because I bought the half to get it to 3.
Michigan @ Minny +14 1/2 (2)
As you can see, I bet this game before Kill retired. I saw that clip 4 times on sports center already typing up my reasons. I hope it fires them up! That was some sad, but inspirational words. Anyway, I liked the 3 score spot with Minny at home and Michigan coming off a heart breaking loss last week on the last play of the game. Minny beat these guys at Michigan last year 30-14. Now they are over two td's dogs because of Harborough! He has definitely turned the program around but they do stand at 7-2 and 7-3 ats, and now those Michigan lines are a bit inflated IMO. Last weeks line and hopefully this weeks line also.
Texas -6 1/2 @ Iowa St (2)
Probably suckered me in with the under a td spot, with the better team imo. This thing appears to have turned around for Texas with the big W over Texas and the follow up win over Kansas St. Iowa St always tough at home. I don't think Texas will be looking ahead to anyone as they have Kansas on deck. It's just a matter of playing physical and not turning the ball over and Texas should get a solid W on the road. Iowa St must welcome Texas after playing 3 straight high scoring passing teams like Baylor, TCU, TT. The more I say the more I wonder if I was suckered in once again.
Miss @ Auburn +7 1/2 (2)
Miss at 6-2 and coming off a nice home win over A & M 23-3. I'm sure their D coach was pleased, especially after giving up 37 to Memphis in a loss. Auburn at 4-3 and a money burner on the spread 1-6. The lines are finally getting reasonable with this team. I'm going to take the spot simply because Auburn is getting a 2 score spot at home. Even though they are struggling by Auburn standards, they are still 19-3 SU in its last 22 games at home and 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Mississippi. So, I'll take the spot and if I lose I lose.
Tenn @ Kentucky +8 1/2 (2)
Everything I look at says play Tenn. Ten better stats both on O & D. Tenn only lost to Florida by 1, Ark by 4, at Bama by 5, had Okl on the ropes earlier in the season. Hell they should kill Kentucky. Tennessee is 19-1 SU in its last 20 games when playing Kentucky. Kentucky is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Tennessee. Hell Tenn beat then last year 50-16. Tenn to roll!
You know what: I'm taking Kentucky in a major upset as that is why I'm losing this year for taking situations like Tenn.
Still want Vandy and DD's if I can get it.
Good luck everyone, as always info, comments, opinions welcome in the thread. Bet reasonably and I hope everyone has a + week in college.
