Thanks Indy
Auburn @ Kentucky +2 (2)
It appears the odds makers must think either Auburn benefited more than Kentucky with the bye or that people will forgive Auburn from their mediocre start after 5 games (3-2) & 0-5 ATS. Kentucky off to a really good start at 4-1 and their only loss was to Florida (14-9). Stoops can definitely coach and will have them ready for this televised ESPN game. Kentucky has the slight edge in almost all of the stats and the home field in their favor. They have struggled in the past at home, but are 8-3 SU in its last 11 games at home. This is a big conference game and I'm going to ride the home team.
Western K @ N Texas over 68 (2)
I'm going to take a shot at this total in hopes that WK can keep their hopes going for their Heisman candidate 6th year qb Brandon Doughty. His stats are unbelievable and his accuracy is pin point. They have scored 66, 49, and 62 points in their last 3 games and averaging 42.2 ppg. They are playing a team that is giving up 49.2 ppg, and 547.4 ypg. Their passing D gives up 289.4 py. Okay, so I think a lot of WK points will be scored, can NT score some to help? I'm hoping so, as WK has been known for their O and not their D. Teams are trying to keep up with them on the scoreboard as they can score so quick. WK is having a special season so far, but I do think NT will score at least 20 and WK should score over their 42.2 ppg. It was tempting to take WK ats b ut the line jumped up so quick I was to late. WK are 4-1-1 ats and NT 0-5 ats.
UCLA @ Stanford -6 1/2 (2)
I'm very impressed with this Stanford team and I like them even more at home. They are 22-3 SU in its last 25 games at home. UCLA has been playing well on the road and competing, but at Stanford UCLA is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games and 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games, and an even more important trend for me, UCLA is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Stanford. You see this Stanford program continues to be well coached and I really think they will cause some to's at home against this young UCLA qb.
Alabama @ A & M +4 (2)
Bama just punished this A & M team last year at Bama 59-0. That has to leave a awful feeling and if that can't fire you up then nothing can. A & M is a much better team at home and now a 4 point dog to boot. No wonder as Bama stands a remarkable i21-2 SU in its last 23 games on the road. Yet they are only 1-6-1 ATS in its last 8 games on the road. Usually because they are giving to many points and the opposition gets so fired up at home. It's not like A & M sucks as they have played and beaten some decent teams by nice margins. Bama has been on a mission since the loss and Saban has his troops fired up. I think this game will be close and I like the home team in a revenge spot to keep it very close.
WV @ Baylor -21 (2) line out at 18 and quickly jumped
What happened on October 18, 2014 to the Baylor football team? Baylor got it handed to them 41-27 at WV. I don't think you need to remind Baylor of that, as I'm sure the coaches and players remember it well. Revenge is not the only motive for me playing Baylor in this game. It has a lot to do with that 58.6 ppg and 725 yards of offense per game. They are back home after two weeks and WV coming for a little visit. I really don't know how good WV is at 3-2. I only know they beat Georgia S, Liberty, and Maryland, while losing two straight game, last week at home to Okl S 33-26 and by a 44-24 score the week before at Oklahoma. I just can't imagine how many points Baylor will put up this week. 3 td's are a lot to win by, but in this case In think it's warranted. The total is not out of the question on any Baylor game.
Arizona St @ Utah -6 1/2 (2)
ASU at 4-2 and have kicked tail in their last two games beating Colorado 48-23, no great feat, and 38-23 at UCLA, that was impressive. Before that game USC beat them 42-14. So it's kind of hard to get a grip on this ASU team. I do know they beat Utah last year by 3 at home. Another revenge game that I'm on this week. I do know this game for Utah is sandwiched between Cal and USC next week. Yes that does worry me some and really should have kept me off this game. I just really like Utah D which caused 6 to's last week against Cal and they still didn't cover the spread. Kind of scary as they seemed to just want the clock to run. I'm hoping they want to get some payback, and stay undefeated and in the hunt for things, and that ASU can't contain the powerful rb and the athletic ability of Utah QB at their place. I've already forgotten last weeks loss on Utah. Not really, but going back for another battle.
Georgia S @ Ball St over 64 (2)
100 points put on the board last week between Ball St and N Ill. 30 points put on the board between GS and App St. What a difference between two teams scores that Sat. But we do have two teams playing each other that their D's are giving up 38.8 and 36 ppg. That has reeled me in on this one and total has gone OVER in 4 of Ball State's last 6 games at home, combined with the total going OVER in 4 of Georgia State's last 6 games. Worth the gamble for me!
Kent @ Mass over 55 1/2 (2)
Kent St games have gone under in 5 out of the last 5 on the road. I don't know if their offense is just that bad or if teams are taking it easy on them. I do know I've seen Mass play at Notre Dame and lose 62-17. ND doesn't run up scores on teams but they did score 17 points and I was impressed with their offense. They are giving up a bunch of points 42.2 ppg and are still a fav this Sat. I think Kent will find this D a little easier than Toledo and Minnesota D. And the week before the stats were weird because of the storm. Anyway, just thinking that this game will be high scoring as Mass shoots for their 2nd w of the year (lost at BG 62-38) and found that they could score quickly, and Kent St hopefully scores more than usual in this match-up.
Tulsa @ East Carolina over 77 1/2 (2)
Wow! Another extremely high total. No wonder:
Tulsa scoring 36.6 ppg and giving up 35.8
EC scoring 32.5 ppg and giving up 32
The total has gone OVER in 13 of Tulsa's last 18 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Tulsa's last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Tulsa's last 5 games when playing East Carolina
The total has gone OVER in 5 of East Carolina's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 8 of East Carolina's last 12 games at home
Last year 49-32 for 81, 82 year before and a 100. So they can put points against each other, will they put up enough?
Akron @ Bowling G over 67 1/2 (2)
Another sort of risky play as one team scores points in bundles and the other plays to the under. BG at home have scored 48 and 62 points. They are at home. They are leading or near the top of most offensive stats. The total has gone OVER in 7 of Bowling Green's last 9 games and has gone OVER in 5 of Bowling Green's last 5 games at home .
Akron's totals have gone UNDER in 17 of last 25 games but has gone OVER in 4 of Akron's last 6 games on the road.
Akron is going to have to score points in this game. It's not like BG has this great D as they are allowing 36.3 ppg and giving up 488 yards of offense. Their D is out there a lot since their offense scores quick. I don't know what will give in this game as the tempo hopefully is controlled by BG at home. Hopefully Akron will score their fair share to help out on the total for me.
Good luck everyone, as always, info, opinions, and well wishes always welcome in the thread.
Nice hit on Stanford......go Baylor!
Recap: 6-8 -5.60
Overall: 49-54 -13.80
Kentucky +2 (2) L
WK over 68 (2) W
Stanford -6 1/2 -115 (2) W
A & M +4 (2). L
GT -3 (2). L
Baylor -21 (2). W
Utah -6 1/2 -115 (2). W
Ball St over 64 (2). L
Mass over 55 1/2 (2). L
EC over 77 1/2 (2). L
Bowling G over 67 1/2 (2). W
add:
Boise -8 (2). L
NW +1 1/2 (2). L
Notre Dame -6 (2). W
Overall: 49-54 -13.80
Kentucky +2 (2) L
WK over 68 (2) W
Stanford -6 1/2 -115 (2) W
A & M +4 (2). L
GT -3 (2). L
Baylor -21 (2). W
Utah -6 1/2 -115 (2). W
Ball St over 64 (2). L
Mass over 55 1/2 (2). L
EC over 77 1/2 (2). L
Bowling G over 67 1/2 (2). W
add:
Boise -8 (2). L
NW +1 1/2 (2). L
Notre Dame -6 (2). W
