Cincy @ Memphis over 67 (1)
To hard for me to pass up on a teams scoring 54 and 38.3 ppg. I know Kiel is doubtful. The backup is very heralded and with the weapons they have, Cincy should score their fair share of points. The total has gone over in 5 of Memphis's last 5 games at home. Memphis has scored 44, 55, 63, points in their first 3 games, and ended the season last year scoring 55 and 41. They have most of those players back form last year on offense. They put 41 up at Cincy last year.
Central F @ South Carolina -15 (1)
Both teams are struggling majorly this season. CF at 0-3 and have so many key injuries to a program that is not deep in talent this year. SC are struggling big time and quite frankly just aren't a very good team this year. They miss their qb and are struggling to score points. Playing SC for a couple of important reasons to me. First, they were embarrassed last week and now have a chance to make up for it and get to 2-2. Second, their schedule has been a hell of a lot tougher (NC, Kentucky, Georgia) than CF (Furman, Stanford, F. Inter). Spurrier must feel the pressure and frustration as SC has not been living up to expectations. This is a game where I'm hoping they get their shit together against a team that has fallen under hard times since Bortles reign.
Rice @ Baylor +35 (1)
I know it may not be enough of a spot. It's just to tempting for me to pass up 5 td's when the team getting the points is scoring at 47.7 ppg. I know Baylor is very explosive and known for trying to score every possession even when the game is out of reach, but they are also giving up 26 ppg. Almost played this game over but decided to take the points and hope that just maybe Baylor will not want to get anyone hurt with Texas T on deck.
A & M @ Arkansas -7 (1)
I t just seems so easy to take A & M (3-0) over a struggling Ark team that is just decimated with injuries to the team. Ark played A & M very tough last year. A & M have won the last 3 in this series by 7, 12, and 48. This game may have trapped me so only playing a (1) on it, but I do think I have the better team and only spotting a td is worth a gamble for me. I definitely feel like I have the better coach in the game.
Mass @ Notre Dame +29 (1)
Quite a lot of points (5 scores) to beat up on a lesser team, especially with a lot of bigger games (Clemson) coming up on the schedule. Kelly is a pretty smart coach and he will not have his key players in this game if it's out of reach. He wanted to get work for the back up last week and we all know that didn't happen because of then late GT rally. Mass did play Temple tight losing 25-23 last week. I really hope the Irish are looking a head some what and that maybe Kelly will show a little mercy since he was born in Mass. He has nothing to gain by beating up on this opponent. It just worries me that the subs at ND are going to want to impress their coach when they get in the game.
TCU @ Texas Tech +7 (1)
This TT team is still getting no respect imo. They are 3-0 and coming off a nice road W at Ark 35-24. TCU continues to beat up on lesser opponents because they have to or get left out again. They have scored 56 (SMU) and 70 (SFA) their last two games. I don't even know what SFA is doing on their schedule but whatever. Last year TCU laid it on heavy at home 82-27. That was a beating!!! The year before that TT upset them at home 20-10. I'm kind of thinking that score has been bulletin board material this week. I really think this game will be very exciting and TT are 4-2 ats last 6 in this series.
S. Miss @ Nebraska -22 (2)
S Miss at 2-1 winning their last two games 56-50 and 52-6 over Texas St and A.P. They scored a lot of points that's for sure. In their road opener they only scored 16 at Miss St. Now what will they do heading into the Huskers home grounds? Neb coming off that great effort and comeback last week only to taste defeat again at the end of the game, we all remember the Hail Mary the last play of the BYU game. So how will they respond? After the BYU loss they responded with a 48-9 bounce back over S. Alabama. I really think will see the same result in this game. A big bounce back as they know how important it is to get back to 500 and head into the big 10 season with some mo on your side. Plus the fact the last two times SM made this trip back to back in 2013/2012 they lost 56-13 and 49-20. I know it's different this time around, but I do like those kind of things on my side.
Tenn @ Florida -2 (2)
Last year Tenn had their best chance to beat Florida in a long time only to lose 10-9 in a game many thought they could of and should of won. I couldn't tell you the last time Tenn beat Florida as the games only go back the last 10. So I do know Florida has won at least 10 straight, including the last 5 at home in this series by 14, 10, 10, 39, and 9 points. So either I'm falling into the biggest trap their ever was or this is finally Tenn time to end one hell of a steak. Streaks eventually end but I certainly like having this one on my side.
M. Ohio @ Western Kentucky over 67 (2)
The total has gone over in 7 of Western Kentucky's last 9 games at home. The total has gone overin 4 of Miami (Ohio)'s last 5 games on the road. Hmm, I guess I'll ride another trend where points are getting put up on the board. Miami Ohio scoring 19.7 and allowing 34.0 ppg. WK scoring 30.0 and allowing 29.3 ppg. Miami Ohio was shut out at Wiscy. (caught them at a bad time) but they did score 33 last week at Cincy. I think they have found some offense. I think WK can score at least 42 this game and hoping for more of course. Miami Ohio will have to try and keep up with TD'S not FG's. I'm predicting a score of 49-28. Just having some fun with it!
Middle Tenn St @ Illinois -6 (2)
MTS has been lighting up the scoreboard. They have beat Charlotte 70-14 and Jack St 73-14. It only tells me that either they like to run it up or the other two teams are very bad. They did lose their only road game at Bama 38-10. Just a little tougher place to play at for any team. Illinois at 2-1 and coming off a beating at NC 48-14. Yes the score was bad. I had the over in this game and believe me it should have went over. Illinois moved the ball and had many chances to score points. The score of this game could have easily been much closer if not for a penalty or dropped pass here and there. My reasons for taking the Illini are simple. They are at home and their offense is very capable of putting up enough points to win and cover this spread. Middle Tennessee is 3-9 ats in its last 12 games on the road. Middle Tennessee is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games on the road. So going to ride a big 10 team with their new coach and see if they can bounce back at home with a nice W. The Illini are a much different team at home than on the road.
Utah @ Oregon -13 1/2 (2)
Both QB"S are injured but both are supposed to play. Oregon are always a tough out at home (19-2 SU last 21). Utah has been tough on the road (7-1 SU in its last 8 game). Now they are getting spotted a very generous 13 1/2 points. Why Oregon then? A 51-27 W last year at Utah and a 44-21 W at home the year before helps to convince me that Oregon is going to score their share of points. Utah was on the road last week at Fresno St where they finally got a big W. This game should present a much different venue for them. You have a Oregon team that just simply can't afford another loss, especially a conf loss if they are to have a shot at making the playoffs. I just think Utah (3-0) is in way over their heads in this one. Just to much offense for them to keep up IMO.
I have more games that I like this week and could add to this already large slate.
Information, opinions, always welcome in my thread. Just please keep the hate and nonsense out.
Bet reasonably and have some fun!
