the dog's
Boise St @
Fresno +7 (2)
BS off to another nice start. What else is new as they blow out another opponent at home 48-0 in Miami O. By the way who haven't scored in 2 games and are getting 17 this week against a conf team. How impressive was their W over Oregon 19-8, two weeks ago? I thought pretty impressive at the time. Then Oregon escapes with a slugfest W over Purdue at home. Things really are weird so far this year. I guess what I'm trying to justify to myself is Fresno at +7, takes two scores to cover for BS is the play at home. BS are 7-1 ats last 8 vs Fresno. BS are 10-3 last 13 games on a Friday, while F are 1-7 in their last 8. Everything seems to point towards BS in this one. I'm hoping the experts think everyone likes BS to be giving this many points. After all they did smoke F last tear 61-10. Fresno did go down to the wire with Wiscy at Wiscy while BS has yet to travel. So I guess I'm taking the homey and the points in this one.
Tenn +29 1/2 @ Florida
(2)
I'm aware that Florida is on a mission to win another National Championship and Tebrow another Heisman. I know Meyer is one who pours it on when he can. Nothing wrong with that. I wish all teams would try to score every possesion. Would make this college game a lot easier to try and predict. Can't help it here, taking the 5 score spot and hoping Tenn has a little pride. Florida hitting the road for Kentucky the following week so I'm hoping if they get up 21 to 28 points in the 4th they take out the studs. Probably won't but still telling myself everyone will be on Florida and this line is just to high. Just the name Florida, and you think POWER, just think Tenn will compete enough to keep under 30.
Bowling Green @
Marshall +3 (2)
Both teams at 1-1 but BG has gotten the most hype as they had their chances to beat Mizz at Mizz. Meanwhile, VT was laying the wood on Marshall in their home opener. Just wasn't a good situation for Marshall. I think this one is, as Marshall has a very good chance at winning this game heads up. They have a fine QB in Anderson and a very tough RB in Darius Marshall who played in his first game at VT after serving a 1 game penalty. Of course VT stuffed him and forced Marshall to have to pass and play catch up. One thing I like is the home team has won 5 out of 6 in this series. Anyway, taking the homey and points in a game I had rated a toss-up.
Georgia +1 @ Arkansas
(2)
Probably in the minority on this one as it's alway's tough to go against the home team, especially in this conference. Georgia has owned Ark winning the last 5 and 9 out of the last 10. Oklahoma St and SC were both tough games for Georgia while Ark has played MSBS(who are they) in their opener. Ark will be definitely be fired up but I'm taking the Bulldogs as a dog.
Ohio ST vs
Toledo +20 (2)
How will the Buckeye's respond this week? I think they play like they always do. Pretty conservative and more concerned about beginning their defense of the big 10 conf next Sat when they play Illinois. Plus I must admit, I was very impressed with Toledo offense led by 4 year starter Opelt. He made smart decisions and has a nice chemistry with the receivers. Granted they were playing Colorado at home on a Thursday night and this one is at a neutral place but given Ohio State's past history and their coach seems satified with just getting the W, I'll take the big spot and see what happens.
Air Force @
New Mexico +17 1/2 (2)
Going over the games one of my friends said how could you have NM down as a possible play this week, no way I'm playing them this year. Point is, they are vey weak, and that's the way hopefully Vegas perceives it, and that maybe they jack it up about 3 points than what it should be. I don't know, just trying to be more opened minded on some of these home dogs.
Home team are 9-3 ats last 12 in this series. Game still scares me though because AF is definitely the better team. Hopefully, NM can figure out how to score as they have only scored 8 points all season while AF has only given up 10 so far this season.
The home team has won this game 8 out of 10 in this series and the largest spread was 11 points, 8 years ago. The games have been close in most of those past games and I'm going take a chance NM covers this large number at home.
Now the fav's
Navy @
Pitt -6 1/2 (2)
The Navy just keeps on sailing along and covering those spreads. Pitt offense for real? Last year Pitt sunk Navy 42-21 at Navy as -3 point fav. I'm gambling that they can win by 7 at home. While the option is tough to defend, Pitt's in their 3rd year in a row and most of the def players (7) starters have seen it and held them to 21 points last year. Pitt offense is very explosive and Navy D will have a tough time containing them. I have Pitt winning 38- 24.
Nebraska @
VT -3 1/2 (2)
One of those games that worries me because I haven't seen Nebraska at all this season. They appear to be putting up the points 43.5 so far this season but their 2 games were against weak teams in Florida Atl and Ark St. VT as always, very consistent team with a very predictable coach. You always know what your going to get when you play VT. I just think this will be a very tough spot for Nebraska in their 1st game on the road and finally playing a good defensive team. Once again taking the home team in a game I got coming in at at 31-20.
Temple @
Penn St -30 (2)
I wonder when the last time Penn St started the season at 0-2 ats and 0-2 on the under? Doesn't really matter I guess as they explode in this one 49-3. Not looking good for Temple at any positions on the field and their best chance is if it's stormy conditions. I know one thing for sure, if Penn St doesn't cover this week and starts out 0-3 ats, I"m doubling up on them until they cover one.
Utah @
Oregon -4 (2)
Just like in college hoops, a ranked team getting points against a unranked team. There are other reasons why I like this game as Oregon has gotten a lot of bad rap with all the changes and all of the other distractions that have been going on. What it comes down to for me in this one is Utah is finally a dog, and their must be a reason for this. I think Oregon gets them 35-28.
Texas Tech @
Texas -17 (2)
I should have jumped on this one before it hit 17. Still like it a lot though as we have yet to see 2 good halves by Texas. A lot of points to give TT but they will need them in this one. Not your typical instant offense for TT this season. They did beat up on the cup cake last week(and they always will run it up when possible) but this is not a cup cake. This is a team that hasn't covered a spread yet, but they have covered 4 out of the last 5 in this series at home. Time for Texas to start making a big move and their heisman candidate will have some big numbers to post up after this one. Watch it be close now, but there is a reason why TT is getting all of these points, Texas is a pot about to boil over. Either I'm going get cooked in that pot or boil over with it
Hopefully this is the week I can be right for a changed1g1t
As always, comments and info, and any games you want to discuss, always welcome.
Good luck everyone
