First time poster on this site, but long time lurker. Definitely some good cappers on this forum here and I would love to get some feedback and input on my plays. I've been posting on some "other" forums on the net, and have a decent track record for those that have seen my plays at these sites. I've won 70 units and 85 units respectively over the last two years on these sites.
Having an up and down roller coaster year so far but still up around 40 units. Won't post the records here though since none of the plays were posted on this site. Good luck to everyone this week, and let me know what you think!
All my plays are generally 1 to 7 unit plays. I played one 10-unit play this year and that was Oklahoma against my beloved Longhorns.
West Virginia –6.5 (-114) AT Connecticut (7 UNITS) (Pinnacle)
West Virginia comes to town to take on the Huskies in a Wednesday Big East clash on national television. The Mountaineers are 12-2 ATS versus Big East opponents and 10-3 ATS in road games over the last three seasons. While the Huskies are 18-8 ATS in its previous 26 games as an underdog.
The Huskies are led by (6-5, 235 lb.) SR. QB Dan Orlovsky. Orlovsky has led the Huskies to a 4-1 mark early on in the season with the strength of his arm. Orlovsky has completed 65% of his passes for 1,390 yards, 10 touchdowns, and 6 interceptions. Statistically speaking the Huskies rank among the nation’s leaders in many offensive categories.
But an even more telling story is who the Huskies have racked up all these impressive numbers on. Murray St., Duke, Pitt, and Army are some of the worse teams in the country. There only loss this season was against BC and they were completely shut down by the Eagles, only scoring seven points. The Huskies will be facing a Mountaineer defense that ranks 24 in total yards and 29<SUP>th</SUP> in scoring defense at 17.6 points per game.
While the Mountaineers have played its share of soft teams as well, they’ve had tough battles with Maryland and Virginia Tech early on. They come into this contest with the 10<SUP>th</SUP> ranked rushing offense at 248 yards per game, and the 12<SUP>th</SUP> leading rusher in the country in Kay-Jay Harris (112 ypg). Harris though is listed as doubtful for the game and probably won’t see action in this tilt.
With an experienced offensive line those looking to replace Harris should find some of the same holes that shot Harris up the national rushing charts. Jason Colson has 295 yards (4.5 ypc), and Bryan Wright has 144 yards (6.3 ypc) so far this season. The ace in the hole may be true freshman and super recruit Pernell Williams. The Mountaineer staff has burned his red-shirt and it looks as if Williams will get his first action of the year. Many close to the staff say he is more polished then Harris or Quincy Wilson was at this same point in there careers.
Even with Harris out I still think the Mountaineers will move the ball effectively. The Huskies loss their defensive leader Tyler King to a broken fibula. Untested sophomore Jason Ward will replace King. That leaves the rotation at defensive end to an untested sophomore in Ward, a true freshman in Dan Davis, and a sophomore Shawn Mayne. The defensive end position is critical when playing against a dual threat quarterback like Mountaineer QB Rasheed Marshall. If they don’t contain the edge or make the right reads on both the running back and quarterback the Mountaineers are going to have a field day rushing to the outside.
If those young ends don’t get the pressure on Marshall it could be a long day for the Husky secondary trying to match up with last year’s Big East Freshman of the Year, Chris Henry. Henry has 28 catches for 367 yards (13.1 ypc) and three touchdowns so far on the season. More importantly Henry stands at 6’5, while the Huskies only have one player in its starting secondary 6’. With Henry having more then 5 inches of height on the Husky secondary, I look for Rasheed Marshall to mix in some play-action passes and go up top to exploit this match-up for the Mountaineers.
GL!
Having an up and down roller coaster year so far but still up around 40 units. Won't post the records here though since none of the plays were posted on this site. Good luck to everyone this week, and let me know what you think!
All my plays are generally 1 to 7 unit plays. I played one 10-unit play this year and that was Oklahoma against my beloved Longhorns.
West Virginia –6.5 (-114) AT Connecticut (7 UNITS) (Pinnacle)
West Virginia comes to town to take on the Huskies in a Wednesday Big East clash on national television. The Mountaineers are 12-2 ATS versus Big East opponents and 10-3 ATS in road games over the last three seasons. While the Huskies are 18-8 ATS in its previous 26 games as an underdog.
The Huskies are led by (6-5, 235 lb.) SR. QB Dan Orlovsky. Orlovsky has led the Huskies to a 4-1 mark early on in the season with the strength of his arm. Orlovsky has completed 65% of his passes for 1,390 yards, 10 touchdowns, and 6 interceptions. Statistically speaking the Huskies rank among the nation’s leaders in many offensive categories.
But an even more telling story is who the Huskies have racked up all these impressive numbers on. Murray St., Duke, Pitt, and Army are some of the worse teams in the country. There only loss this season was against BC and they were completely shut down by the Eagles, only scoring seven points. The Huskies will be facing a Mountaineer defense that ranks 24 in total yards and 29<SUP>th</SUP> in scoring defense at 17.6 points per game.
While the Mountaineers have played its share of soft teams as well, they’ve had tough battles with Maryland and Virginia Tech early on. They come into this contest with the 10<SUP>th</SUP> ranked rushing offense at 248 yards per game, and the 12<SUP>th</SUP> leading rusher in the country in Kay-Jay Harris (112 ypg). Harris though is listed as doubtful for the game and probably won’t see action in this tilt.
With an experienced offensive line those looking to replace Harris should find some of the same holes that shot Harris up the national rushing charts. Jason Colson has 295 yards (4.5 ypc), and Bryan Wright has 144 yards (6.3 ypc) so far this season. The ace in the hole may be true freshman and super recruit Pernell Williams. The Mountaineer staff has burned his red-shirt and it looks as if Williams will get his first action of the year. Many close to the staff say he is more polished then Harris or Quincy Wilson was at this same point in there careers.
Even with Harris out I still think the Mountaineers will move the ball effectively. The Huskies loss their defensive leader Tyler King to a broken fibula. Untested sophomore Jason Ward will replace King. That leaves the rotation at defensive end to an untested sophomore in Ward, a true freshman in Dan Davis, and a sophomore Shawn Mayne. The defensive end position is critical when playing against a dual threat quarterback like Mountaineer QB Rasheed Marshall. If they don’t contain the edge or make the right reads on both the running back and quarterback the Mountaineers are going to have a field day rushing to the outside.
If those young ends don’t get the pressure on Marshall it could be a long day for the Husky secondary trying to match up with last year’s Big East Freshman of the Year, Chris Henry. Henry has 28 catches for 367 yards (13.1 ypc) and three touchdowns so far on the season. More importantly Henry stands at 6’5, while the Huskies only have one player in its starting secondary 6’. With Henry having more then 5 inches of height on the Husky secondary, I look for Rasheed Marshall to mix in some play-action passes and go up top to exploit this match-up for the Mountaineers.
GL!
