NCAA (Wednesday)

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I have 4 dogs that I have leans on Wed. I'm going to wait and see how the lines move. I think some may go in my favor.


#538 UCLA -29 -110 (2)

add:

#530 DePaul -7 1/2 -110 (2)
#546 Missouri St -12 1/2 -110 (2)
#549 Ark LR -13 -110 (2)
 

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Still thinking about some dogs and waiting for some of them to go up.


CSB @ UCLA -29 (2)

SABAR at 1-6 and 0-5 ats scoring 66.4 ppg giving up 76.3 ppg for a diff of -9.9
UCLA at 10-0 and 8-2 ats scoring 97.5 ppg giving up 75.9 ppg for a diff of 21.6

Diff of 30 and UCLA fans are all back home worth 5. Line could be higher as UCLA could win by 40 or more if coach elects to.

UCLA 10-0 and 8-2 ats (Alford is loving every minute of this)
CSB 1-6 and 0-5 ats (not a very good team so far this season)

UCLA shot 72% in the 2nd half last game against Mich and 62.5 % from 3 pt land.

UCLA is #1 in assists with 23.9 a game. (they share the ball)
UCLA is #1 in fg% at 56.2 a game. They shoot well and get a lot of layups)
UCLA is #1 in 3 pt fg % at 47.1 a game. (they can hit from the perimeter)

Their freshman pg is dishing out 8.8 assists a game.
Freshman Leaf at 6'10 averaging 17,7 ppg and 9.3 rebs
Veteran lSr.eadership in Alford at 13.5ppg and Hamilton at 17.7 ppg.

CSB lost two very key players off last years team and they are struggling to replace them. They have been getting killed on the inside. Their best post player is Canty at 6' 10 and he's scoring 11.3 ppg and 7.1 rebs and playing a whole lot of minutes. He will wear down in this game.

CSB lone victory of the season was over Somona St 75-51.

Losses by margins of 14, 12, 7, (27 to SMU) and (24 USC) I got a feeling UCLA is better than SMU and USC and certainly will score m ore points than them. The more possessions the better chance of a high scoring talented team to increase the lead.

And CSB only shooting 40% fg and 25% from 3 pt land and a poor 62% form the ft line.


UIC @ DePaul -7 1/2 (2)

UIC at 4-5 and 4-3 ats scoring 81.3 ppg giving up 77.9 ppg for a diff of 3.4
DePaul at 5-3 and 2-5 ats scoring 71.0 ppg giving up 69.1 ppg for a diff of 1.9

Diff of 1 1/2 in favor of ICU and DePaul worth 3 at home. Yet we have this large spread of 7 1/2. After further investigation UIC opponents have a combined record of 8-25. They beat up on Trinity Christian 102-66 and other w's over Chic St. Tex San Ant, and Cal Poly who at least was 5-5 although I never heard of some of the team they played.

Point is: Of course those games have changes the numbers and that's why the diff is in favor of UIC.

I went through DePaul schedule of games played so far and I recognize every team that they have played. Indeed a much tougher schedule with their 3 losses coming to Northwestern, Rutgers, and Temple.

Illinois-Chicago is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road (good)

DePaul is 5-1 straight up last 6 in this series including last years win at UIC by a score of 82-55. (know that was last year but really feel like Coach Leito has DePaul moving in the right direction)

UIC may lead in almost every statistical stat but once again because of their weak schedule numbers are inflated.

A couple of true stats are that UIC committing 16 to's a game. (like it)
DePaul shoots 75% form the ft line.

I don't know. Maybe I'm missing something in this one. I guess will see when it's over.


Oral Roberts @ Missouri St -12 1/2 (2)

Oral R at 2-8 and 3-5 ats scoring 70.2 ppg giving up 79.9 ppg for a diff of -9.7
Mo. St at 5-3 and 2-4 ats scoring 80.9 ppg giving up 63.8 ppg for a diff of 17.1

Diff of 27 and MS worth 3 maybe 4 at home. Line is a lot lower than I ever expected and has caught me nibbling on the line. No nibbling I guess I already bit the hook.

MS coming off a tough home loss to Valpo by 3 points. I think they will take it out on Oral. Oral already giving up a ton of points on the def end and MS scoring a bunch of points. Doesn't usually bold well in that situation. MS should be a lot healthier for this game s they supposedly will have everyone for this game.

Oral 8 losses by margins of 15, 7, 25, 21. 14, 28. 4, 26.

In def of Oral, they have played one hell of a schedule and do have Creighton on deck in 3 days.

Oral does have 2 w's. I can't blame them for scheduling Rogers St (87-76) and John Brown (95-63) Can you imagine what their diff would be without hose two games in their stats.

MS shooting an incredible 49.5% fg and Oral shooting at 42.8% fg.

Now I don't know how these things play out with all the finals going on as it does seem like the visiting teams are not as distracted, but I do know that if I lose this game I will still feel like I definitely made the right play. Finals is the only reason that I didn't play a (3) on this game.



Ark LR -13 (2) @ N Arizona

Ark LR at 8-2 and 3-2 ats scoring 77.6 ppg giving up 66.1 ppg for a diff of 11.5
N. Ariz at 2-8 and 3-5 ats scoring 67.1 ppg giving up 78.4 -11.3

Diff of 23 and no idea what N. Zona worth at home so I game them the automatic 3. So did I get some value with this line? Definitely looks like it on paper. I thought it would come out at around 16 or so. Anyway, worth a shot for me. I don't often take a DD road fav in less I feel really good about the game.

N. Arizona has 2 w's over Benedictine (91-63) and Alabama St (71-57) (impressive not)
N Zona has losses by 34 to Washington, 41 to UNLV. and in their last 3 games at home they have lost by 13 to Jack St, 15 to San Diego, and 34 to Cal Baker. They just can't be a very good basketball team can they? I know, I know, they could play well at home and cover the big spread. Prove it to me!

Not proving it to me with shooting % like this:

34.9% fg
68.8%ft
29% 3 pt land


Arkansas-Little Rock is 16-5 SU in its last 21 games on the road (very good tem and well coached)
Ark LR scoring 77.6 ppg and N. Zona giving up 78.4 just doesn't look good for the home team.

Ark LR schedule also has some cupcakes on it so numbers on their stats are obviously higher. Point is they are winning. Their only loss was to Pepperdine by (1). They beat a good St Bonny team and also a young Tulsa team but still got the W.

Their are reasons why N. Arizona finished at 5-25 last year and are currently 2-8.
Their are reasons why Ark LR finished at 30-5 last year and are currently 8-2.

I hope they come to play!

good luck everyone and always bet reasonably
 

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I like Depaul, but they have been starting the games so bad and have to fight back in the second half. GL today U
 

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#538 UCLA -29 -110 (2)

add:

#530 DePaul -7 1/2 -110 (2)
#546 Missouri St -12 1/2 -110 (2)
#549 Ark LR -13 -110 (2)

add: I went ahead and played the dogs that I had leans on all for a (1)

#523 Wis Milw +15 1/2 -110 (1)
#531 Wisc GB +22 1/2 -110 (1)
#533 Western Kentucky + 22 -110 (1)
#535 Cal Irvine + 10 1/2 -110 (1)
#542 Belmont +2 -110 (1)
 

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#538 UCLA -29 -110 (2)

add:

#530 DePaul -7 1/2 -110 (2)
#546 Missouri St -12 1/2 -110 (2)
#549 Ark LR -13 -110 (2)

add: I went ahead and played the dogs that I had leans on all for a (1)

#523 Wis Milw +15 1/2 -110 (1)
#531 Wisc GB +22 1/2 -110 (1)
#533 Western Kentucky + 22 -110 (1)
#535 Cal Irvine + 10 1/2 -110 (1)
#542 Belmont +2 -110 (1)

add:

2nd half: Ohio -9 1/2 -110 (1)
 

Member
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Jan 17, 2006
Messages
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#538 UCLA -29 -110 (2)

add:

#530 DePaul -7 1/2 -110 (2)
#546 Missouri St -12 1/2 -110 (2)
#549 Ark LR -13 -110 (2)

add: I went ahead and played the dogs that I had leans on all for a (1)

#523 Wis Milw +15 1/2 -110 (1)
#531 Wisc GB +22 1/2 -110 (1)
#533 Western Kentucky + 22 -110 (1)
#535 Cal Irvine + 10 1/2 -110 (1)
#542 Belmont +2 -110 (1)

add:

2nd half: Ohio -9 1/2 -110 (1)

add:

2nd half: UCLA -11 -110 (2)
 

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recap: 5-5 and a push -1.80
overall: 116-109 +6.60

1 unit: 45-50 -11.10
2 unit: 49-44 +1.20
3 unit: 22-15 +16.50

overall: 116-109 +6.60

#538 UCLA -29 -110 (2) W

add:

#530 DePaul -7 1/2 -110 (2) L
#546 Missouri St -12 1/2 -110 (2) L
#549 Ark LR -13 -110 (2) L

add: I went ahead and played the dogs that I had leans on all for a (1)

#523 Wis Milw +15 1/2 -110 (1) W
#531 Wisc GB +22 1/2 -110 (1) W
#533 Western Kentucky + 22 -110 (1) push
#535 Cal Irvine + 10 1/2 -110 (1) W
#542 Belmont +2 -110 (1) L

add:

2nd half: Ohio -9 1/2 -110 (1) L

add:

2nd half: UCLA -11 -110 (2) W
 

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Nice work with your doggies, back at it tomorrow bud.
 

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