David @ NC -15 1/2 (3)
DAVID at 5-2 and 4-3 ats scoring 74.3 ppg giving up 67.7 ppg for a diff of 6.6
UNC at 8-1 and 6-3 ats scoring 90.2 ppg giving up 65.0 ppg for a diff of 25.2
Diff of 19 NC worth 5 at home, line could be higher, big factor (Berry out for NC) 2nd leading scorer and a 90% ft shooter will be missed. So of, a lower line was expected.
I don't know how many watched NC only loss to Indiana, but coach Williams gave a lot of credit to Indiana fans and atmosphere. More or less was getting on NC fans because they aren't like that except for the Duke game. This is their first game back at home since he called them out. BTY, NC followed up that loss with a 45 point win their next game.
Add to that margin: by (20), (Okl St by 32), Wiscy by 15, Chamin by 45, Chat by 40, LBS by 26, and you sort of understand why I'm on them.
NC shooting 50.6% fg, 71.2%ft, and 38.5 from 3 pt land
David shootin g42% fg and a strong 79.8% ft and only 31.5% from 3 pt land
Valpo @ Kentucky -19 1/2 (3)
VALPO at 7-1 and 3-3 ats scoring 75.5 ppg giving up 69.8 for a diff of 5.8
KENTY at 7-1 and 6-2 ats scoring 95.1 ppg fgiving up 69.0 ppg for a diff of 26.1
Diff of 20, Kentucky worth 5, could be 24-25, but Valpo is a tough basketball team to give that many points. I'm giving them up though.
Valpo only true road game was a 22 point loss at Oregon. Kentucky only loss this year was 4 days ago at home to UCLA 97-92. WOW, rare loss at home for sure. They have had 4 days to let that soak in. I'm sure it bothered the fans more than the staff and players. I believe they will bounce back in a big way. I have to believe this spread is attainable.
Kentucky margins:
23
24
21
34
31
35
47
I just have to play them. I just don't think Valpo can hang with them.
Western Carolina vs West Virginia -33 1/2 (3) at Charleston Civic Center
W.CAR at 3-5 and 1-4 ats scoring 56.3 ppg giving up 70.0 ppg diff of -13.8
W.VA at 6-1 and 4-1 ats scoring 90.6 ppg giving up 60.3 ppg for a diff 30.3
Diff of 44, neutral court, they are going to need every point possible to cover this spread.
They only average 56 ppg and against the WV def they are going to be a hurting.
WC averaging 16 turn overs a game and WV #1 in total turnovers. Just not looking good. WIll WV call of the dogs? Maybe the main pack after up so many but they only play one way and it's aggressive.
Margins of: 32, 28, 41, beat Virginia by 9, 59, 47, hopefully will ne adding another big margin to this.
WC losses to good teams:
Miami (49)
Ohio St (35) and Ohio St is over rated
Marshall (35) Marshall is WV enemy and they will want to up this margin of victory
Marquette (40) yes the same Marquette team that raped me last night
WV it is!
Creighton -4 1/2 @ Nebraska (3)
Creighton at 8-0 and 5-1-1 ats scoring 90.8 ppg giving up 73.9 ppg for a diff 16.9
Nebraska at 5-3 and 4-3 ats scoring 69.1 ppg giving up 62.5 ppg for a diff 6.6
Diff of 10, Braska worth 3-4 at home, strange line, scary line, but I'm following the trend in this series.
Creighton is 7-3 straight up last 10 in this series and 9-1 ats in series (following it)
Nebraska is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Creighton (who has your number)
Nebraska is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games when playing at home against Creighton (like it)
Creighton can just flat out score. You don't average over 90 ppg if you can't shoot. They shoot 54% fg compared to 42% for Nebraska.
Home court can be very powerful and Nebraska has the talent to knock them off but my money on who I think the better team is in this game.
Idaho St @ Wiscy -29 (3)
ID.ST at 1-7 and 3-3 ats scoring 69.3 ppg giving up 80.0 ppg for a diff of -10.8
WISCN at 7-2 and 3-3 ats scoring 75.6 ppg giving up 60.8 ppg for a diff 14.8
Diff of 26, Wiscy worth 4-5 at home, line is close, game won't be as close,
ID St will be playing its 7th road game already this year. They aren't afraid to come to your house and play. Will pay dividends for them come conf time but in the meantime not so much fun. Already lost at Utah St by 34 and Texas Tech by 33, bunched with losses to teams that are mediocre, and I like the situation. Wiscy coming off a great 2nd half over Oklahoma and a 20 point W. They have already played a tough schedule losing only to Creighton and NC. W's over Gt by (16( and Cuse (17) and Tenn (12), and have beaten teams by 45 and 32 points.
My main concern is Marquette in 3 days. After all we all saw how Marquette took the 2nd half off last night. So be aware that a big halftime lead may lead to players 10, 11, and 12 seeing action and giving me heart attacks watching the updates on CBS sports ticker.
Wait a minute! I'll be at the ISU Butler game. I'll just get my high off that one.
Briefly on the (1) as time is short for me right now.
Butler at ISU
Big game for ISU who are coming back home after a last second shot at Utah St for a 1 point win. Maybe their will even be some people at the game. After all ISU has been playing well losing to Iowa ST by 1 and Stanford by 3. Be aware: same team that has been beaten by Quin, N. Ill in opener, so who knows which team will show up for sure. (Maybe they will show up just to see Butler play)
Season ticket holder here and I'm serious about the piss poor attendance and lack of enthusiasm by the student body.
Butler is better all around at every position on the court. Last 4 years the margin has been:
14, 23, 21, and 28.
Butler undefeated and w's over NW, Vandy, Zona, and Utah. I have a feeling coach will have them up and ready for this dangerous game if they aren't ready.
All they have to do is stop Brenton Scott from the perimeter and it could get ugly for ISU.
Xavier -1 at Colorado
Strange line but Xavier coming off a melt down in the 2nd half at Baylor and traveling again so I do understand the line. Colorado always tough at home.
Just a small play as I really do like this X team and hope they can pull it out.
GM +9 at Penn St
Saw this team play and their is no quit in them. Penn St much improved tis year but I would be surprised if they get a DD win.
