#530 Notre Dame -12 -110 (1)
VT at 12-6 (4-1) and 6-5-1 ats scoring 76.8 ppg giving up 71.3 ppg for a diff of 5.5
ND at 12-5 (3-2) and 6-8-1 ats scoring 79.2 ppg giving up 69.7 ppg for a diff of 9.5
Line is 3 points higher than I had it at. I'm ticked because I didn't want to give this many to a hot VT team. They are either suckering me in or discouraging people not to bet on ND tonight. I'm not betting on them because they are a public team and only 2-6-1 ats at home could tend one to think that they are always giving to many points. I'm on them because they are only 3-2 in conf and I think they will go after this game with a lot of urgency.
ND are 2nd in the country in to's a game (9.3). They take care of the ball.
VT averaging 13 to's a game.
ND shooting 49.9 % fg, first in the ACC and 7th in the country. They also are shooting 70.7% ft, and 39,3 from 3 pt land.
VT shooting 44.9% ft, 67.2 ft, and 33.9 3 pt land.
VT beat Georgia T by a point at GT. They came from 15 down to get the w on the road. That was impressive, and it was also their first road conf win in 18 games. Thta's righ the had a 18 game conf losing streak going until Sat. My question is: How in the heck did GT blow a 15 game point lead at home?
VT has been beaten pretty bad on away games this season. They lost on a neutral court to Iowa St (22), at St Joes (17), at WV (25), and at Duke (24). I don't thin it's to far out of the possibility that ND could win this game at home by at least a dozen.
ND is 4-0 last 4 in this series and 3-1 ats.
The average score was 81.8 to 65.5.
Worth a shot for me.
#528 WV -12 -110 (1)
Texas at 11-6 (3-2) and 5-11 ats scoring 74.8 ppg giving up 69.1 ppg for a diff of 5.6
WV at 15-2 (4-1) and 9-5 ats scoring 84.2 ppg giving up 63.8 ppg for a diff of 20.5
I like the line. Comparing the diff of 15, and my value on WV at home at 4 to 5, this line could easily be higher. They can't do that though. Not in a conf game against a opponent like Texas. Texas and Shaka, oh how have their lines been pumped up all year. Probably why they are 5-11 ats. Meanwhile, WV at 9-5 ats, and 5-2 ats at home.
Not taking anything away from Texas as they have had to learn the new system and all. They have put together a couple of nice games winning their last two at home b y 4 and 3 points over Okl St and Iowa St. So they can play the game and could be a tough out in this game. Bit it;s gambling and my play is on WV for many reasons.
WV average margin of victory at home is 33.5 ppg and WV averaging 91 ppg at home. (incredible)
WV leads the nation in steals and forced turnovers, they score 25.1 ppg off these to's. (free points and the best thing about it is less possessions for their opponents.
WV pounds the offensive boards and are averaging 19.2 2nd chance points because of their aggressive attack of the rebound.
I could go on and on. They may not cover this game. Texas actually leads this series. I still feel like I'm on the right side as this team will give you 40 minutes of hell. (Nolan Richardson's old Arkansas teams were famous for that saying)
#530 NC -16 -110 (1)
WF at 10-7 (1-4) and 5-9-1 ats scoring 76.4 ppg giving up 79.0 ppg for a diff of -2.6
NC at 16-2 (5-0) and 7-9-2 ats scoring 86.4 ppg giving up 70.9 ppg for a diff of 15.5
I have the line at NC-19-20. I'll go for it. NC off to their best conf start in a long time. I don't see any look ahead as they have VT on deck and that's not until next Sunday.
NC is 3rd in the nation in scoring at 86.4 ppg and 13th in scoring margin at 15.6 ppg.
NC are 3rd in the nation in asssits/to ratio at 1.79 and 16th in rebounding margin.
NC PG Paige has struggled offensively in his last two games he has only scored 3 points in each game. How he goes the team usually goes. I really think he will have a very good game in this one. NC got Meeks back a couple of games ago. He's played about 14 minutes. The 6'9 power forward should be ready to play more minutes in this one as he is getting closer to 100%.
North Carolina is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home (fans want more, I want more, we want big wins,) they always give to many. In conf time they show no mercy at home.
The last two times WF visited NC they lost by 33 and 25 points. (like it)
I also read that this is some celebration or something about the Dean Smith Center, maybe a little extra motivation, or distraction
#544 S Illinois -3 -110 (1)
Ind St at 10-8 (4-2) and 12-5 ats scoring 69.2 ppg giving up 67.3 ppg for a diff of 1.9
S.Illinois at 16-3 (5-1) and 10-7 ats scoring 76.9 ppg giving up 69.0 ppg for a diff of 7.9
I think we have a really nice line in this game. Could easily have been a couple of points higher imho. ISU have been playing well and are 12-5 ats and 6-3 ats away. They are coming off a beating at Wichita St by 20, and must face another top conf team on the road. There are reasons why S. Illinois are 16-3. They have played really well on the road (7-0) and are well coached with some very experienced players on the team. The line is lower because S. Ill has lost 4 straight times to ISU and have not really played that well at home losing 3 times and are only 1-4 ats last 5 at home. I just think this is tough spot for ISU to have to try and bounce back from in back to back conf road games.
Southern Illinois is 15-5 SU in its last 20 games when playing at home against Indiana State (with the exception of the last couple of years, SI has owned this game at home)
#562 Tenn +2 1/2 -110 (1)
Vandy at 10-7 (2-3) and 8-7 ats scoring 78.4 ppg giving up 65.4 ppg for a diff of 13.1
Tenn at 9-8 (2-3) and 9-6-1 ats scoring 79.7 ppg giving up 76.4 ppg for a diff of 3.3
The line screams Vandy. I thought Tenn might get at least 5 at home. So after checking into tis game I found out why it's lower than I thought it would be. One of the biggest reasons is the status of Tenn Sr. Moore, Tenn leading reb and shot blocker got hurt two games ago, wasn't cleared to play last game, and can't find out if he's playing this game or not. So it will be a bonus if he plays in the game. The reason why he is so important is Vandy is tall. I mean tall. They should be the favorite and could crunch Tenn.
Why Tenn?
Tenn is 8-0 at home this year. (tough out)
Tenn is 70-18 at home in tis series. (I know that doesn't mean a whole lot for this game, but it does tell me Vandy doesn't win at a high % at Tenn) like it
Vandy are 0-4 on true road games this season.
Vanderbilt is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road ( not doing so well)
Vanderbilt is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road (not doing so well)
Vanderbilt is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games when playing on the road against Tennessee (like it)
Vanderbilt is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Tennessee (straight up that is) I'll take any points and go with it
#564 Seton Hall +7 -110 (1)
Villanova at 16-2 (6-0) and 10-7 ats scoring 75.8 ppg giving up 60.0 ppg for a diff of 15.8
Seton Hall at 13-4 (3-2) and 10-6 ats scoring 73.9 ppg giving up 65.9 ppg for a diff of 8.1
Line should be at 4 so of course I'm taking the home dog. Nova coming off a big win at GT on the road and have Providence on deck. Nova just beat Seton two weeks ago 72-63 at home. Nova is tough. All 5 starters average in DD's ppg. This won't be easy for Seton Hall to hang around in this game. If you get behind and have to foul at the end they shoot 75.9% from the line. (what I did notice though, was Nova gave the layups the last30 seconds of the GT game, 3 times they let GT have a layup). If it comes down to that I hope they do it again.
I don't know if Nova just doesn't take this game seriously, or if Seton Hall is just always so fired up that they keep it close at home. Villanova is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Seton Hall for sample. The last 4 at the HALL were decided by 5, 16, 1, and 3. I really think Seton Hall has a very nice team this year and just might give Nova all they can handle. It just seems like a dangerous game for the undefeated Nova in conf. After all, the way top teams are dropping games this season nothing would surprise me.
#568 Louisville -9 1/2 -110 (1)
Florida St at 12-5 (2-3) and 7-6 ats scoring 80.2 ppg giving up 72.9 ppg for a dif of 7.2
Louisville at 14-3 (3-1) and 7-6 ats scoring 80.5 ppg giving up 57.8 ppg for a diff of 22.8
I think the line could be higher, but Louisville is so heckle and jeckle you never know what your going to get from them on the offensive end of the court. What yu do know is that they can defend. My gosh, 57.8 ppg with a shot clock is almost unbelievable in the game today. I read where 3o times they have held teams scoreless for over 3 minutes. Last year Louisville won this game at Florida St 81-59, that is the only game listed between them in the matchups. I just think Florida St will have a hard time competing at Louis and they just came off a nice W over Virginia. Their freshman will see pressure and a lot of times full court. Their are usually no easy shots in Lois half court D. I know I'm letting that Pitt at Louis game influence me, but that was one of the toughest def efforts I've seen in a long time.
Good luck everyone
VT at 12-6 (4-1) and 6-5-1 ats scoring 76.8 ppg giving up 71.3 ppg for a diff of 5.5
ND at 12-5 (3-2) and 6-8-1 ats scoring 79.2 ppg giving up 69.7 ppg for a diff of 9.5
Line is 3 points higher than I had it at. I'm ticked because I didn't want to give this many to a hot VT team. They are either suckering me in or discouraging people not to bet on ND tonight. I'm not betting on them because they are a public team and only 2-6-1 ats at home could tend one to think that they are always giving to many points. I'm on them because they are only 3-2 in conf and I think they will go after this game with a lot of urgency.
ND are 2nd in the country in to's a game (9.3). They take care of the ball.
VT averaging 13 to's a game.
ND shooting 49.9 % fg, first in the ACC and 7th in the country. They also are shooting 70.7% ft, and 39,3 from 3 pt land.
VT shooting 44.9% ft, 67.2 ft, and 33.9 3 pt land.
VT beat Georgia T by a point at GT. They came from 15 down to get the w on the road. That was impressive, and it was also their first road conf win in 18 games. Thta's righ the had a 18 game conf losing streak going until Sat. My question is: How in the heck did GT blow a 15 game point lead at home?
VT has been beaten pretty bad on away games this season. They lost on a neutral court to Iowa St (22), at St Joes (17), at WV (25), and at Duke (24). I don't thin it's to far out of the possibility that ND could win this game at home by at least a dozen.
ND is 4-0 last 4 in this series and 3-1 ats.
The average score was 81.8 to 65.5.
Worth a shot for me.
#528 WV -12 -110 (1)
Texas at 11-6 (3-2) and 5-11 ats scoring 74.8 ppg giving up 69.1 ppg for a diff of 5.6
WV at 15-2 (4-1) and 9-5 ats scoring 84.2 ppg giving up 63.8 ppg for a diff of 20.5
I like the line. Comparing the diff of 15, and my value on WV at home at 4 to 5, this line could easily be higher. They can't do that though. Not in a conf game against a opponent like Texas. Texas and Shaka, oh how have their lines been pumped up all year. Probably why they are 5-11 ats. Meanwhile, WV at 9-5 ats, and 5-2 ats at home.
Not taking anything away from Texas as they have had to learn the new system and all. They have put together a couple of nice games winning their last two at home b y 4 and 3 points over Okl St and Iowa St. So they can play the game and could be a tough out in this game. Bit it;s gambling and my play is on WV for many reasons.
WV average margin of victory at home is 33.5 ppg and WV averaging 91 ppg at home. (incredible)
WV leads the nation in steals and forced turnovers, they score 25.1 ppg off these to's. (free points and the best thing about it is less possessions for their opponents.
WV pounds the offensive boards and are averaging 19.2 2nd chance points because of their aggressive attack of the rebound.
I could go on and on. They may not cover this game. Texas actually leads this series. I still feel like I'm on the right side as this team will give you 40 minutes of hell. (Nolan Richardson's old Arkansas teams were famous for that saying)
#530 NC -16 -110 (1)
WF at 10-7 (1-4) and 5-9-1 ats scoring 76.4 ppg giving up 79.0 ppg for a diff of -2.6
NC at 16-2 (5-0) and 7-9-2 ats scoring 86.4 ppg giving up 70.9 ppg for a diff of 15.5
I have the line at NC-19-20. I'll go for it. NC off to their best conf start in a long time. I don't see any look ahead as they have VT on deck and that's not until next Sunday.
NC is 3rd in the nation in scoring at 86.4 ppg and 13th in scoring margin at 15.6 ppg.
NC are 3rd in the nation in asssits/to ratio at 1.79 and 16th in rebounding margin.
NC PG Paige has struggled offensively in his last two games he has only scored 3 points in each game. How he goes the team usually goes. I really think he will have a very good game in this one. NC got Meeks back a couple of games ago. He's played about 14 minutes. The 6'9 power forward should be ready to play more minutes in this one as he is getting closer to 100%.
North Carolina is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home (fans want more, I want more, we want big wins,) they always give to many. In conf time they show no mercy at home.
The last two times WF visited NC they lost by 33 and 25 points. (like it)
I also read that this is some celebration or something about the Dean Smith Center, maybe a little extra motivation, or distraction
#544 S Illinois -3 -110 (1)
Ind St at 10-8 (4-2) and 12-5 ats scoring 69.2 ppg giving up 67.3 ppg for a diff of 1.9
S.Illinois at 16-3 (5-1) and 10-7 ats scoring 76.9 ppg giving up 69.0 ppg for a diff of 7.9
I think we have a really nice line in this game. Could easily have been a couple of points higher imho. ISU have been playing well and are 12-5 ats and 6-3 ats away. They are coming off a beating at Wichita St by 20, and must face another top conf team on the road. There are reasons why S. Illinois are 16-3. They have played really well on the road (7-0) and are well coached with some very experienced players on the team. The line is lower because S. Ill has lost 4 straight times to ISU and have not really played that well at home losing 3 times and are only 1-4 ats last 5 at home. I just think this is tough spot for ISU to have to try and bounce back from in back to back conf road games.
Southern Illinois is 15-5 SU in its last 20 games when playing at home against Indiana State (with the exception of the last couple of years, SI has owned this game at home)
#562 Tenn +2 1/2 -110 (1)
Vandy at 10-7 (2-3) and 8-7 ats scoring 78.4 ppg giving up 65.4 ppg for a diff of 13.1
Tenn at 9-8 (2-3) and 9-6-1 ats scoring 79.7 ppg giving up 76.4 ppg for a diff of 3.3
The line screams Vandy. I thought Tenn might get at least 5 at home. So after checking into tis game I found out why it's lower than I thought it would be. One of the biggest reasons is the status of Tenn Sr. Moore, Tenn leading reb and shot blocker got hurt two games ago, wasn't cleared to play last game, and can't find out if he's playing this game or not. So it will be a bonus if he plays in the game. The reason why he is so important is Vandy is tall. I mean tall. They should be the favorite and could crunch Tenn.
Why Tenn?
Tenn is 8-0 at home this year. (tough out)
Tenn is 70-18 at home in tis series. (I know that doesn't mean a whole lot for this game, but it does tell me Vandy doesn't win at a high % at Tenn) like it
Vandy are 0-4 on true road games this season.
Vanderbilt is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road ( not doing so well)
Vanderbilt is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road (not doing so well)
Vanderbilt is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games when playing on the road against Tennessee (like it)
Vanderbilt is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Tennessee (straight up that is) I'll take any points and go with it
#564 Seton Hall +7 -110 (1)
Villanova at 16-2 (6-0) and 10-7 ats scoring 75.8 ppg giving up 60.0 ppg for a diff of 15.8
Seton Hall at 13-4 (3-2) and 10-6 ats scoring 73.9 ppg giving up 65.9 ppg for a diff of 8.1
Line should be at 4 so of course I'm taking the home dog. Nova coming off a big win at GT on the road and have Providence on deck. Nova just beat Seton two weeks ago 72-63 at home. Nova is tough. All 5 starters average in DD's ppg. This won't be easy for Seton Hall to hang around in this game. If you get behind and have to foul at the end they shoot 75.9% from the line. (what I did notice though, was Nova gave the layups the last30 seconds of the GT game, 3 times they let GT have a layup). If it comes down to that I hope they do it again.
I don't know if Nova just doesn't take this game seriously, or if Seton Hall is just always so fired up that they keep it close at home. Villanova is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Seton Hall for sample. The last 4 at the HALL were decided by 5, 16, 1, and 3. I really think Seton Hall has a very nice team this year and just might give Nova all they can handle. It just seems like a dangerous game for the undefeated Nova in conf. After all, the way top teams are dropping games this season nothing would surprise me.
#568 Louisville -9 1/2 -110 (1)
Florida St at 12-5 (2-3) and 7-6 ats scoring 80.2 ppg giving up 72.9 ppg for a dif of 7.2
Louisville at 14-3 (3-1) and 7-6 ats scoring 80.5 ppg giving up 57.8 ppg for a diff of 22.8
I think the line could be higher, but Louisville is so heckle and jeckle you never know what your going to get from them on the offensive end of the court. What yu do know is that they can defend. My gosh, 57.8 ppg with a shot clock is almost unbelievable in the game today. I read where 3o times they have held teams scoreless for over 3 minutes. Last year Louisville won this game at Florida St 81-59, that is the only game listed between them in the matchups. I just think Florida St will have a hard time competing at Louis and they just came off a nice W over Virginia. Their freshman will see pressure and a lot of times full court. Their are usually no easy shots in Lois half court D. I know I'm letting that Pitt at Louis game influence me, but that was one of the toughest def efforts I've seen in a long time.
Good luck everyone
recap: 4-4 -.40
overall: 197-157 +27.10
1 unit: 184-147+23.45
2 unit: 13-10 + 3.65
overall: 197-157 +27.10
#530 Notre Dame -12 -110 (1) L
#528 WV -12 -110 (1) L
#530 NC -16 -110 (1) L
#544 S Illinois -3 -110 (1) W
#562 Tenn +2 1/2 -110 (1) L
#564 Seton Hall +7 -110 (1) W
#568 Louisville -9 1/2 -110 (1) W
add:
2nd half: Georgia -1 1/2 -110 (1) W
overall: 197-157 +27.10
1 unit: 184-147+23.45
2 unit: 13-10 + 3.65
overall: 197-157 +27.10
#530 Notre Dame -12 -110 (1) L
#528 WV -12 -110 (1) L
#530 NC -16 -110 (1) L
#544 S Illinois -3 -110 (1) W
#562 Tenn +2 1/2 -110 (1) L
#564 Seton Hall +7 -110 (1) W
#568 Louisville -9 1/2 -110 (1) W
add:
2nd half: Georgia -1 1/2 -110 (1) W
