NCAA (Wednesday)

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yesterday: 4-3 +.70

overall: 134-86 +39.50

Just played these, will post reasons tomorrow. I may add as I didn't get through them all tonight.


#730 Missouri +5 -110
#778 Baylor -12 -115
#780 Michigan -28 1/2 -110

thanks and good luck everyone
 

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Thanks again for all your hard work United and good luck today.

I assume you will be hitting at the same rate for the rest of the season!!!!!!!
 

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#730 Missouri +5 -110

Missouri at 5-5 and 6-3 ats scoring 68.8 ppg giving up 72.8 ppg a diff of -4.0
Illinois at 7-5 and 4-4-2 ats scoring 77.2 ppg giving 75.3 ppg a diff of 1.8

Game played at Scottrade Center in St Louis, Missouri

It's a neutral court but advantage of course to Mizz.

Both teams have been struggling this year and aren't projected to do real well in conf play. The Illini have been hit hard with injuries and have adjusted pretty well. It leaves their bench even thinner but young guys are gaining valuable experience for next year. Mizz has had to learn a new system with their new coach and are starting to show improvement. Stat wise edges go to the Illini, but, in this game you can usually throw stats out the window and expect a dog fight.

The last 10 in this series: 6 won by the Illini and 4 won by Missouri with the average score 69.5 to 67.6. Now that's a close series.

Margin of victory: 3, 1, 9, 4, 11, 3, 13, 16, 1, 3, so 6 out of 10 were decided by 4 or less points.

This year the teams seem very close and I'm hoping for another close game. Missouri could win this thing out right so I'll gladly take the spot.


#778 Baylor -12 -115

NMS at 7-5 and 3-3 ats scoring 72.2 ppg giving up 64.9 ppg for a diff 7.3
Baylor at 8-2 and 0-4 ats scoring 82.4 ppg giving up 63.1 a diff of 19.3

I thought the line might be a little higher for Baylor. I guess they don't think like I do on some of the games.

Baylor coming off a embarrassing beating 80-61 at A & M. Games like that tend to fire up the coach and team even more for their next game. They are definitely ready to get back out on the court and erase that lousy feeling. Baylor has not lost at home with margins of victory by 42, 17, 39, 22, 39, 13, and 45. I know a lot of those opponents were weak, but still no mercy when Baylor plays at home. Baylor leads in all stats except def rebs and that's close. Baylor shoots really well from the ft line at 74% compared to 67% for NMS.

Baylor won last year by 11 at NMS and I really feel like they can win again this year by even more.
NMS are 1-3 on the road with a recent win over UTEP and losses at AF (2), LBS (19), NM (18)

Bears should be hungry tonight.


#780 Michigan -28 1/2 -110

Bryant at 2-9 and 1-1 ats scoring 61.5 ppg giving up 77.8 ppg a diff of -16.4
Michigan at 9-3 and 6-4 ats scoring 78.0 ppg giving up 60.8 ppg for a diff 17.2


Spread could be higher but will Michigan coach be in the Christmas spirit and play subs more minutes than usual. Maybe I'll use that as my excuse if I lose this one.

Michigan shooting 49.9% fg, 71.5%ft, and making 10.3 from 3pt land
Bryant shooting 39% fg, 57.5 ft, and 6 3's a game.

Should get ugly. Even the Michigan scrubs should be able to keep or ad to the lead.

Mich have been crunching the yo yo's with margins of 59, 47, 55 and a lot in the 20's and above.

Bryant have been beat by Duke (38), Harvard (35), Georgetown (30), and Yale (39)

Shouldn't Michigan be added to this list? I'll take my chances and play Michigan.

Good luck everyone and bet reasonably
 

your worst nightmare
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#730 Missouri +5 -110
#778 Baylor -12 -115
#780 Michigan -28 1/2 -110

Again, I'm riding ALL 3 of your plays.

Your write-ups and analysis for each of these games are in-depth and compelling.

It certainly showcases your superior acumen in the "art" of college basketball handicapping.

Let's face it, friend. You're in a "zone" so far this college hoops season, and again I'm feeling the POSITIVE energy in this thread.
Continued success, United. Let's get these 3 to cash for us! :toast:
 

"Go crazy folks...Go crazy!!"...R.I.P. JB
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Thanks for all you do United. Well done this season. Keep it up!!
 

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I'm in United and added 1H Baylor and 1H Mich because I know that you are spot on with your analysis. Positive forums equal postive days... let's keep it going and Happy BOLidays everyone!
 

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#730 Missouri +5 -110
#778 Baylor -12 -115
#780 Michigan -28 1/2 -110

add

#749 Auburn -3 1/2 -110
#751 Oklahoma -6 1/2 -110

starting reasons now for the adds
 

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#749 Auburn -3 1/2 -110

Auburn at 6-3 and 5-3 ats scoring 83.8 ppg giving up 78.7 ppg for a diff of 5.1
Harvard at 4-6 and 2-4 ats scoring 67.1 ppg giving up 65.4 ppg for a diff of 1.7

Neutral

Both teams heading towards the back to back games and stamina and conditioning become a factor. Harvard game went into OT against BYU who are a pretty fast paced team. Auburn sped up NM last night and just wore them down. That is how Bruce Pearl coached teams play the game. They will get extra possessions and some quick points off to's. I don't know for sure, but my assumption would be Auburn is more built (style of play) for back to back games than Harvard.

Key stats favor Auburn including off rebs, fg and ft %, more 3's and steals. This won't be easy as Harvard can play and hang around most teams (I had Harvard last night) but just think Auburn will be the more aggressive team in this one.


#751 Oklahoma -6 1/2 -110

Oklahoma at 9-0 and 6-1 ats scoring 87.8 ppg giving up 63.9 ppg for a diff of 23.9
Hawaii at 8-1 and 2-3 ats scoring 80.2 ppg giving up 67.4 ppg for a diff of 12.8

I think they are giving Hawaii to much credit for being at home in this game. I know that it's a tough place to play at. Between the environment, distractions, and the intimidation factors make it a tough place to play. Hawaii have beaten a lot of teams this year by a lot of points. I personally don't feel like any of those teams were very good to begin with. Although I can't deny that they beat N. Iowa by a lot more than I thought they would.

Oklahoma to me is definitely a top 5 team in the country. When I compared the schedules between these two teams: Okl with w's over Wash St (28), Creighton (13), Wiscy (17), Nova (23), compared to Hawaii schedule, no offense meant to Hawaii, but other than N. Iowa (16), the only other team they have played that is any decent was a loss at Texas Tech (8)


So most stats are in fav of Oklahoma, and even though they are on the road in this environment I'm taking a shot at them in this game. It won't be easy, but I think they are at least 10 points better than Hawaii.

good luck everyone and happy holidays
 

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I don't see any outs on the Oklahoma game. The 2nd half line stinks unless you bet Hawaii for the game. Oklahoma had a chance at burying them early. Now just going to ride it out as the worst that can happen is the Greece for tonight.

#730 Missouri +5 -110 push
#778 Baylor -12 -115 W
#780 Michigan -28 1/2 -110 W

add

#749 Auburn -3 1/2 -110 L
#751 Oklahoma -6 1/2 -110 pending
 

Member
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recap: 2-2 and a push -.20

overall: 136-88 +39.30


#730 Missouri +5 -110 push
#778 Baylor -12 -115 W
#780 Michigan -28 1/2 -110 W

add

#749 Auburn -3 1/2 -110 L
#751 Oklahoma -6 1/2 -110 L
 

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Thanks for all you do United -Happy Holidays to you and your family....had the hook on Mizzu and missed the Auburn game!
recap: 2-2 and a push -.20

overall: 136-88 +39.30


#730 Missouri +5 -110 push
#778 Baylor -12 -115 W
#780 Michigan -28 1/2 -110 W

add

#749 Auburn -3 1/2 -110 L
#751 Oklahoma -6 1/2 -110 L
 

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