#502 Pitt -11 -110
WF at 10-15 (1-12) and 8-13-2 ats scoring 74.0 ppg giving up 79.9 ppg for a diff of -5.9
Pitt at 17-7 (6-6) and10-11 ats scoring 77.8 ppg giving up 67.0 ppg for a diff of 10.8
A diff of 17, I have Pitt worth 3-4 at home, no way can you give WF 20+ in this game. I still think 11 is attainable in this game. Pitt riding a 3 games skid all to teams ranked 15th or lower. They were ambushed at NC on Sunday losing by 19. We all knew NC was due for a bounce back as they forced 19 to's and kheld Pitt to 34% fg shooting.
Pitt scoring at 77.8 ppg on the year, but at home are averging 80.6 ppg and shooting 54.5% fg.
Pitt leads in every stat but made 3 pt ers and it's close.
Pitt shooting 76.5% from the ft line compared to 66.8 for WF.
WF 1-12 in conf and riding a 10 game conf skid where they have lost on the road by margins of 11, 5, 23, 14, 15, and 2. Ths will be their 3 straight road game.
Pitt returns home after a two game road trip and at 6-6 in conf play. They will not be overlooking anyone at this stage of the season. This team is to talented and have to start getting it together. After that NC beating one would think that they just might be ready to play tonight.
#506 Purdue -13 -110
NW at 17-9 (5-8) and 9-12-2 ats scoring 72.2 ppg giving up 66.3 ppg for a diff of 5.9
Purdue at 20-6 (8-5) and 12-10 ats scoring 77.6 ppg giving up 63.6 ppg for a diff of 14.0
Diff of 8, Pursue worth 5 at home and line is on cue. NW coming off a nice W at home by two 58-56 over Illinois. Purdue coming off a choke job at Michigan where they lost by 5 as Michigan scored the last 9 points of the game. At 8-5 in conf play I expect Purdue to be in full level A mode. They can't get caught up in NW pace. They must defend the 3 ball to win and cover this spread. NW has hit at least 9 3's in their last 4 games. Defend, contest, whatever, just get out on them. Purdue must speed up the pace as NW does not go very deep into the bench.
Purdue ranked 3rd in def rebs, 5th in reb margin at (+10.8), incidently Purdue had out rebounded their opponent in every game except their last game at Michigan.(39-35)
P also ranked 10th in def fg%, so hopefully they guard the perimeter.
P a really good ft shooting team at 74.2% compared to NW at 66.5%.
Purdue averages 20.5 fta and makes 15.1 a game.
NW averages 17.3 fta and makes 11.5 a game.
Going to hope the Boilers can keep their student body fired up and pull away and get a nice win by a nice cover.
#508 Texas -2 -110
WV at 20-5 (9-3) and 14-8 ats scoring 80.0 ppg giving up 64.8 ppg for a diff of 15.2
Texas at 16-9 (7-5) and 12-12 ats scoring 72.3 ppg giving up 67.1 ppg for a diff of 5.2
A diff of 10, Texas worth 4 at home, yet Texas at -2. Can't give Texas +5 or 6 at home. I'm thinking WV only a 1/2 game behind Kansas in the standings and have revenge on their minds and that the experts think we might jump all over the ranked team getting points. When I look back on the first meeting won by Texas 56-49, at WV, I was curious on how they handles the pressure of WV. The stats said they only committed 8 to's on the road in that crazy environment. I'm almost always on the home team in conf play and their are times when it doesn't work out so well. Those times are usually the really big spot games where the home team wins but not by enough to get the cover. With a 2 point spread it's not near as bad although I've lost many anyway.
Texas are 5-1 straight up last 6 in this series. (good)
Texas are 12-1 at home this year. (real good)
Texas will have to take care of the ball and limit WV on the offensive boards. WV pounds the glass.
WV coming off a 32 point pounding over TCU.
Texas riding a two game losing streak. They lost on the road at Iowa St (10) closer than the final score dictates, and at Oklahoma by 3. They could have won that game.
I think they will bounce back and avoid a 3 game losing streak and WV will find out real quick that their not playing TCU in this game.
#534 VCU -8 -110
Rhode Island at 14-11 (6-6) and 10-13 ats scoring 70.2 ppg giving up 64.1 ppg for a diff of 6.1
VCU at 18-7 (10-2) and 14-6 ats scoring 77.8 ppg giving up 66.7 ppg for a diff of 11.1
Line is spot on for this game. All of the stats favor VCU except defensive points scored per game and that is close. VCU coming off a blowout win over St Louis busting a two game skid. Everyone got PT with the 30 point blow out and should be well rested for this one. Rhode Island coming off a hear breaking two point home loss to Dayton. They had their chances and didn't finish the job. VCU is right in the hunt for a conf championship and they should be ready to go. That defense is tough. They rank 4th in def to's a game and have a turnover margin of +5.1. They have sold out 80 straight games and what a tough environment to play at for the visitor.
VCU also the better rebounding team, better ft shooting team, and the big edge in the turnover margin.
Rhode Island is 2-10 ATS in its last 12 games on the road (wow, must not play very well away from home)
Rhode Island is 2-10 SU in its last 12 games on the road (don't win very many away from home)
VCU are 8-3 ats at home this season (like it and they fire up for the fans)
Rhode Island are 2-7 ats away this season. (hopefully soon to be 2-8 ats)
I may lose, but Rhode Island will have to play one heck of a game for that to happen.
#550 Baylor -2 -110
Iowa St at 18-7 (7-5) and 12-9-1 ats scoring 82.3 ppg giving up 73.8 ppg for a diff of 8.5
Baylor at 18-7 (7-5) and 6-12-1 ats scoring 78.1 ppg giving up 68.9 ppg for a diff of 9.2
I thought Baylor might be -4 for the game. So of course I like them at -2 even better. Both teams sporting identical records for all games and conf play. I go to like the home team for this big espn game in hopefully in front of a sold out crowd of 10,000 +. Baylor are 10-2 at Waco in this series. (like it)
Baylor won at Iowa St 94-89 on Jan 9. BTY, the o/u is 8-2 last 10 in this series. I almost played it but decided to play Baylor line instead.
Baylor is 2nd in offensive rebs and 13th in rebounding margin in the NCAA.
Baylor have 5 players averaging DD's in conf play and no ball hogs as they all like to move the ball around and find the open man.
The Baylor bench is good. In the last 11 games they are averaging 25.1 ppg. (like it)
Consistency: Baylor has had the same starting line-up in 25 out of 25 games.
The home team does very well in this series. They home team is 22 and 4 last 26 in this series.
Iowa St are 6-3 ats on the road. (don't like it)
Baylor are 3-8 ats at home (don't like it, but it's bad because Baylor is usually giving to many points at home) good chance that the spread won't matter, just win
I think Baylor can match up well with Niang (he is tough) Gathers needs to stay out of foul trouble and then we stand a good shot at this one.
Speaking of ft shooting: HUGE ADVANTAGE BAYLOR
Baylor: FTA: 562 FTM: 416 74% Baylor has made more ft's than Iowa St has attempted on the season. Do the math: 7 more attempts and 6 more makes a game for Baylor
Iowa S: FTA: 397 FTM: 273 68.8%
Once again, I may go down, but that's the way it goes sometimes.
#544 Georgia P -110
Florida at 16-9 (7-5) and 12-10-1 ats scoring 73.7 ppg giving up 66.4 ppg for a diff of 7.3
Georgia at 14-9 (7-5) and 13-10 ats scoring 69.3 ppg giving up 67.8 ppg for a diff of 1.5
Diff of 6, Georgia worth 4 at home, I like the line. If it sucked me in so be it. Stats are fairly close and Georgia the better shooting ft team by 4 percentage points. (could be big in a close game and with the line at a pick they are expecting a close game)
Georgia is #6 in def fg effieciency. They need to D it up in this one.
G are 12-3 at home this year and 5-1 at home in conf play.
Georgia has 4 players averaging DD's in points. Maten has been on fire and recently passed up Frazier for most points. His 16.8 and 8 rebs lead the team. Frazier at 15.4 ppg, Gaines at 13.1, and Mann at 11 ppg. Who do you stop?
Florida coming off a rare home loss 61-55 to Bama. I think they will be ready and they will have to be ready to get a w on the road in the SEC. I read where they lead all conf in home court winning %. I hope it continues tonight.
Florida is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games on the road (good)
Georgia is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games at home (good)
Florida won the first meeting at home 77-63 back on Jan 2. Who is ready to play on the road the day after new years? Not to many. Since that meeting Florida has cooled down some what and Georgia has improved a lot since then.
I guess will see what happens, but once again taking the home team, just win!
#548 Illinois -15 -110
Rutgers at 6-19 (0-12) and 9-11 ats scoring 68.4 ppg giving up 80.0 ppg for a diff of -11.6
Illinois at 11-14 (3-9) and 9-11-3 ats scoring 73.4 ppg giving up 75.5 ppg for a diff of -2.2
Diff of 9, Illinois this year is down to a extra 3 only for home court, line could be 6 but we all know that isn't gong to happen. The last time these two teams met Rutgers choked off their first really good effort and chance for their first big 10 win of the season losing in triple OT 110-101. They also blew the ats cover.
Their stud Sanders scored 39 points and had 12 assists in that game. He is gone! Suspended for 4 games.
PG Sanders: gone are 33.5 minutes, 16.2 ppg, 3.2 rebounds, 4.1 assists, 2 steals, 42,2 fg%, and 71.6 ft%, and a 3 pt threat gone.
This team already has a point diff of 11.6. This team already turns the ball over 14 times a game. This team has already lost big 10 games by astounding margins. I have no choice but to go against them in their first game without their star player. Rutgers bench has already taken big hits all year. I actually felel sorry for their coach, a x Rutgers player who is just not getting any breaks this season.
As for the Illini letting down: Come on man! This team hasn't quit all season. They have 3 studs who have been out either all year or only played some at the beginning of the season.
Getting kind of tired typing, so just going to stop it right here: I would have bet a (2) on this game but didn't want to jinx myself.
good luck everyone
WF at 10-15 (1-12) and 8-13-2 ats scoring 74.0 ppg giving up 79.9 ppg for a diff of -5.9
Pitt at 17-7 (6-6) and10-11 ats scoring 77.8 ppg giving up 67.0 ppg for a diff of 10.8
A diff of 17, I have Pitt worth 3-4 at home, no way can you give WF 20+ in this game. I still think 11 is attainable in this game. Pitt riding a 3 games skid all to teams ranked 15th or lower. They were ambushed at NC on Sunday losing by 19. We all knew NC was due for a bounce back as they forced 19 to's and kheld Pitt to 34% fg shooting.
Pitt scoring at 77.8 ppg on the year, but at home are averging 80.6 ppg and shooting 54.5% fg.
Pitt leads in every stat but made 3 pt ers and it's close.
Pitt shooting 76.5% from the ft line compared to 66.8 for WF.
WF 1-12 in conf and riding a 10 game conf skid where they have lost on the road by margins of 11, 5, 23, 14, 15, and 2. Ths will be their 3 straight road game.
Pitt returns home after a two game road trip and at 6-6 in conf play. They will not be overlooking anyone at this stage of the season. This team is to talented and have to start getting it together. After that NC beating one would think that they just might be ready to play tonight.
#506 Purdue -13 -110
NW at 17-9 (5-8) and 9-12-2 ats scoring 72.2 ppg giving up 66.3 ppg for a diff of 5.9
Purdue at 20-6 (8-5) and 12-10 ats scoring 77.6 ppg giving up 63.6 ppg for a diff of 14.0
Diff of 8, Pursue worth 5 at home and line is on cue. NW coming off a nice W at home by two 58-56 over Illinois. Purdue coming off a choke job at Michigan where they lost by 5 as Michigan scored the last 9 points of the game. At 8-5 in conf play I expect Purdue to be in full level A mode. They can't get caught up in NW pace. They must defend the 3 ball to win and cover this spread. NW has hit at least 9 3's in their last 4 games. Defend, contest, whatever, just get out on them. Purdue must speed up the pace as NW does not go very deep into the bench.
Purdue ranked 3rd in def rebs, 5th in reb margin at (+10.8), incidently Purdue had out rebounded their opponent in every game except their last game at Michigan.(39-35)
P also ranked 10th in def fg%, so hopefully they guard the perimeter.
P a really good ft shooting team at 74.2% compared to NW at 66.5%.
Purdue averages 20.5 fta and makes 15.1 a game.
NW averages 17.3 fta and makes 11.5 a game.
Going to hope the Boilers can keep their student body fired up and pull away and get a nice win by a nice cover.
#508 Texas -2 -110
WV at 20-5 (9-3) and 14-8 ats scoring 80.0 ppg giving up 64.8 ppg for a diff of 15.2
Texas at 16-9 (7-5) and 12-12 ats scoring 72.3 ppg giving up 67.1 ppg for a diff of 5.2
A diff of 10, Texas worth 4 at home, yet Texas at -2. Can't give Texas +5 or 6 at home. I'm thinking WV only a 1/2 game behind Kansas in the standings and have revenge on their minds and that the experts think we might jump all over the ranked team getting points. When I look back on the first meeting won by Texas 56-49, at WV, I was curious on how they handles the pressure of WV. The stats said they only committed 8 to's on the road in that crazy environment. I'm almost always on the home team in conf play and their are times when it doesn't work out so well. Those times are usually the really big spot games where the home team wins but not by enough to get the cover. With a 2 point spread it's not near as bad although I've lost many anyway.
Texas are 5-1 straight up last 6 in this series. (good)
Texas are 12-1 at home this year. (real good)
Texas will have to take care of the ball and limit WV on the offensive boards. WV pounds the glass.
WV coming off a 32 point pounding over TCU.
Texas riding a two game losing streak. They lost on the road at Iowa St (10) closer than the final score dictates, and at Oklahoma by 3. They could have won that game.
I think they will bounce back and avoid a 3 game losing streak and WV will find out real quick that their not playing TCU in this game.
#534 VCU -8 -110
Rhode Island at 14-11 (6-6) and 10-13 ats scoring 70.2 ppg giving up 64.1 ppg for a diff of 6.1
VCU at 18-7 (10-2) and 14-6 ats scoring 77.8 ppg giving up 66.7 ppg for a diff of 11.1
Line is spot on for this game. All of the stats favor VCU except defensive points scored per game and that is close. VCU coming off a blowout win over St Louis busting a two game skid. Everyone got PT with the 30 point blow out and should be well rested for this one. Rhode Island coming off a hear breaking two point home loss to Dayton. They had their chances and didn't finish the job. VCU is right in the hunt for a conf championship and they should be ready to go. That defense is tough. They rank 4th in def to's a game and have a turnover margin of +5.1. They have sold out 80 straight games and what a tough environment to play at for the visitor.
VCU also the better rebounding team, better ft shooting team, and the big edge in the turnover margin.
Rhode Island is 2-10 ATS in its last 12 games on the road (wow, must not play very well away from home)
Rhode Island is 2-10 SU in its last 12 games on the road (don't win very many away from home)
VCU are 8-3 ats at home this season (like it and they fire up for the fans)
Rhode Island are 2-7 ats away this season. (hopefully soon to be 2-8 ats)
I may lose, but Rhode Island will have to play one heck of a game for that to happen.
#550 Baylor -2 -110
Iowa St at 18-7 (7-5) and 12-9-1 ats scoring 82.3 ppg giving up 73.8 ppg for a diff of 8.5
Baylor at 18-7 (7-5) and 6-12-1 ats scoring 78.1 ppg giving up 68.9 ppg for a diff of 9.2
I thought Baylor might be -4 for the game. So of course I like them at -2 even better. Both teams sporting identical records for all games and conf play. I go to like the home team for this big espn game in hopefully in front of a sold out crowd of 10,000 +. Baylor are 10-2 at Waco in this series. (like it)
Baylor won at Iowa St 94-89 on Jan 9. BTY, the o/u is 8-2 last 10 in this series. I almost played it but decided to play Baylor line instead.
Baylor is 2nd in offensive rebs and 13th in rebounding margin in the NCAA.
Baylor have 5 players averaging DD's in conf play and no ball hogs as they all like to move the ball around and find the open man.
The Baylor bench is good. In the last 11 games they are averaging 25.1 ppg. (like it)
Consistency: Baylor has had the same starting line-up in 25 out of 25 games.
The home team does very well in this series. They home team is 22 and 4 last 26 in this series.
Iowa St are 6-3 ats on the road. (don't like it)
Baylor are 3-8 ats at home (don't like it, but it's bad because Baylor is usually giving to many points at home) good chance that the spread won't matter, just win
I think Baylor can match up well with Niang (he is tough) Gathers needs to stay out of foul trouble and then we stand a good shot at this one.
Speaking of ft shooting: HUGE ADVANTAGE BAYLOR
Baylor: FTA: 562 FTM: 416 74% Baylor has made more ft's than Iowa St has attempted on the season. Do the math: 7 more attempts and 6 more makes a game for Baylor
Iowa S: FTA: 397 FTM: 273 68.8%
Once again, I may go down, but that's the way it goes sometimes.
#544 Georgia P -110
Florida at 16-9 (7-5) and 12-10-1 ats scoring 73.7 ppg giving up 66.4 ppg for a diff of 7.3
Georgia at 14-9 (7-5) and 13-10 ats scoring 69.3 ppg giving up 67.8 ppg for a diff of 1.5
Diff of 6, Georgia worth 4 at home, I like the line. If it sucked me in so be it. Stats are fairly close and Georgia the better shooting ft team by 4 percentage points. (could be big in a close game and with the line at a pick they are expecting a close game)
Georgia is #6 in def fg effieciency. They need to D it up in this one.
G are 12-3 at home this year and 5-1 at home in conf play.
Georgia has 4 players averaging DD's in points. Maten has been on fire and recently passed up Frazier for most points. His 16.8 and 8 rebs lead the team. Frazier at 15.4 ppg, Gaines at 13.1, and Mann at 11 ppg. Who do you stop?
Florida coming off a rare home loss 61-55 to Bama. I think they will be ready and they will have to be ready to get a w on the road in the SEC. I read where they lead all conf in home court winning %. I hope it continues tonight.
Florida is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games on the road (good)
Georgia is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games at home (good)
Florida won the first meeting at home 77-63 back on Jan 2. Who is ready to play on the road the day after new years? Not to many. Since that meeting Florida has cooled down some what and Georgia has improved a lot since then.
I guess will see what happens, but once again taking the home team, just win!
#548 Illinois -15 -110
Rutgers at 6-19 (0-12) and 9-11 ats scoring 68.4 ppg giving up 80.0 ppg for a diff of -11.6
Illinois at 11-14 (3-9) and 9-11-3 ats scoring 73.4 ppg giving up 75.5 ppg for a diff of -2.2
Diff of 9, Illinois this year is down to a extra 3 only for home court, line could be 6 but we all know that isn't gong to happen. The last time these two teams met Rutgers choked off their first really good effort and chance for their first big 10 win of the season losing in triple OT 110-101. They also blew the ats cover.
Their stud Sanders scored 39 points and had 12 assists in that game. He is gone! Suspended for 4 games.
PG Sanders: gone are 33.5 minutes, 16.2 ppg, 3.2 rebounds, 4.1 assists, 2 steals, 42,2 fg%, and 71.6 ft%, and a 3 pt threat gone.
This team already has a point diff of 11.6. This team already turns the ball over 14 times a game. This team has already lost big 10 games by astounding margins. I have no choice but to go against them in their first game without their star player. Rutgers bench has already taken big hits all year. I actually felel sorry for their coach, a x Rutgers player who is just not getting any breaks this season.
As for the Illini letting down: Come on man! This team hasn't quit all season. They have 3 studs who have been out either all year or only played some at the beginning of the season.
Getting kind of tired typing, so just going to stop it right here: I would have bet a (2) on this game but didn't want to jinx myself.
good luck everyone
Don't want to leave anyone out, but thanks for the kind words everyone.
From what I read and see on this college board forum, if your not winning this year in college hoops it's your own fault.
Just really good people posting winners and there are just to many to mention them all.
I can't ever remember a season where there were so many people in the +.
As always, bet reasonably, when you don't the gambling gods usually line up for you!
From what I read and see on this college board forum, if your not winning this year in college hoops it's your own fault.
Just really good people posting winners and there are just to many to mention them all.
I can't ever remember a season where there were so many people in the +.
As always, bet reasonably, when you don't the gambling gods usually line up for you!
