#716 Mississippi -6 -110
LT at 8-1 and 3-1 ats scoring 83.3 ppg giving up 66.9 ppg for a diff of 16.4
Miss at 7-2 and 4-4 ats scoring 73 ppg giving up 65.8 ppg for a diff of 7.2
There is a big diff in the point differential mostly due to teams schedules.
LT have laid dome big margins up on teams like Shrevport (32), North Carolina Central (21), Grambling St (19), Millsap (62). That tends to be very misleading on the diff and kind of wonder how good LT really is this year. They got a nice win at Ohio St by 8, and in their only other big test lost at Memphis by 26.
Miss has 2 losses at Seton Hall and George Mason. Thye just finsished a 3 game road trip where they beat Bradley by (13), UMass by (10), and Semo by (11).
They have been back home for 3 days and should have their legs back under them. They are strong at the ft line at 74.5% and have really good guard play. LT only shooting 65.5 form the ft line.
They do have Memphis on deck on 12-18. I'm hoping they won't overlook this LT team. I think coach Kennedy will have them ready for the task at hand.
#718 Texas -20 -110
App St at 2-6 and 2-2 ats scoring a70.3 ppg and giving up 77.3 ppg for a diff of -7
Texas at 6-3 and 3-5 ats scoring 78.2 ppg giving up 68.8 ppg for a diff of 9.4
App St lost a lot of key players from last years team and they don't play very good def. It's defense that is going to kill them in this game. App St average 16 turnovers a game. They may go over 20 in this game.
App St 2 w's in their opener over Jacksonville and also beat Liberty by a point.
Losses at Hampton (21), at Tulane 76-48, at Mercer (1),. I really think Texas can name the score in this game.
Will they though? Big W over NC will they be flat? I don't think you can play Shaka's brand of ball if you don't hustler at all times. They are finally getting used to the system and in a groove. They have won 4 straight. I look for them to continue to build momentum as conf season approaches soon.
#740 Auburn -6 1/2 -110
Mercer at 8-1 and 4-1 ats scoring 74 ppg giving up 60.2 ppg for a diff 13.8
Auburn at 4-2 and 3-2 ats scoring 88.7 ppg giving up 79 ppg for a diff 9.7
Mercer having a really nice season. Only loss was at Davidson by 7. Their stats are aided tremendously by margins of victory Allen (26), Alabama St (21, Hiwassee (35), and Alcorn St (25). This team will play tough. I just think their running into Tenn at the wrong time. Tenn coming off a loss at Middle Tenn St 88-81 and you just know Bruce Pearl is not a happy banker. The last time they lost at Colorado by 7, they came home and won by 30. While I don't expect that to happen, I do think that Tenn is the more athletic team and will come out very aggressive and continue to play that way the whole game. They have Xavier on deck (most likely another loss for them) and they just can't afford a loss to a team like Mercer if they are to have a shot at the end of the year for a possible at large bid. (I know that probably won't happen) That is what he will tell his team, along with some more choice words if they are not getting the job done.
#733 NCG +15 1/2 -110
NCG at 4-5 and 0-2 ats scoring 71.1 ppg giving up 69.4 ppg for a diff of 1.7
WF at 6-2 and 3-4 ats scoring 79.1 ppg giving up 80 ppg for a diff of -0.9
Hard to bet on WF giving this many points when they give up 80 points a game and only shoot 69 % for the ft line. Plus average 14 to's a game and are 0-3 ats at home.
NCG are not very good and of course they play a weak schedule. I think they will compete. They average 9.2 3's a game and 7 steals.
The last 4 games between these two the margin of victory was 8, 14, 2, 15.
I'll go against my principles and take a team that most likely can't win this game, but just might keep this under 15.
#742 Cincy -22 1/2 -110
Norfolk St at 4-5 and 1-2 ats scoring 71.8 ppg and giving up 72.8 ppg for a diff of -1
Cincy at 8-2 and 2-3-1 ats scoring 79.3 ppg and giving up 59.1 ppg for a diff of 20.2
I like it. I also like that Cincy is coming off a loss to rival Xavier by 10. Cincy has lost two out of their last 3 games as Butler also beat them by 2 points at the buzzer. Cincy was crunching everyone until the last couple of weeks. I just have that feeling that this is going to be a crunch. That Cincy D will tear this team up.
Norfolk has losses to SC (15), ISU (9) Ohio (22), N. Kentucky (21) just two days ago. Cicny has VCU on deck in 4 days b ut I'm pretty sure they want to get back out on that court and establish themselves again. I would be very surprised if the hang, but I know anything can happen in college hoops.
good luck everyone