NCAA (Thursday)

Search

Member
Joined
Jan 17, 2006
Messages
11,698
Tokens
yesterday: 5-5 and a push -1.80
overall: 116-109 +6.60

1 unit: 45-50 -11.10
2 unit: 49-44 +1.20
3 unit: 22-15 +16.50


Just played these and will give my reasons in the morning.

#712 GW under 127 -110 (1)
#719 Coastal Carolina +11 -110 (2)
#724 Mississippi over 159 1/2 -110 (1)
 

Member
Joined
Jan 17, 2006
Messages
11,698
Tokens
thanks for the well wishes, very sorry about the piss poor record, if it doesn't start getting better I'll play from the side lines.
I feel bad when people lose money because of me. I really do, do my homework but my grades don't show it so far this semester.

Central Florida @ George Washington under 127

UCF at 7-2 and 3-2 ats scoring 69.0 ppg giving up 55.3 ppg for A diff of 13.7
G.W at 7-4 and 2-6 ats scoring 69.6 ppg giving up 68.7 pg for a diff of 0.9

The off and def totals for both teams average 131.3 and we have a total of 127. It looks like they have adjusted for injuries in this game. Did they adjust enough? In my opinion: Not enough.

CF: B.J Taylor still listed as out indefinitely:

gone are: 33 minutes, 16 ppg and 4.3 rebs, 45% fg and 81% ft and a 3 pt threat.

They obviously missed him a lot as they only scored 49 points last game and that was at home. CF will most likely continue a slower pace to try and keep the big man 7/4 300 pound center Tacko Falls on the court as long as possible. (keep him rested and he gets a lot of his rest on the court with the slower pace.

CF may shoot fg at 46% clip, but very misleading because Tacko Fall shooting at 81% heading into their last game.
The rest of the team (not so great without his % figured)
A 65.4% from the ft line will hopefully help out some ont he free points.

GW still has some very key players listed on the injury report.

Watanbe at 13.4 ppg and 5.2 rebs and a 74.2% ft line and a 3 pt threat is listed as out indefinitely.

Steeves a backup is listed as ?. He brings 17 mintes a game and 4 ppg and 4 rebs to the cause.

GW only shooting 40.3% fg and 33.5% from 3 pt land. (hoping they don't get real hot from outside as things will be tough in the paint with the big man underneath)

GW are 3-5 on the over/under so far this year, but 0-4 on the Over/under at home.
CF are 1/4 on the over/under and 0-2 on the road.

CF last 5 games on the road have gone under the total.

I'll take the bait and play the under.



Coastal Carolina +11 @ Auburn (1)

Coastal Carolina at 5-6 and 3-3 ats scoring 74.1 ppg giving up 70.1 ppg for a diff of 4.0
Auburn at 6-2 and 4-2 ats scoring 78.0 ppg giving up 72.6 ppg for a diff of 5.4

Diff of 1 1/2 and Auburn worth 4 at home, line at +11, I thought it might be 8-9. I like the couple of extra and I like it even more now that Auburn has players suspended.

I jumped on this game early as soon as I saw the article while following the scores on cbs sports scoreboard. I guess a couple of starters wanted to chill out and got caught with some pot. Imagine that, Bruce Pearl recruits misbehaving! I only say that because of all his past problems.

Anyway out for this game are:

12/14/16 G Bryce Brown Suspension expected to miss Thursday vs. Coastal Carolina
12/14/16 F Horace Spencer Suspension expected to miss Thursday vs. Coastal Carolina
12/14/16 G T.J. Dunans Illness missed last game, probable Thursday vs. Coastal Carolina
12/14/16 G TJ Lang Knee injured last game, doubtful Thursday vs. Coastal Carolina

Brown: 21.6 minutes a game, 6.9 ppg
Spencer: 20 minutes a game, 6 ppg and 4.8 rebs
Dunans: Probable<but not 100%, 21 minute a game and 5.6 ppg, (will have to play a lot)
Lang: 16 minutes a game and 4 ppg.

I don't know. It seems like a lot to over come. Especially without much time to insert two new starters and then expect a heck of a lot m ore out of your bench. I'm aware that these other players will definitely step it up and play hard to try and impress coach. Aren't you supposed to do that anyway, I mean play hard in practice and games?

Anyway, back to this game and why I like CC.

They pound the boards. CC averaging 43.9 rebs a game. 14.9 of them on the offense end for extra shots and possessions. (like it a lot)
Tenn averaging 35.4 rebs a game.

Auburn very aggressive and a lot of steals a game. (3 injured players are guards who get a lot of those steals)

CC used to playing on the road and are 3-1 ats on the road.
They opened at Bama lost by 17 with a line of 12.
They played at BYU lost by 16 with a line of 18.
They played at Wake F lost by 12 with a line of 16.

My point is: It's not their first rodeo. They are used to bigger venues.

I wouldn't think they will have a lack of confidence.
Last year at home they lost 81-78 to Tenn.
The year before at Tenn they lost 58-54.

So I may lose this game but I really do like the DD points in this matchup.



Murray St @ Mississippi over 159 1/2 (1)

Murray at 5-5 and 3-5 ats scoring 80.9 ppg giving up 75.9 ppg for a diff of 5.0
Miss at 6-3 and 4-5 ats scoring 81.9 ppg giving up 80.9 ppg for a diff of 1.0

No side play here but I do like the over in tis one. Totals averaged come to 159.8 for the two teams with the total listed right on the button.

What I like is the offensive minds of the coaches. They both like fast style of basketball. Both teams will launch the 3.

Murray St shooting 44.9% fg and 70.4% ft and 36.5% from 3 pt land averaging 9.7 game
Miss shooting 43.8% fg and 73.1% ft and 38% from 3 pt land averaging 8,7 a game.

That's a lot of potential offense. Hopefully more possessions and a better shot a more points.

Defensively, doesn't appear to be their strengths when you give up 76 and 81 ppg.

The total has gone OVER in 6 of Murray State's last 7 games on the road (like it)
Murray St is 7-1 on the over/under this season. (like it)

The total has gone OVER in 8 of Mississippi's last 10 games at home (home tonight)


good luck everyone and always bet reasonably
 

Member
Joined
Feb 15, 2016
Messages
4,446
Tokens
Good luck U! Still early in the season man. Please don't stop posting brother!
 

Member
Joined
Jan 17, 2006
Messages
11,698
Tokens
Good grief.

52 points at half time and looking great.

81 points 2nd half

CF just couldn't get out of town. They had to drag it out.
 

New member
Joined
Dec 14, 2016
Messages
19
Tokens
That 2nd half definitely hurt... hopefully other plays work out for ya. Good luck!
 

Member
Joined
Jan 17, 2006
Messages
11,698
Tokens
1 unit: 45-50 -11.10
2 unit: 49-44 +1.20
3 unit: 22-15 +16.50

add:

2nd half: Auburn -2 -110 (2)
 

Member
Joined
Jan 17, 2006
Messages
11,698
Tokens
recap: 1-3 -2.40
overall: 117-112 +4.20

1 unit: 45-52 -13.30
2 unit: 50-45 +1.00
3 unit: 22-15 +16.50

overall: 117-112 +4.20

#712 GW under 127 -110 (1) L
#719 Coastal Carolina +11 -110 (2) L
#724 Mississippi over 159 1/2 -110 (1) L

add" 2nd half: Auburn -2 -110 (2) W
 

Forum statistics

Threads
1,119,944
Messages
13,575,431
Members
100,883
Latest member
iniesta2025
The RX is the sports betting industry's leading information portal for bonuses, picks, and sportsbook reviews. Find the best deals offered by a sportsbook in your state and browse our free picks section.FacebookTwitterInstagramContact Usforum@therx.com