NCAA (Thursday)

[United]

Yesterday: 9-4 +10.40
overall: 96-85 +15.60

1 unit: 39-39 -5.00
2 unit: 36-34 -2.80
3 unit: 21-12 +23.40

overall: 96-85 +15.60

Just played these: Will give reasons in the morning. ISU game wore me down. It was nice to have a nice day.

#520 Iowa St @ Iowa over 157 -110 (1)
#522 St Mary's -14 -110 (1)

#526 Florida St -28 1/2 (3)

 

[United]

Iowa St @ Iowa over 157 (1)

Iowa St at 6-2 and 4-2 ats scoring 84.8 ppg giving up 61.4 ppg for a diff of 23.4
Iowa at 4-5 and 1-5 ats scoring 86.7 ppg giving up 83.1 ppg for a diff of 3.6

Diff of 20 1/2 and Iowa worth at least 4 at home, line is down considering all stats but it's a rivalry game and you just can't give to many points in these kind of games. Everything points towards Iowa St but I'm only betting the total.

Iowa scoring 85 ppg and shooting 46.7% fg and 62.9 %ft and 35.2% from3 pt land
Iowa St scoring 87 ppg and shooting 45.6% fg and 69.2% ft and 36.8% from 3 pt land

The total has gone OVER in 5 of Iowa State's last 5 games when playing on the road against Iowa. (like it and if Iowa is to stay in this game they can't get into a half court game with Iowa St's def.)

In a matter of fact: the over is 9-1 the last 10 games between the two schools (really like it)

Only playing a (1) because I know both teams lost a lot of their firepower from last season. Iowa St plays better Def than they did last season. Iowa doesn't play def generally.

Iowa has given up 83.1 ppg and some very smaller programs have scored at will.

Kennesaw scored (74
Savanah St (84)
Seton Hall socred 91
Memphis lit them up for 100
Notre Dame 93
Omaha 98

Iowa St ? I hope a bunch

Texas Arlington @ St Mary's -14 (1)

Texas Arlington at 7-3 and 4-1 ats scoring 77.8 ppg giving up 69.4 ppg for a diff 8.4
St Mary's at 6-0 and 4-1 ats scoring 79.2 ppg giving up 61.7 ppg for a diff of 17.5


Diff of 9 St Mary's worth 4-5 at home line is on spot. This Tex Arl team sort of scares me so only betting a (1) on the game. I will continue to back St. Mary's already 4-1 ats until they stop covering games at such a high %. Tex Arl also at 4-1 ats and they have all been away from home. I can only hope that their schedule has been a lot weaker than St Mary's. Tex 3 toughest opponents so far were losses to Minny (17) and Florida Gulf Coast by (13) and to Arkansas by only (4). I know St Mary's is better than all 3 of those teams so I will play on them once again.

St Mary's coming off a (15) win at Stanford.

Comparisons:

St Mary's shooting 53% fg and 81.8 % ft (love it) and 40% from 3 pt land at (10 a game)
Arling shooting 49% fg anf 62.2% ft (love it) and 36% from 3 pt land at (9 a game)

St Mary's it is.

Nicholls St @ Florida St -28 1/2 (3)

Nich St at 4-4 and 0-0 ats scoring 77.3 ppg givng up 81.0 ppg for a diff of -3.8
Florida St at 8-1 and 7-2 ats scoring 87.2 ppg giving up 68.4 ppg for a diff of 18.8

Diff of 23 Florida St worth 4-5 at home line a tad high but once again could win by 40 or go through the motions (because Florida on deck around) and blow the cover.


I'm thinking since the game is on espnU that Florida St will take it seriously and take care of business. It does concern me that Florida St once again has listed Isacc and Cofer ? for the game. With Florida on deck I would be surprised if either one plays but I'm not a doctor and I really don't know the full extent of their injuries.

Florida State is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games (like it)
Florida State is 9-2 ATS in its last 11 games at home (really like it)

I like that Florida St scoring 87.2 ppg and Nich St giving up 81 ppg. and forcing 15 to's a game.

I like that Nich St is playing their 3rs straight road game one going into double ot at Samford and two days ago a 101-69 thumping at Ragin Cajuns. Central Florida beat them a couple of weeks ago 80-56. SO you can kind of see why I'm taking a crack at this game for a (3)

I read where Florida St has made a commitment to playing better def.

Since that commitment they have held:

Illinois to 61
Minny to 67
GW to 48
S. Miss to 49

that's a total of 225 points for 56.2 ppg.

I think Nich St is in trouble.

good luck everyone and bet reasonably
__________________

 

[G.MONEY]

On teh Iowa game over as well, have the game 169....Good Luck

 

[XSPower]

Good luck tonight....

 

[KingEleven]

good luck brother!

 

[Stickee]

Gluck U!

 

[tmader7]

GL U, getting in that Iowa/Iowa St. over cab with ya, about the best bet on the board tonight imo.

~T~

 

[TyBounce]

Great work yesterday , gl tonight.

 

[Cheddar]

Nice day yesterday

 

[Rocket10]

Great day yesterday...G/L tonight

 

[StevieRay]

Coach , good luck tonite. The more I look at Fl st the more I like it.

 

[United]

#520 Iowa St @ Iowa over 157 -110 (1)
#522 St Mary's -14 -110 (1)

#526 Florida St -28 1/2 (3)

add:

1st half: Florida St -15 -110 (1)

 

[United]

Coach , good luck tonite. The more I look at Fl st the more I like it.

Good deal, I got a high line and its dropped now down to 26 in some places. Sometimes betting early helps and sometimes it hurts.

 

[Willie99]

warming up buddy, keep it going

 

[United]

correction on Florida St 1st half: Should read -15 1/2 not 15

#520 Iowa St @ Iowa over 157 -110 (1)
#522 St Mary's -14 -110 (1)

#526 Florida St -28 1/2 (3)

add:

1st half: Florida St -15 1/2 -110 (1)

 

[tmader7]

Shit, I can't stop laughing Coach. After hitting that 8 game teaser the other night, two games by a half point, I can fully appreciate your post. Cost me a good pull on some Macallan though, LOL. GL again!

~T~

 

[Cheddar]

Good deal, I got a high line and its dropped now down to 26 in some places. Sometimes betting early helps and sometimes it hurts.

Got a great line betting early on the over. Now 162.5

 

[United]

Got a great line betting early on the over. Now 162.5

That line moved but obviously the wrong way. I can not believe how long Iowa St held the ball in the half court and then got a poor shot. That team is so different from the Hoiberg era.

 

[United]

Great day yesterday...G/L tonight

Welcome Rocket. You can post anytime you want. I like your avatar.w-thumbs!^

 

[TimmyRules]

St Mary's needs to get it in gear for us. Under 37% down 32-20.
Not chasing this at half. Hoping to wake up and see major 2H for SM.