#710 Temple -2 1/2 -110
Tulsa at 14-7 (6-3) and 10-8-2 ats scoring 72.9 ppg giving up 67.5 ppg for a diff of 5.4
Temple at 12-8 (6-3) and 11-7 ats scoring 69.1 ppg giving up 67.8 ppg for a diff of 1.3
Diff suggest a pick, and I value temple at 3 at home, but line is where it should be considering Temple losses to teams like at NC, Butler, Utah, Wiscy, St Joes. Temple opponents in losses are a combined 65 games over 500. Anyway, they have done well in conf play beating Cincy twice, and the only team to take down SMU. Tulsa is 4-0 in this series, two of those games many years ago, and most recently won both games last year 63-56 at Temple and 55-39 at home. Tulsa is the only conf team Temple that Temple has never beaten.
Temple with the edge in rebs, ft%, 3 pt shooting, and of course home court, where Temple is 15-3 SU in its last 18 games.
Temple leads the AAC in made 3's a game at 7.7. (good)
Temple leads the nation in fewest turnovers a game at 9.3. (very, very , good)
Temple has a nice mix of veteran players on the team. Tulsa also is a very experienced team. They haven't played well on the road in conf, losing at Cincy (19), at Houston (15), and at home to SMU (12).
I don't know how this game will play out. I think it might be a grinder type game. I like all of the things I mentioned above. I'm hoping Temple can get it done at home.
#721 James Madison -6 1/2 -110
JMU at 16-7 (6-4) and 10-10 ats scoring 75.4 ppg giving up 67.7 ppg for a diff of 7.7
Drexel at 3-18 (1-9) and 9-10-1 ats scoring 63.7 ppg giving up 71.2 ppg for a diff of -7.5
Tricky game to set the line for because you just can't give a team like Drexel dd points at home in conf play. Obviously, I think JM are very capable of covering this spread and wouldn't want to give more than 8 points. Drexel is 10-3 SU in its last 13 games when playing at home against James Madison, (they seem to always play them tough)
Drexel shooting a dismal 38.4% fg (ugly)
Drexel is 3-6-1 ATS in its last 10 games at home (no place like home ?)
Drexel is 2-12 SU in its last 14 games at home (do people still come to the games) Flint is in trouble imo
James Madison is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games on the road (very nice team who have been playing some good hoops)
Drex riding a 6 game losing streak and I really do think it's because of a lack of depth in the program. They do need a change in leadership. They are led by a SR. Allen who scored 33 in their last game. This dude will launch it from anywhere. The kind of player I wouldn't want on my team in a pick up game.
JM got them last year at Drexel 54-35 and beat them at JM this year 68-45. I just don't think Drexel can turn that around without the talent to get it done. JM is very experienced as they returned a pot load of players from last year and it's definitely the main reason why they are a tough out.
#742 Oakland/Youngstown St over 175 -110
Oakland at 15-8 (7-3) and 14-4 ats scoring 86.2 ppg giving up 79.1 ppg for a diff 7.1
Youngstown at 9-14 (4-6) and 10-9 ats scoring 74.5 ppg giving up 81.7 ppg for a diff of -7.1
I originally was going to play Oak in this game. I circled it the day after YS beat Oakland at Oakland 100-98. And Oakland is 14-4 ats and 9-1 away ats. YS has listed Umede as questionable for YS in this game. My god it just looks so easy. I changed my mind because of the crazy scores and runs that both of these teams are capable of. I've seen 15 point half time leads mean nothing. It seems like your never out of it, just when you think you have a w that score on cbs sports, espn, changes and you wonder if it's a mistake. Anyway, decided to go with the over and let them get on their runs.
YS are 13-6 on the o/u
Oak are 10-8 on the o/u (the totals are always high when they play) a lot of possessions, you just got to hope that their hitting shots
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Youngstown State's last 7 games when playing Oakland (oak coach has 31 years with team, YS coach 10 tears with team) why would they change their styles now, I think they light it up again unless shooting % are really bad for both teams then I lose.
last 7 games they have combined for: 198, 153(L), 176, 188, 168, 162, 171, 186,
beware: the total is jacked up at 175, when you figure the two teams on the year the average is around 161, so this is no gimmy by all means, it's a gamble,
#743 S. Florida +19 1/2 -110
S. Florida at 5-18 (2-8) and 10-8 ats scoring 63.4 ppg giving up 70.0 ppg for a diff of -6.6
Cincy at 16-6 (6-3) and 8-9-1 ats scoring 74.5 ppg giving up 62.2 ppg for a diff of 12.3
They have the line up their according to the diff in this one. It looks like a Cincy spanking may be expected. And the just might do it. I usually don't bet teams with bad records and getting dd points and especially on the road. Reason being, when I play a dog I would like to think that they might have a slight chance of actually winning the game and then the points are really nice. I don't think SF has a chance to win this game. What I found in my review is they have been playing really good lately and haven't lost by this spot (20) all year.
Cincy advantage in all stats except def rebs. Cincy has the experience as SF has been devastated with injuries and problems all year. But they are 10-8 ats and 4-3 ats on the road. They get a ton of points to help adjust for their misery. I really think teams let up on them and start thinking about their next game in conf play. (Cincy has Memphis on deck Sat)
Cincinnati is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing South Florida (expected)
Cincinnati is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing South Florida (do they spot to many in this game?)
A w is a w and most coaches this time of year want to get the W and stay healthy. Conf tournaments and March madness are close. Beating a team like S. Florida by 2o or more means nothing.
Plus: SF has actually won two straight road games in conf. They average 5.7 blocks a game good enough for 11th in the nation. They are 25th in def 3 pt fg % at 30.5.
They lost to Cincy at home 54-51.
Cincy 8-2 straight up but only 2-8 ats last 10 in this series by a average score of 63 to 56.9. (I like the 20 that it takes to beat me)
Just checking all of SF past games this year and came up with this:
conf games:
L (7)
W (13)
W (9)
L-(15)
L (11)
L (3)
L (11)
L (14)
L (6)
Non conf: teams and players are still trying to impress polls, impress their coaches in non conf and beef up their resume come tourney time.
Kentucky (21) only game the lost by more than 20
at SC (18) early season
UAB (11)
Seton H (17)
I may lose this bet. I can get pissed at myself for breaking one of my rules about the large road dog that doesn't stand a chance to win the game, and I'll get over it!
#786 Western C/NCG over 146 1/2 -110
W. Carolina at 8-14 (3-6) and 8-8-1 ats scoring 72.8 ppg giving up 74.2 ppg for a diff of -1.5
NCG at 8-14 (4-5) and 7-8 ats scoring 72.6 ppg giving up 75.3 ppg for a diff of -2.6
Line is right when you average out the off and def scores for the total.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Western Carolina's last 5 games when playing on the road against UNC Greensboro (on the road tonight at NCG)
The total has gone OVER in 9 of UNC Greensboro's last 10 games (they are home again and 90% stat after the last 10 home game) I know this is a new game and 50-50 chance, but if you don't know by now that I'm strong on trends and streaks then you shouldn't even open up my thread.
Last 4 games have gone over and totaled: 160, 151, 154, and 159 (line tonight is 146 1/2) Hmmm, might lose but what the heck
Same coaches and same style as in all of the games above. I just think we have a rivalry here and the coaches let them turn it loose for recruiting if nothing else, as players like the action. (I like the action)
good luck everyone, starting to go through the later games now.
