#714 Syracuse -3 -120 bth (2)
Notre Dame at 14-5 (5-2) and 7-9-1 ats scoring 79.2 ppg giving up 69.2 ppg for a diff of 10.1
Syracuse at 13-8 (3-5) and 10-10 ats scoring 70.4 ppg giving up 64.7 ppg for a diff of 5.8
The diff is 4 and I give the Cuse 4 at home for a line of a pick. It looks like they think Jackson's absence is worth 3 points from the line.
When I see his stats I think he's worth a lot more than 3. Especially on the road and their first full game without him. He's the PG, he's the backbone, he's crunch time,
............. Min..... PPG.... RPG.... APG ...SPG.... TPG... FG%.... FT%.... 3P%
Jackson 34.4... 16.6...... 3.3..... 5.0 ....1.2 ...1.9 .....504..... .760.... .392
Jacksons 34.4 minutes a game means the Irish will only have a 6 man rotation that Very can rely on. Where they will really miss Jackson is on their transition and his driving causing fouls and kicking it out for wide open 3's. Syracuse has an excellent PG in Bbinije, who leads the ACC in steals and 5th in the nation in steals, 3rd in the conf in scoring at 17.4. Now who's going to guard him or try to stop him. The Irish also lead the nation in fewest TO'S a game averaging 9.2. I'll bet that goes up for this game without Jackson running the point. This is also Cuses first game back at home since Jan 13. They played well on the road going 2-1.
Notre Dame is 2-11 SU in its last 13 games when playing on the road against Syracuse (look for that to increase)
Syracuse is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Notre Dame (like it)
#718 Maryland -4 -110 (2)
Iowa at 16-3 (7-0) and 10-6 ats scoring 81.7 ppg giving up 68.0 ppg for a diff of 13.7
Maryland at 17-3 (6-2) and 9-10-1 ats scoring 77.5 ppg giving up 64.1 ppg for a diff of 13.4
I give Maryland a +4 at home. Line is perfect imo. This is the only time they meet in the regular conf season this year and Maryland is two losses behind Iowa in conf play. That's just a little extra motivation that I'm sure the coach mention for some fuel. Not that their going to need it, as I'm sure Iowa will be most welcomed on their first visit ever to College Park. Maryland happens to be 11-0 at home and averaging 80 ppg at home, a couple of ppg higher than their 77.5 season average. Maryland has 5 players averaging DD'S and . Maryland is 1st in the conf in ft's at 76.3%, 2nd in fg at 50.3%, and 3rd in scoring defense at 64.1 ppg. Maryland has 4 players who shoot over 80% from the line. Maryland is 9-0 following a straight up loss. (They lost at Mich St last game)
Iowa has won 13 straight conf games.
Iowa has won 6 out of their last 7 games by DD'S.
I don't expect this game to be easy. I'm just hoping that Maryland can play well in front of: how many does that place hold 17 or 18 thousand seats. Iowa has to go down sometime and after already getting by Purdue and Michigan St both games, I just think this one will be the one that gives them their first conf loss. That Maryland D is pretty good and even better at home.
#720 UConn -2 1/2 -110 (2)
Cincy at 15-6 (5-3) and 7-9-1 ats scoring 75.3 ppg giving up 62.4 ppg for a diff of 12.9
UConn at 14-5 (4-2) and 8-6-1 ats scoring 75.1 ppg giving up 62.6 ppg for a diff of 12.4
Now that's a pretty close diff between two teams with about the same record and ion the same conf. I juts have to believe UConn is worth more than 2 1'2 point s t home. I have them at +4 at home. UConn at 5-1 at home at the XL Center and 28-6 in 4 seasons. Both teams are coming into this game with mini runs at 5-1 and something has to give. Cincy D giving up 62.4 pg and UConn D 62.6 ppg. In trying to find the edge here I would have to go to the ft line where UConn is shooting 76.5% for the line compare to Cincy 70%.
Cincinnati is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Connecticut (like it)
Cincinnati is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Connecticut (like it)
UConn at 6-3 ats at home
Cincy at 3-4-1 ats away
This game will most likely be brutal, physical, whatever you want to call it, and I'm going with the home team and hope they hit their fts because every point is precious in a game like this.
722 Florida Inter -3 -110 (2)
Charlotte at 6-13 (3-4) and 13-5 ats scoring 75.6 ppg giving up 81.4 ppg for a diff of -5.8
FIU at 11-9 (5-2) and 8-4 ats scoring 72.5 ppg giving up 68.4 ppg for a diff of 4.1
I found this betting line very strange as I thought the line would be around -10. After further investigation, I didn't realize how young of a team Charlotte is this year. They are led mostly by a pair of freshman guards, (sorry can't make out my notes as I got to sloppy last night) looks like Davis and Whole scoring 11.3 and 11.7 ppg. Anyway after taking a beating at the start of the season, Charlotte has continued to improve and they will be a team to watch out for now and especially next year. They just don't shoot the ball vey well at 42.9 fg% and 65% ft. This will be their first trip ever to FIU and Charlotte are only 5-16on the road last 21 games. Pretty sure they don't fare well on the road most of the time with numbers like that. FIU is a veteran team led by Jr. McGill 16.9 ppg and 5th year SR. Diaz at 15.7 ppg and 8.3 rebs. They are 1st in conf in defensive rebs and defensive fg% allowed. I like that especially since Charlotte already shoots at a low percentage. Anyway, just hoping a found a hidden one with a line that is off imo.
#743 Aces -1 1/2 -110 (2)
Evansville at 17-4 (6-2) and 8-7-1 ats scoring 77.9 ppg giving up 66.3 ppg for a diff of 11.5
S.Ill at 18-3 (7-1) and 12-7 ats scoring 77.1 ppg giving up 68.6 ppg for a diff of 8.5
Line is close. How can you possibly give a team with a record of 18-3 and 7-1 in conf play points at home. Their opponent is 17-4 and 6-2 in conf play. Yet you are the dog at home!!! How can you not play SI? It's the battle to stay in 2nd place. For SI it's a chance to remain only one game behind Wichita St in conf. SI are are 26-10 in ntbhis series and 14-3 at home in this series. The last 3 times Evansville has won at S. Ill were in 2001, and 2014 and 2015. Hmmm, that means the Aces have beaten them at home the last two years with this same team. As I follow the MVC closer than most I do now that Evansville has the same players that won the last two years at Carbondale. So there should be no fear from this group. They have won consistently the last 3 years as a senior group that have played together for 4 years. I know I gave the same spill just last Sunday when they were -3 at their rival Ind St and got smoked by 17 points. (bty, ISU hit 14 3's in that game in that game, some from players who aren't even supposed to shoot the 3) really freak game.
Valentine's 18 ppg and 7.2 rebs and 5.6 assists will be tough to deal with. Then you have the 7 footer Mockevicius who leads the nation in rebounding and very seldom comes out of the game. They have another player who if you concentrate on those two, shoots 60% form 3 point land. What I'm trying to say is that Evansville has been good for 3 years and S. Ill has just turned this program around this year. They were 12-21 last year and 4-14 in conf. This has been a remarkable turn around by coach Henson and this team and the proof is in the W column. I'm just stubborn and still don't think they are the better team in this match up. That's why I lose a lot!
#754 Ariz St -5 -110 (2)
Oreg St at 12-6 (3-4) and 9-8 ats scoring 72.7 ppg giving up 67.7 ppg for a diff of 5.0
Ariz St at 11-9 (1-6) and 9-9-1 ats scoring 75.8 ppg giving up 72.4 ppg for a diff of 3.4
Why is this line so high? I though they might come in at -3 maybe. I don't blame anyone for not betting Arizona St inn this game giving that many points. I'm a sucker so I'm in. Maybe they are wanting OSU action, maybe they know something I don't (they know a hell of a lot more than I will ever know) I do know that Arizona St looks like a good play to me for several reasons. They may only be 1-6 in conf play, but conf losses were by 2 at Stanford, 3 at Cal,4 at Wash, 7 at UCLA, 10 at USC, and lost by 12 to Zona. Point is they have competed. The PAC conf is tough. Team for team the best imhop.
OSU are 2-9 straight up last 11 games on the road (like it)
OSU are 2-9 ats last 11 on the road (like it a lot)
Oregon State is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Arizona State (like it)
Oregon State is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Arizona State (like it)
I don't know what will happen in this game. For all I know OSU is a live dog with the veteran team they have and are well coached.
Payton at 17.5 ppg, 8.4 rebs and 5.3 assists, what a player.
I do know that the last time they won at this place was (lost 7 straight) back in 2007.
I'll chance it.
#761 Michigan St -6 -120 bth (2)
Mich St at 17-4 (4-4) and 11-9 ats scoring 78.3 ppg giving up 63.3 ppg for a diff of 15.0
NW at 15-6 (3-5) and 8-8-2 ats scoring 74.1 ppg giving up 65.6 ppg for a diff of 8.6
Of course the line is a couple of points higher than it should be. That's what happens when you play popular teams against weaker teams. It's really hard to put lines out on games when you try to consider home court, emotion, injuries, situations, stats, and all other stuff involved in the process. This one was pretty easy for me to paly a side on. Michigan St at 4-4
and must get on a roll if they are going to at least finish in the top 4 of conf play. There will be no overlook in this game. NW will get Mich St best the entire game. Mich St leads in all stats, scoring, def, domination on the rebs, better fg and ft shooting,
Northwestern is 1-9 ATS in its last 10 games when playing at home against Michigan State (I'm on it)
Northwestern is 1-9 SU in its last 10 games when playing at home against Michigan State (have to win by a TD)
I'm just hoping Mich St speeds up the game. That's why Indiana killed them. If they don't and they make it a half court game, NW stands a chance at not only covering the spread, but getting that big W at home.
I'm gambling on Sparty and Izzo's troops on the road. I'd be more worried if Mich St were like 7-1 in conf, (let down) but they are 4-4,
good luck everyone
