#717 Iowa -22 1/2 -110 (2)
Iowa at 14-3 (5-0) and 9-5 ats scoring 81.1 ppg giving up 67.3 ppg for a diff of 13.8
Rutgers at 6-13 (0-6) and 6-8 ats scoring 67.4 ppg giving up 77.4 ppg for a diff of -10.0
Line is close and I'm sure Rutgers is a very tough team to put a line on right now. They have had so many players injured you almost feel sorry for that team and their coach who played for them. His job is to bring Rutgers back to respectability. I hope their patient because they have definitely gone in the wrong direction. The key to this game is the Iowa team. They could punish this team like Purdue did (107-57) or just go through the motions. I've seen this Iowa team play enough now that I don't think that will happen. Last year Iowa won over Rutgers 81-47.
Rutgers was out rebounded in the Purdue game 63-23 (40), almost unbelievable.
Rutgers has allowed over 90 points scored in their last 3 conf games: Neb 90, Ohio St 94, and Purdue 107.
Iowa could lay down and still win this game by 30, even the Iowa subs should be able to keep a big lead.
I can't imagine players like Jok, Uthoff, Gessel, not playing any other way than they have been, and that's 100% hard.
I may lose this game in this crazy world of college hoops this year, but I just have to see it to believe it.
#719 Memphis +7 1/2 (2)
Memphis at 12-5 (3-1) and 5-8-1 ats scoring 77.8 ppg giving up 66.5 ppg for a diff of 11.2
Cincy at 13-6 (3-3) and 6-8-1 ats scoring 74.1 ppg giving up 61.3 ppg for a diff of 12.9
I rate Cincy worth 3 at home and have this line at 5 to 6. Of course I like the 7 1/2 in this game between two teams that really don't care much for each other.
Stats are fairly close between them. The biggest concern for me before I decided to pull the trigger is that the last 8 games in this series have all been won by 10 or more points. I have to hope that this Memphis team can hang around on the road where they are 0-2 this season. They lost to UConn by and South Carolina by 10.
I like Memphis fr. Lawson who has already won rookie of the week 5 times now.
He goes for 14.5 ppg and 8'9 rebs.
Add Goodwin and and transfer Tarrant into that mix and you have 3 quality players who can score for that team.
Goodwin at 13.8 and and 8.3 rebs and 72.8 f% ft, along with Tarrant at 13.7 ppg and 86% ft, who do concentrate on.
Cincy has their studs too in Ellis, Clarke, and leading scorer Cobb. They also have a fiery coach who was and is still very pissed off at the refs and his team after that dot loss at Temple.
Cincy D is exceptional imo only giving up 61.3 ppg. Most shots inside are contested, blocked, or altered in some way.
Memphis D not to shabby either. They rank 2nd in the nation in blocked shots (6.8) abd 3rd in def fg% (36.3).
Memphis also ranks 4th in ft's made. They have been getting to the line a lot.
I'm taking the spot and hoping the can keep it close for an entertaining game on ESPN2.
#738 Penn St +3 -110 (2)
Wiscy at 10-9 (2-4) and 7-12 ats scoring 69.0 ppg giving up 64.8 ppg for a diff of 4.2
Penn St at 11-8 (2-4) and 9-8-1 ats scoring 67.1 ppg giving up 68.7 ppg for a diff of -1.7
Line is right on for this game. Hopefully the time is right on for Penn St. It has been a long time since their last w over a Wiscy team. 7 straight times the have gone down in this series.
Wiscy is 8-2 straight up the last 10 in this series. BUT, 0-10 ats. That's right I had to look twice to make sure I wasn't messing up, 10 straight games Penn St has covered the spread in this match-up. It could be more as I didn't go back any farther into the archives as my mind was already made up for the home dog.
Wisconsin is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games on the road (nothing is automatic)
Wisconsin is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Penn State (like it)
Penn State is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home (play better at home)
Oenn St played pretty a nice game at NW getting gthe w by 11. Wiscy not to bad either getting a 1 point win over a struggling Spary team.
Penn St has some talent Taylor at 16.4 ppg and 6.1 rebs, along with a couple others in DD's in scoring.
Wiscy has Hayes 16.3 and 6.3 rebs, along with newcomers trying to help replace all of the scoring lost from last years team.
Coach Ryan knew losing Decker and Kaminsky, and 5 out of their top 7 scorers, that this was probably going to be a rebuilding year at Wisconsin.
Wiscy very capable of winning this game and pulling away. I just thik this might be Penn States best chance in a long time to snap this Wiscy run. Might not be a bad bet to place a little bet on the ML. I'll take the 3 as I do expect a very close game in tis one.
#752 Purdue -11 -110 (2)
Ohio St at 12-7 (4-2) and 9-10 ats scoring 72.0 ppg giving up 66.5 ppg for a diff of 5.5
Purdue at 16-3 (4-2) and 11-4 ats scoring 79.7 ppg giving up 60.8 ppg for a diff of 19.0
Tough game to put a line on. It easily could have been more points, but once again in conf play always dangerous to give to many to the opposition.
Purdue leads in every stat. Shoots ft's at 74.6 clip to Ohio St 65.8. Has the big edge on the boards(5).
Purdue tough out at home as they have won 17 out of the last 18 games at Mackey and 13 of those games were by more than 12.
Purdue bench has outscored opponents by 21.8 ppg. (like it)
Purdue coming off a 107-47 W at Rutgers where they won the battle of the boards 63-23 (40) (like it)
Ohio St coming off a 100-65 loss at Maryland. They lost at Indiana 85-60.
Ohio State is 5-18-1 ATS in its last 24 games on the road (struggle on the road this year, in the past they were always giving to many points).
This is a very young Ohio St team that has already taken some lumps on the road. Matta will have them ready to play. I just think the talent level in this game is so far apart that it will be tough for Ohio St to keep it under the spread.
It will be a sell out at Mackey. A big night at Mackey as they are giving out 15,000 (place holds 14,846) free t-shirts to promote the Purdue Cancer Center.
I know it's a lot of points to give up, but going to take a shot at what I think will be a opportunity to capitalize on a game.
#753 USC +5 -110 (2)
USC at 15-3 (4-1) and 13-5 ats scoring 84.6 ppg giving up 71.8 ppg for a diff of 12.7
Oregon at 14-4 (3-2) and 7-7-1 ats scoring 76.3 ppg giving up 66.3 ppg for a diff of 10.0
I must really be falling into one here as I have the line at Oregon -2. I obviously will take a very good USC team and the points.
USC has a 6 reb advantage, has a lot of momentum, and have proven they can compete on the road.
They will need to as Oregon is 11-0 at home this year and 5-3 ats at home.
Oregon has 4 players averaging DD's. (balance)
Oregon PG leads the nation in assists to turnover ratio, averaging 5.8 assists/ to 1 turnover. (one of the best if not the best)
Oregon has won 1o straight over USC (ouch) BUT, the important thinng to the bettor (Oregon is 2-9 ats last 11 at home in this series.) like chances with the +5
I mentioned Oregon balance, USC 6 players averaging DD points (like it)
USC snapped a log losing streak at UCLA. (can be done)
USC beat Zona in 4 ot's (gutty performance)
USC has had a week off to help prepare for this game (has to help a lot)
#776 IPFW -1 1/2 -110 (1)
ND.ST at 13-6 (3-2) and 6-10 ats scoring 72.2 ppg giving up 65.0 ppg for a diff of 7.3
IU-FW at 15-5 (4-1) and 13-2 ats scoring 79.9 ppg giving up 76.4 ppg for a diff of 3.5
Line is off on the diff a couple of points, as I have it at a pick. That's okay because I really like the way IUFW play, especially at home where they are a perfect 7-0 and 4-0 ats.
NDS are 2-7 ats away from home (away this game)
IPFW #21 in college insider mid major poll top 25.
IPFW averaging 84.4 ppg in conf games, and a even better 93.3 ppg at home.
IPFW has made 207 3 pointers good enough for 4th in the nation.
Beware: Mo Evans out for the season for IPFW due to academics. Gone is 16.9 ppg and 5 assists. He has already missed their last two games, so pretty sure the line has already been adjusted, and that the team has adjusted. Of course a great loss for them but they still have a lot of scorers.
Landis at 17.4 pg (last game 37 points, looks like he has picked up some of Evans points)
Konchar at 12.7 ppg and 8.2 rebs
Reed at 10.6 ppg
This is not a easy place to play at; IPFW are 97-36 at this place (72.9%) since 2007-07.
Worth a shot for me
#780 NCG +5 1/2 -110 (1)
Chat at 16-3 (5-1) and 8-6 ats scoring 77.3 ppg giving up 67.7 ppg for a diff of 9.6
NCG at 6-12 (2-3) and 5-6 ats scoring 71.3 ppg giving up 73.8 ppg for a diff of -2.6
I don't know if the line is right on this one. It looks like NCG ought to be getting 6 or 7 points. Why am I even playing this game? A 16-3 team vs a 6-12 team and I play the crap team.
I guess the past history of this series intrigued me so much that I played the home dog.
Chat leads in all stats. They have a great record. They are 5-1 in conf play.
Definitely not trying to convince anyone to play this game, or any game that I give my reasons for playing that game.
Here is my reasoning:
The last 10 games in this series NCG leads 6-4. NCG are 9-1 ats in those last 10. The average score is 81-78,
Chattanooga is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against UNC Greensboro (struggle?) or give to many, same thing as long as they don't cover
NCG have won 6 out of the last 9 including 3 out of the last 4 at home in this series.
NCG at 6-12, but all 6 wins at home.
It's a gamble, good teams in small conf can get upset also,
good luck everyone, may add as I have some of the later games that I like, pends on how I'm doing on the others,
When I bet (2) I'm always trying to keep a eye out on 2nd half lines. Sometimes for the middle, sometimes to get out of a play
