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LOUISVILLE +10 (-115) VS MIAMI (8 UNITS) (PINNACLE)

The BCS sleeper Louisville Cardinals travel to the Orange Bowl to take on the Hurricanes. The Louisville offense is led by JR QB Stefan Lefors
. Lefors ranks eighth nationally in passing efficiency and has completed 75 percent of his passes this season. Making him only one of three quarterbacks in the nation to complete 70% of his passes.

I know all about the Canes defense and how they are probably one of the fastest and toughest defenses in the entire country. But my question in a game that involves a 10-point spread is how will the Miami offense fair?

We all know what Brock Berlin can do. After throwing 17 interceptions last year, has Berlin done anything this year to impress you yet? I hope people banking on Miami are not just looking at the box score of their last game vs Georgia Tech. Berlin threw three touchdown passes in one game for the first time in his collegiate career. It was also the first time he threw more than one TD pass in a game since 11/22/03 vs. Rutgers. One game doesn’t prove it to me. I’m not going to forget his 99 yard performance versus Houston.

Berlin also needs to take the blame for already being sacked 14 times this year. Things could get even worse as the Canes loss their best offensive lineman, T Eric Winston to a season ending injury. Berlin and the Cane offense rank 94<SUP>th</SUP> overall in total offense.

Statistically speaking the Cardinals have been dominant on both side of the ball against some suspect competition though. The Cardinal offense is averaging 42.3 points per game and 503.8 total yards per game and a defense that is allowing only 7.0 points per game, and ranks 10<SUP>th</SUP> overall.

I think this game will be low scoring, as both offenses may have a tough time moving the ball. Having 10 points in your back pocket will help in this match-up.

TCU VS UAB –6.5 (-119) (7 UNITS) (PINNACLE)

The folks in Birmingham will be fired up as UAB looks to win its fourth game in a row on national television. TCU is 1-4 ATS, and UAB is 4-1 ATS so far on the young season.

The UAB passing attack is led by QB Darrell Hackney and his 991 yards passing through the air and 11 touchdowns to only 3 interceptions. Hackney’s go-to-guy has been standout WR Rodney White. White has caught 27 balls for 503 yards (18.6) and 7 touchdowns.

They’ll be facing a TCU defense that ranks dead last in passing defense, and 97<SUP>th</SUP> overall. TCU is also giving up 35.4 points per game ranking 104<SUP>th</SUP>.

But my main reasoning for taking this play are the nagging injuries TCU has endured all season long. There top wide-out Reggie Harrell has been dinged up, RB Robert Merrill doesn’t look like the same runner from last year due to nagging hamstring injuries, QB Ty Gunn’s high ankle sprain has limited his mobility, and QB Brandon Hassell is recovering from a separated shoulder that will limit him somewhat in the option attack.

UAB has just jumped all over opponents in the first half and seem to put it on cruise control in the second half letting teams back in the game. With this game being at home on national television, conference rival, and a definite revenge game from last year’s loss that knocked Hackney out for the year, I expect UAB to be focused and ready to go for four quarters.

 

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Horn,

Nice analysis...my book still has 9.5...waiting patiently for 10 on Louisville...GL.
 

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pags, buy the hook man. That line is going nothing but down. I see at pinnacle its already at 8.5.
 

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I like them both and I really enjoy reading your posts, I could use these 2 since Green Bay hurt me on Monday Night and put me in a little hole for the week, just trying to even up for Sunday.....
 

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martel, I've been sucking in the NFL this year, but I couldn't resist playing the Pack either. That game officially ended me playing the NFL. Too much parity for me. GL to you!
 

MAKING MONEY THE EASY WAY
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Do you post anywhere else???

LIKE C O V E R S
 

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whity, yes I'm usually posting at Covers, but I decided to just post over here this weekend and check out this forum. I like what I see so far and may just stay here for good. I really like how your moderators control all the riff-raff that goes on. GL this weekend!
 

MAKING MONEY THE EASY WAY
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I used to post at covers and got sick of all the BS that goes down there... This site has its people like that but overall this site is for people concentrating on winning games not playing them....


Best of luck to you and welcome....I know about you....you are solid and hope you keep it up...
 

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whity, that's what I was told here was yeah i'm sure you'll have to put up with the occasional BS, but man at Covers if I went one game below .500 I would get reamed by every jealous poster out there. Unbelievable. Will see how things go and maybe I'll stick around for the long haul. GL to you and thanks for the props!
 

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Good start for me here at the rx, a reception away from having a perfect night. Those that have seen my plays at "other" sites know I'm up +48.15 units on the year, but here...

RX

Sides 1-0 +7.00 UNITS
Player Props 1-1 -.60 UNITS

Total +6.40 UNITS

:aktion033
 

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Good job Horn I was leanin' WV and read your write up and, well thanks for the push.:aktion033
 

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diddo and I wish to thank you as well. Hope to see more of you over here.


Island
 

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Horn,

can't tell you how happy I am to see you over here....I actually follow both of these sites regularly and I didn't see you over at covers....was wondering what was up...thankfully I checked Rx and found you....love most of your plays (as usual).
My cousin is a dr for the Cal football team. He was telling me about some "hidden" injuries on the Cal side of the ball. He was at practice yesterday and said that it just wasn't the same feeling as before the USC game. He said he just didn't feel the intensity this week.
Now, he also said that Cal is certainly a much better team than UCLA, but he wasn't sure about laying 2 TD's.
Just so you know, last week he told me that he really liked them to stay within a TD of USC, as they were all super focused.
Just some food for thought.
Thanks for all of your time and your great writeups...keep up the great work and please don't pay attention to the jealous guys giving you ****...it will happen here too, but just keep doing what you're doing.
thanks again,
J
 

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jdog, I appreciate the info, and I did hear that Cal had a couple of guys banged up. I just think Cal has won of the most balanced offenses in the country...and if Arizona who couldn't run on anyone all year could rip off 258...Cal is gonna have a field day. Thanks and GL to ya!
 

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Horn,

I have been following the threads over a covers for several years. Reading you insight over the past few weeks has made my register.

Your angle on college football is excellent. You had so many followers on WVU that I had to fade the pick....bad decision.

I swore that I would only go against Miami (since that Houston game). So here is my opportunity to make good on my promise.

Just wanted to tell you to keep up the good work and I second your decision about posting on this site versus covers.
 

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