#526 North Carolina -6 1/2 -110 (1)
MF at 21-4 (10-3) and 15-8-1 ats scoring 77.0 giving up 65.4 ppg for a diff of 11.7
North Carolina at 21-5 (10-3) and 9-15-2 ats scoring 83.4 ppg giving up 70.4 13.0
Diff of 1, NC worth 5 at home, line is close, both teams tied for 1st at 10-3 in conf play. Man did Williams take the heat after the Duke game. If they score he's the man, if they don't he's the goat. Anyway, that's the life of a coach, especially when your biggest rival betas you a t home. I probably don't bet this game if NC had won on Thursday. I know one thing for sure, you won't see me betting against Miami at home (10-3-1 ats) . Away they are 5-5 ats. I'm pretty sure that NC will show up ready to play. MF gave beat them two times in at NC. The team is taking their turn on the get butchered by the so called experts on ESPN, CBS, and Fox sports. MF on a 5 game streak including 2 road wins at GT and Florida St. Nice run and they are tough! They have been vulnerable on the road losing at NCS by 16, Clemson by 11, and Virginia by 8. I may be way off base, but I really think NC can get at least a 10 point victory at home in a very big game that would strengthen their run at a conf title and a #1 seed.
#544 Syracuse -3 -110 (1)
Pitt at 18-7 (7-6) and 10-12 ats scoring 78.7 ppg giving up 68.2 ppg for a diff of 10.5
Syracuse at 18-9 (8-6) and 13-13 ats scoring 70.6 ppg giving up 64.7 ppg for a diff of 5.9
Diff of 4 or so, Cuse worth 5, line could be a point or so lower. Everyone knows how Cuse struggled with out their coach and how much better they are doing with him back at the helm. Cuse just can't lose anymore conf games and especially at home if they are to make a move up the standings. Quite a few teams ahead of them right now. Pitt has done well in the past at Cuse going 6-2 at Cuse. This Pitt team has sometimes started to struggle to score. The famous zone won't do them any favors either, as they have lost their shooting touch from the perimeter the last couple of games.
Pittsburgh is 5-11-2 ATS in its last 18 games on the road (good)
Syracuse is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games when playing at home against Pittsburgh (have to let everyone know that this is a strong trend )
Pitt has lost 4 conf games on the road by 21, 2, 13, and 18 points. So it's not out of the realm to think that Cuse can take care of business at home.
#546 Texas -5 -110 (1)
Baylor at 19-7 (8-5) and 7-12-1 ats scoring 78.9 ppg giving up 69.7 ppg for a diff of 9.2
Texas at 17-9 (8-5) and 13-12 ats scoring 72.8 ppg giving up 67.5 ppg for a diff of 5.3
Diff of 4, I have Texas rated a 4 at home, we do not have a pick do we. In a matter of fact giving 5 is rather high. Baylor no slouch. They could get the W straight up in this game. The way Texas has been playing lately, I would be surprised if that happened. Texas go them by 8 at their place in early Feb. Texas just takes care of the basketball. They get back on defense, well coached, and have caught on to coaches style of hard nosed play on the court for 4o minutes. I'm not sure if the big man for Baylor (Gathers) is playing as he is still listed with an illness. I made the bet expecting him in the line up so it will be a bonus if he's not playing.
Baylor is 4-17 SU in its last 21 games when playing on the road against Texas (good, hope it continues for another game)
Should be a very entertaining game and you know how I like the home teams in conf crunch time especially.
#580 N. Iowa -6 -110 (1)
Illinois St at 17-11 (11-4) and 13-13 ats scoring 67.7 ppg giving up 66.1 ppg for a diff of 1.6
N. Iowa at 16-12 (8-7) and 14-13 ats scoring 69.2 ppg giving up 64.7 ppg for a diff of 4.5
Diff of 3, N. Iowa worth 4 on their HC, line could be a point or two higher. But the way ISU have been playing it's tough to give them to many points right now. A big edge on he boards for ISU. (they have some players ? for the game) I just like N. Iowa and the big shooting advantage that they will have in this game.
ISU shooting 41% fg, 66.7% ft, and only 33.7 from 3 pt land with 13 to's a game.
N Iowa shooting 46% fg, 75.2%ft, and 38.4% from 3 pt land and only 10 to's a game (like it a lot)
Illinois State is 1-14 SU in its last 15 games when playing on the road against Northern Iowa (got to like it)
Illinois State is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Northern Iowa (good)
Northern Iowa is 21-4 SU in its last 25 games at home (we must protect this house)
Only reason this is not a (2) is ISU have been on a roll.
#627 Notre Dame -2 1/2 -110 (1)
ND at 18-7 (9-4) and 11-11-1 ats scoring 78.6 ppg giving up 70.4 ppg for a diff of 8.2
GT at 14-12 (4-9) and 13-10-1 ats scoring 74.9 ppg giving up 71.8 ppg for a diff of 3.1
Diff of 5, GT worth 4 at home, line is close, great play if you like conf home dogs in a revenge situation. I personally like the 9-4 conf team against the 4-9 conf team in this one. ND is only 1 loss behind the leaders in conf. They are definitely in the hunt. Notre Dame leads in all shooting stats and beat GT by 8 at home with some bad shooting in that game. This will not be easy as GT have improved so much and will always be a tough out. Once again, I'm playing the team that I think needs the W the most. Of course GT wants the W, but they are going to the NIT unless they win the conf tournament.
#680 North Dakota St -7 -110 (1)
IUPUI at 12-16 (8-5) and 15-12 ats scoring 68.4 ppg giving up 74.2 ppg for a diff of -5.8
ND.ST at 17-10 (7-6) and 9-15 ats scoring 70.4 ppg giving up 64.8 ppg for a diff of 5.7
Close diff, I give them a 4, still a high line, IUPUI actually has the better conf record by a game. These teams from Indiana just don't fare well on the long trip to North and South Dakota. The last 3 games at NDS the margins were 9. 6. 36. Plus the fact IUPUI are 4-14 away from home.
#586 Cincy -2 bth -120 (2)
UConn at 19-7 (9-4) and 11-10-1 ats scoring 73.6 ppg giving up 62.0 ppg for a diff of 11.6
Cincy at 19-8 (9-5) and 10-12-1 ats scoring 74.0 ppg giving up 61.8 ppg for a diff of 12.2
Diff of 1, Cincy worth 4 at home. Line could be 4, 5 imo. Hard to give UConn that many. This will be another grinder game just like Tulsa and Cincy played on Thursday. Just like UConn and SMU played on Thursday. I like the home team in this matchup because they are coming off a loss in OT at Tulsa and Conn coming off a big W over SMU. And imo Cincy is the better coached team.
Cincinnati is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games when playing at home against Connecticut. (not good but those UConn teams were very tough and well coached)
Cincy won at UConn by a point. I put that loss on UConn coach. I've seen other games that he hasn't managed very well at crunch time. I know I'm jinxing myself talking bad about a coach, (like the guy) much better recruiter and they like playing his style of ball and he will get better with every game. I just hope not in this game.
#692 IUFW -3 bth -120 (2)
NEBOM 17-11 (9-5) and 14-10 ats scoring 84.1 ppg giving up 79.6 ppg for a diff of 4.5
IU-FW at 21-7 (10-3) and 18-5 ats scoring 79.8 ppg giving up 75.8 ppg for a diff of 4.0
Close diff, IUFW worth 3-4 at home. Line is right. I think they are wrong. Just like Thursday when the were giving IUFW points at home.
IUFW won in Jan 106-101 at Omaha, these two teams should light it up tomorrow. It will be a game of runs. You'll look at that scoreboard and be up 5 or 6 and the next thing you know your down 4, etc.
IUFW must be a hard team to figure out: Maybe that's why they are 18-5 ats and 7-2 ats at home. As long as they keep their lines this soft I will continue to play them at home.
BTY, all 5 of the games in this series have gone over the posted number. This one is high, but wouldn't surprise me one bit if it went over.
#642 Indiana -3 bth -120 (2)
Purdue at 21-6 (9-5) and 12-11 ats scoring 77.3 ppg giving up 63.5 ppg for a diff of13.8
INDY 21-6 (11-3) and 14-13 ats scoring 83.4 ppg giving up 69.4 ppg for a diff of 14.0
Diff is close, Indy worth the highest I give 5 at home. Line could be higher. As always, IU diff inflated by cupcakes. If this was at Purdue I'd bet Purdue.
Purdue is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Indiana (like it)
Purdue is 3-11 SU in its last 14 games when playing on the road against Indiana (tough place to let a rival win at)
Purdue has won 3 straight in this series including a 4 point win last year in Bloomington. They controlled the tempo. They were patient, and they pounded it inside to the big boys.
IU tied for first with Iowa and have finally started to get a little respect. They played cupcakes in non conf, then they played bottom tier teams the first 7 or 8 games. Until the w over Iowa they still were getting no respect.
In the meantime, conf home games margin of victory: 7, 6, 32, 34, and 25. (love it)
Purdue road conf games: 2-4 with losses by 5, 11, 12, 14, their road wins were over Rutgers and a nice 6 point win over Wiscy.
Purdue may take them down. This will be Hoosier Hysteria at its best.
I'm going to ride that 3 pt shooting and the up and down style of play that IU plays at throughout the entire game. I really think Purdue may get tired in that 2nd half.
Good luck everyone
