#562 Loyola C -6 -105 (2)
Drake at 5-14 (0-7) and 5-11 ats scoring 69.7 ppg giving up 72.6 ppg for a diff of -3.0
Loyola C at 8-11 (1-6) and 6-12 ats scoring 62.3 ppg giving up 62.8 ppg for a diff of -0.5
Line is right on the button. Stats are pretty split with LC the better ft%. Both teams have been pretty bad ats. Drake at 5-11 ats and 2-6 on the road ats. LC at 6-12 and 38 at home ats. So why LC for a (2) play in this game?
Loyola has under achieved all season. They have lost 6 conf games by single digits. They have gotten behind this season and had to play catch up. They played really well in their last two games on the road beating N. Iowa by (10) and losing to Evansville by (8).
Loyola returned four starters and eight of their top nine scorers from last year’s squad, which earned a postseason berth (CBI Champions). They really are a much better team than their record. One of their starters is (20) point shy of a 1000 and I have a feeling he gets it in this game. Drake is not only bad on the road this year, they are 5-17-3 ATS in its last 25 games on the road. Now that is a bad on the road. Drake is a young team and have been taking their licks in conf play both at home and on the road. LC won both games last year and I see no reason why they don't start getting it rolling for the 2nd half of the conf season. Plus, this is the battle for last place as the two teams are o-7 and 1-6 in conf play. Just have to out my money an the veteran team at home that is only giving up 62 ppg.
#540 Tenn +1 -110 (1)
SC at 17-1 (4-1)and 12-3 ats scoring 78.4 ppg giving up 67.0 ppg for a diff of 11.4
Tenn at 9-9 (2-4) and 9-7-1 ats scoring 79.3 ppg giving up 77.0 ppg for a diff of 2.3
I'm really disappointed that Tenn is not getting more points in this contest. My goodness SC is 17-1 and 4-1 in conf and 12-3 ats and 3-1 ats away and beat Tenn last year at home by 11, and on and on it goes. This game has sucker written all over it and I'm not falling for it. I'll take my chances with the home team. SC is tough no doubt about it an Coach Martins teams always play a hard nose physical style of ball. They have been more vulnerable on the road. Theor only loss was at Bama by 23 and in their last game they got some breaks and edged Mississippi in OT. Tenn has always played well in this sort of rivalry series and has a 24-8 record at home in the series. Their supposed to get their big back (Moore) for this game as he missed the last two with a ankle injury. The Rebs go to SC by 4. Tenn shooting 72.3 from the ft line and SC at 67.7% form the ft line. SC averages 14 to's a game and Tenn 11 a game.
South Carolina is 1-9 SU in its last 10 games when playing on the road against Tennessee (I know they are much better this year) still like the trend for the home team
South Carolina is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Tennessee
Tennessee is 15-1 SU in its last 16 games when playing South Carolina (SC won last year to bust the streak)
Hoping for the upset by the Vols. Coach Barnes was very upset with their play last game at home as Vandy took it to them. Coach said don't expect another effort like that one and that they would be ready to play.
#595 Zona -2 1/2 -110 (2)
Arizona at 16-3 and 11-8 ats scoring 82.4 ppg giving up 66.6 ppg for a diff of 15.7
Cal at 13-6 and 9-10 ats scoring 75.5 ppg giving up 66.2 ppg for a diff of 9.3
Line is very close considering Cal is at home but without their Star Sr. PG Wallace.
Wallace was playing 33.1 minutes a game, averaging 15.4 ppg, 5.1 rebs a game, 4.6 assists a game and shooting 46.4 fg%. (now that's a big loss) this will be the 2nd game that he's been out of action.
Cal still is a perfect 12-0 at Haas Pavilion this year. Game is on the tubes, and also gold t-shirt night for Cal. Free shirts to the first 10,000. They want this game bad!
Zona has the edge in rebs, fg% 49.2, Ft% 71.6 and shoot 37.7 from 3 pt land.
Cal shooting 47.5%fg, 66.3% ft, and 35.5 from 3 pt land.
Arizona is 10-5 SU in its last 15 games when playing on the road against California (they know how to win on the road at Cal)
California is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Arizona (Zona always a tough out)
Cal is #1 in the country in 2pt fg% def at 38.5.
Zona may have one of the hottest players in the country since being inserted into the starting line up 3 games ago.
Tollefsen shooting 68.8% fg, 75% ft, and 80% form 3 pt land.
If Zona wants to stay in the thick of the conf race they need this W on the road. They already lost close games to USC and UCLA on the road. (key injuries)
Since the losses to ISC and UCLA, Zona has won 3 straight games by 32, 24, and just won at Stanford by 14.
I'm going to be a Wildcat fan in this one.
#597 UCLA +7 1/2 -110 (1)
UCLA at 12-7 and 7-12 ats scoring 80.2 ppg giving up 77.3 ppg for a diff of 2.9
Oregon at 15-4 and 8-7-1 ats scoring 77.0 ppg giving up 67.1 ppg for a diff of 9.8
I could have waited and might have gotten more points because I have the line at 9-10 points. Oregon is a very tough team, and even tougher at home and 6-3 ats at home.
UCLA has been one of the toughest teams to figure out this season. You never know what your going to get from them on any given game. They out rebound Oregon by 5 a game. Shooting stats are close, but UCLA has had some bad shooting nights and some nights where they have been on fire. Tempo will be the key as UCLA needs to get out and run to try and get some easy hoops from a very stingy defense.
The last 10 games in this series have gone 6-4 Oregon and 6-4 Oregon ATS with the average score 72.2 - 68.4.
I'm of course hoping for a close hard fought game, and always looking for an escape clause in the 2nd half if needed.
#640 Kansas St -6 -110 (1)
Oklahoma St at 10-8 and 10-6 ats scoring 71.0 ppg giving up 65.6 ppg for a diff of 5.4
Kansas St at 11-7 and 11-3-1 ats scoring 72.8 ppg giving up 66.4 ppg for a diff of 6.3
I had it figured at KS -5, but still going to play them at home in this one.
KS are 11-3-1 ats and 6-3 ats at home. (like)
Oklahoma State is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Kansas State (like it)
Okl St coming off a 87-67 win over Kansas. They looked as good as they did in the 2nd half of the Oklahoma game a few games ago. They have improved tremendously.
Surprising that was the 3rd straight time they beat Kansas at home. They have also lost 3 straight times at Kansas St. Oklahoma St not quite as good on the road.
KS at 1-5 in conf play. They have been right there in those losses with the exception of Iowa St beating them pretty easily at home.
They just lost a t Baylor in DOUBLE OT, lost to WV in DOUBLE OT, lost at Texas by 3, so the have been very competitive.
It will be interesting to see how they respond at home where they are 8-2 this year, losses to WV in DOT and A & M. On the other hand how will Okl St play on the road without that fired up crowd that pumps them up.
I'm just hoping I picked the right spot for a KS bounce back and a Okl St returning back to how they have played most of the season.
#662 Michigan St -3 1/2 -110 (2)
Maryland at 17-2 and 9-9-1 ats scoring 78.1 ppg giving up 63.6 ppg for a diff of 14.5
Mich St at 16-4 and 10-9 ats scoring 78.6 ppg giving up 63.2 ppg for a diff of 15.4
Ok, I'll play them at home with this line. I have Mich St worth 4 at home for a line that could have been 5 to 6. Could have been, I said, recent Mich St struggles have caused concern and a lot of doubters now. My gosh, Iowa just had their number, lost two games by a point, and now their finished.
I'm mostly betting big on them because I can't picture them losing 3 straight games at home. I know it could happen, but I can't see it happening.
Maryland has been a team that has had their number. They have won a couple of games at Mich St. and are 4-1 ats last 5. I'm going against the trends, the stats as Maryland has the edge in fg%, FT%, and 3 pt %, and betting more on Coach Izzo that he will have this team ready to play. MAryland has played very well and at times not so well. Who knows for sure how this game will play out? I'm riding with the homey.
If not, I pay up.
#682 Stanford -2 -110 (1)
Arizona St at 11-8 and 9-9 ats scoring 75.9 ppg giving up 72.2 ppg for a diff of 3.7
Stanford at 10-7 and 7-8 ats scoring 70.3 ppg giving up 66.4 ppg for a diff of 3.9
I have it at -3, I'll take the home team at -2. Stanford just lost at home to Zona. I believe they have a much better chance to win this game.
Arizona State is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Stanford (like it)
Arizona State is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Stanford (like it even better)
Stanford is 13-4 SU in its last 17 games at home (don't lose very often at home)
Ariz St has lost 4 out of their last 5 games, 3 of them on the road, just coming off a loss at California who was without their PG for the first time.
I will play the smart team at home and hope they can get it done.
#636 San Diego St -7 1/2 -110 (1)
Utah St at 11-7 and 6-9 ats scoring 72.8 ppg giving up 70.2 ppg for a diff of 2.7
Sandiego St at 13-6 and 6-6-3 ats scoring 66.2 ppg giving up 60.4 ppg for a diff of 5.7
Close line, rather it be at 7 as the half is bad. I don't think it will matter in this game.
SDS are 5-0 last 5 in this series and 5-0 ats with the average score 67.8 to 52.4
SDS w's at home in this series have been by 20, 34, and 15. Utah St played them much closer when they were the home team.
I like the way SDS plays D. They will force some to's that should lead to some easy scores. I just hope they get out way ahead because they suck at the ft line 68%, must of shot much worse the game I bet on them against Fresno.
#527 Oklahoma -1 -115 (1)
Oklahoma at 15-2 and 7-8 ats scoring 85.7 ppg giving up 71.6 ppg for a diff of 14.1
Baylor at 15-3 and 5-7 ats scoring 80.7 ppg giving up 66.6 ppg for a diff of 14.1
I'm a sucker. How can Baylor not be a 3 point fav in this game. They got me and I'll bite. Unless it's reverse sucker and they think people will jump all over Baylor. Who knows on all that crap. All I know is Baylor was lucky to get the W a couple of days ago over Kansas St in double OT. I might have played them then. No, I wouldn't have against Oklahoma.
Oklahoma is 16-4 SU in its last 20 games when playing on the road against Baylor (they have a stranglehold on them)
Baylor is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Oklahoma
A top notch team who went down last game at Iowa St could possibly lose two in a row. Or they could bounce back and prove they are a top notch team with a player of the year candidate in Held. I'm putting my money on Held and company mainly because I can't imagine them losing two games in a row. Although the way the launch up shots and if there not falling they will lose the game.
Good luck everyone and drive safely for those of you that got all of the bad weather.
