#530 Temple +4 -110 (2)
Cincy at 13-5 and 6-7-1 ats scoring 74.6 ppg and giving up 60.9 ppg for a diff of 13.7
Temple at 8-7 and 8-5 ats scoring 68.8 ppg giving up 68.9 ppg for a diff of -0.1
I thought I might be getting more points than this and may be sorry that I didn't wait. Of course I could be sorry that I bet Temple in the first place. I Cincy leads in all stats except ft shooting, which is close. Cincy the better record. Cincy with revenge on their minds from the 7 point loss Temple administered to them back on Dec. 29.
So why Temple? It seemed to me that the line is begging for Cincy money. The line at Cincy was -11. Shouldn't this line be around -7 or -8? I think they are begging for Cincy money.
As far as the two teams go, Temple is playing better ball right now than they have all year. They won at UConn and had Memphis on the ropes in their last game. Cincy has not really proven that they are a quality team on the road to be spotting points to a conf opponent that they have struggled with recently. Temple won last year at home b y 16 and lost the year before by 4. I just think they know each other rather well and this one should go down to the wire.
#534 Minny +11 1/2 -110 (2)
Indiana at 14-3 and 9-8 ats scoring 85.9 ppg giving up 68.8 ppg for a diff of 17.1
Minny at 6-11 and 3-12 ats scoring 70.3 ppg giving up 74.3 ppg for a diff of -4.0
Diff suggests 21 and with a +3 at home line could be 17-18. We all know that would be ridiculous line in a conf road game. Personally, following IU along with the other Indiana schools I felt like this is just way to many for IU to spot. IU numbers vastly inflated with the number of cupcakes that they play in their rather easy non-conference schedule. The loss of Blackmon and the fact that they are only 4-9 SU in its last 13 games on the road and 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing at Minny should help keep this game under the number. I'm aware that this is a very weak Minny team but they are in desperate times right now.
At Minny the last 5 games the margin was 6, 4, 19, 4, and 3,with Minny winning four of the games out right. Will go against my home team in hopes that they win but not by DD's on the road in Conf play.
#542 Georgetown +7 -110 (2)
Nova at 15-2 and 10-6 ats scoring 77.0 ppg giving up 60.6 ppg for a diff of 16.4
GT at 11-6 and 9-6 ats scoring 75.1 ppg giving up 69.1 ppg for a diff of 6.0
Line is right on the number. Nova is playing great ball while GT has been up and down all season. Nova leads in every stat, although most of them are close. I will take GT at home in this rivalry game anytime they are getting points. Nova is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against GT and 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at GT. This game is usually a war. The last 10 games have been split at 5-5. The average score for the last 10 is 67.4 to 67.9. Now that is a close series. I know the chance exists of a Nova blow out. every bet we make is a chance. I just think my chances are looking good whenever you have a home dog in a tight vest rivalry. Especially when you get a td spot.
#548 Clemson +5 -110 (2)
Miami at 13-2 and 10-4 ats scoring 81.1 ppg giving up 64.9 ppg for a diff of 16.3
Clemson at 11-6 and 8-5 ats scoring 69.5 ppg giving up 62.2 ppg for a diff of 7.2
Line is right on the button. Clemson is not getting enough respect at home imo. They have proven (5-2) ats at home, that they are a tough out at home. They have won 4 straight games over Florida St, Cuse, Louisville, and Duke. Yet they are still home dogs getting 5. Maybe they will let down. MF is definitely a tough opponent.
Miami is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Clemson (this one won't be easy either I hope)
Miami is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Clemson (so they can win a close one and I still can win) Miami happy, and I'd be happy.
Clemson is 6-4 last 10 in this series straight up and 6-3-1 ats with a average score of 65.4 to 63.1
Just hoping for another close game between the two teams.
#552 Georgia +2 -110 (2)
A & M at 14-2 and 5-4-2 ats scoring 79.5 ppg giving up 66.0 ppg for a diff of 13.5
Georgia at 9-5 and 7-7 ats scoring 71.9 ppg giving up 66.4 ppg for a diff of 5.6
They would be crazy to give Georgia more than 4 in this game. Both teams are very good and the way A & M have been playing they should be favored in the game. Texas A&M is 9-3-1 ATS in its last 13 games on the road. Like I already mentioned, they are playing good on the road but have struggled in this series.
Georgia have won the last 4 in this series by 9, 12, 6, and 7 points. If A & M can go get the W at their house I pay up. I really like the home dog in this game.
#570 Texas T +2 1/2 -110 (2)
Baylor at 13-3 and 4-6 ats scoring 81.9 ppg giving up 66.7 ppg for a diff of 15.2
TT at 11-4 and 8-4 ats scoring 74.6 ppg giving up 67.4 ppg for a diff of 7.2
I was hoping the line would be closer to 4-5. After all Baylor leads in every stat and have won 3 straight games at Iowa St and at home over TCU by 28 and Okl ST by 17. They are a very good shooting team. I've seen them play twice on the tubes this season. I didn't think they played very smart at the end of the two games I watched.
Texas T are 7-3 ats at home.
Baylor are 1-3 ats away
Baylor has a history of struggling at Texas T. They 6-12 SU in its last 18 games when playing on the road against Texas Tech. Although they have won 8 out of the last 10 in this series, both games last year were decided by 3 and 5 points. Coach Tubby Smith, (past stints at Minny, Kentucky) has turned this program around after Pat Knight took it over from his daddy and ruined it.
#588 Kansas St +1 -110 (2)
Iowa St at 12-4 and 6-6-1 ats scoring 85.8 ppg giving up 75.0 ppg for a diff of 10.8
Kansas St at 11-5 and 10-2-1 ats scoring 73.4 ppg giving up 65.1 ppg for a diff of 8.4
I had the line in favor of KS at -2. I will take them as a dog. They have been awful good at 10-2 ats and 6-2 ats at home. Most of the stats are in favor of the high scoring team that plays poor defense. I like KS def especially at home.
Iowa State is 2-12 SU in its last 14 games when playing on the road against Kansas State (Why would this one be any easier for them to be the fav?)
Iowa State is 3-10-1 ATS in its last 14 games when playing on the road against Kansas State (KS took care of business at home and covered most as the fav)
KS have covered ats 5 out of the last 6 in this series.
The average score the last 10 72.6 to 72.5.
#656 Mississippi +2 -110 (2)
Florida at 10-6 and 8-5-1 ats scoring 72.5 ppg giving up 63.9 ppg for a diff of 8.6
Miss at 12-4 and 8-7 ats scoring 75.8 ppg giving up 71.3 ppg for a diff of 4.4
I have it a t a toss up. I will take the +2 with the home pup. This could be a real close game and Miss shoots ft's at 71.6 compared to Florida at 60.8. Points are always crucial from the line and when the spread is like this they become even more crucial. Especially if Miss needs Florida to miss a few at the end in a close game.
I also like this stat: Florida is 2-10 SU in its last 12 games on the road. Just goes to show you how tough it is to win on the road in conf.
Miss are 8-2 ats last 10 in this series. (like it)
Last 4 in this series have been decided by 1, 1, 4, and 3.
Another home dog for me that could win straight up.
#692 E. Washington -12 -110 (2)
N. Arizona at 3-12 and 3-7 ats scoring 69.5 ppg giving up 80.8 ppg for a diff of -11.3
E. Wash at 8-8 and 6-6 ats scoring 81.3 ppg giving up 76.8 ppg for a diff of 4.4
Finally, a fav that I will gladly take my chance on with the dd spread. Just look at those numbers. Zona giving up 80.8 ppg and on the road playing a team that scores 81.3 ppg. Not looking to good for them. Probably why they are 3-7 ats and 2-6 ats away. Zona shooting 38% fg compared to 49.1 for EW. EW has some tracksters on their team. They get some easy scores on transition. They have 4 players averaging 36.5, 34,4, 33.5, 31 minutes a game. They score at 19.4, 16.3, 15.9, and 10.6 ppg. The opposition turns it over 15 times a game. EW has always been a nice team to bet on once conf starts as their preseason schedule is usually tougher than their opponents which prepares them better to dominate conf play.
UTA is also a nice conf team to play on. I have played them a lot this year as a dog. Nowthey are giving a bunch of points every game.
Anyway, as you cans see I'm on the home teams and 8 of them are dogs. I really think all of them have a shot at winning heads up. Hopefully, 4 of them can win heads up and a couple of the other one's keep it close.
good luck my friends
