St Francis PA @ Marquette -27 (2)
St. Francis PA at 3-6 and 0-1 ats scoring 78.0 ppg giving up 78.3 ppg for a diff of -0.3
Marquette at 7-3 and 5-5 ats scoring 86.4 ppg giving up 73.2 ppg for a diff of 13.2
Diff of 13 and Marquette worth 4 at home. As you can see it's not at -17 but bumped way up to 27. There are many reasons why the line is high. I'll start with the shooting stats.
St F shooting 44.3% fg, 63.3% ft, and 36% from 3 pt land.
Marq shoots 50% fg, 81.3% ft, and 40.1% from 3 pt land.
St Fr averaging 17 turnovers a game. (like it, and at Marquette should lead to some easy one's.
Marquette hasn't played since December 6 in a loss to Wiscy 93-84. I am sure that both Marquette and their coach are very anxious to get back out on the court. They will have so much energy and could score close to a 100 if their coach elects. Marquette already has beaten Vandy (24), Howard (32), IUPUI (25), and Western Carolina (56). There is no reason why they shouldn't blow out this team.
Delaware St has 3 w's this season. They beat Chatham, Longwood, and American, a combined record of 5-20.
They are currently on a 4 game skid where thy lost at Le High 100-67 and just two days ago lost at home to Stony Brook by 12.
This team is giving up 78.3 ppg and playing on the road against a team with a coach that loves offense and scoring 86.4 ppg and have very fresh legs and coming off a loss, and I'm betting on them.
Tenn St @ Duke -25 1/2 -110 (3)
Tenn St at 8-2 and 4-4 ats scoring 71.2 ppg giving up 64.2 ppg for a diff of 7.0
Duke at 10-1 and 6-4 ats scoring 86.3 ppg giving up 62.6 ppg for a diff of 23.7
Diff of 16.7 and Duke worth the full 5 at home and line is at -25 1/2. So as always when you play the big boy's you give up more because they know we like to play them.
This Tenn St team has only lost 2 games but both of them were on the road.
They lost to Vandy (24) and Vandy is down some this year with a new coach at the helm and also lost at North Carolina St by 12. Their biggest win to date over a decent team was a nice W over MTS. Rivalry game in that state so that score didn't surprise me.
The rest of their w's were over some cupcakes and over some schools that aren't big name programs. This is Duke at Duke. Duke hasn't seen the court in 9 days since they demolished UNLV in the dessert by 49 points. Duke has 2 of the injured freshman back in action. Coach is working them in the rotation. They give Duke a lot more options and Duke already has a bunch of options if you been following hoops at all you already know that.
Tenn St shooting 43.7% fg, and 64.4% ft, and 37.3% from 3 pt land (make 5.6 a game)
Duke shooting 50.2 % fg, 75% ft, and 36.8 rom 3 pt land (average 8.1 a game)
Tenn St commits 16 turnovers a game. (spells trouble at Camreon)
Duke has 5 players averaging DD points lead by Kennard (20ppg) and Allen (17.7 ppg)
Should be no look ahead for Duke and they have had the time to prepare for this game.
If I lose I lose but really like this game.
SIUED @ Wiscy GB -14 1/2 (2)
SIUED at 4-7 and 4-4 ats scoring 65.0 ppg giving up 73.1 ppg for a diff of -8.1
Wiscy GB at 4-6 and 4-5 ats scoring 76.3 ppg giving up 78.2 ppg for a diff of -1.9
Diff of 6 and WGB worth 3-4 at home. Line is a little high but the lines makers do their job for the most part exceptionally well.
The reason it's jacked up 5 or 6 point high is because of SIUED will be without leading scorer Tre Harris. out for personal reasons.
Harris stats: 12.2 ppg and 3,7 rebs and the teams leading 3 pt shooter at 43.9%. (doesn't sound like a lot but when your team is only scoring 65 ppg and now your leader is out usually doesn't bold to well for teams that aren't deep or are already getting the leftover recruits.
SIUED shoots 38.9% fg and 66.9% ft and 30.2% from 3 pt land. (remember Harris was at 43.9 form 3 pt land.) This leaves really bad shooters out there on the court.
They are supposed to keep up with WGB who are averaging 76.3 ppg and play fast and press.
SIUED turns it over as it is (14) a game.
WGB pressed Wisconsin to the end. They cut the lead down at Wiscy from 26 to 14.
WGB won this game last year at SIUED 78-69 and I see no reason why they shouldn't cover this one at home.
Delaware ST @ Indiana -33 (2)
Delaware at 3-9 and 1-0 ats scoring 68.7 ppg giving up 75.9 ppg for a diff of -7.3
Indy at 8-2 and 4-4 ats scoring 86.6 pp giving up 67.4 ppg for a diff of 19.2
Diff of 26 and IU worth 5 the max 5 at home. Line is close. Not close enough imo. Your either going to get a Indiana team that's going to beat the holy crap out of this team, or a Indiana team where Crean tries to prove a point and play players 9-13 a lot.
Since I'm pretty sure that he' a coach who generally shows no mercy I'm playing them to bounce back. After the IUPF loss IU won their next game by 32 over Miss Valley St. In the IUPF game they went into a hornets nest and got praise even though they lost for ot being afraid to go play a team like that on their home court. In this one their is no excuse. Butler beat them on a neutral court and played harder than they did. He will be even more pissed. I expect nothing but a all out effort in this game.
IU with margins of 39, 33, 28, 42 and many DD w's.
Delaware St is down in every stat possible for this game. They give up a bunch of points and are playing a team that lost a tough one, and our home, has a coach with history or running and gunning, and actually play better def this year, and I see no way of hanging around.
Delaware St has 3 w's this year. Get this: 103-56 over Babtist Bible, 92-69 over Keystone, and a credible w over St John's (the crooked team) 79-72.
Losses by UMBC, Rice, Delaware, North Texas, by 22, 22, 16, 33 points. Throw Indiana in the mix at home (hoping for 35 + whatever coach Crean wants it to be). Another yo yo on deck for IU and coach was not happy with the way the team played and I expect him to right the ship in this one. If a piss poor 1st half effort happens the first half, I'll be ready for the 2nd half. Vice versa, if a huge IU lead at half time is the case, there may be the need for a possible hedge. It just depends on how bad this Delaware team looks the first half.
Western Illinois @ Purdue -29 (2)
W.Ill at 3-7 and 1-5 ats scoring 69.8 ppg giving up 67.3 ppg for a diff of 2.5
Purdue at 9-2 and 6-3 ats scoring 83.9 ppg giving up 66.2 ppg for a diff of 17.7
Diff of 15 Purdue worth 5 at Mackey but we have a line of 29. Yes it is high. Schedules, teams played, who they beat, of course it's higher. Which Purdue team will show up? Will we have a let down after the Irish win? Will we have a team that has gained confidence at the right time? I think what we have here is, a complete mismatch of talent.
This team was 10-17 last year and 3-13 in their conf and are predicted to finish last in the summit this year. They have won 3 games.
w's over: Crowne college 91-53 and Oakridge Christian 95-48 have really messed with their stats, points should be hard to come by at Purdue, even with Purdue backups who better know how to d it up to play for Purdue.
Their other win was two days ago over Wiscy Milw 75-59. Wiscy Mil is very down this year nut still a nice win for W. Ill. This will be game 2nd game of four straight on the road for W. Illinois.
Purdue only two losses to #1 Nova 79-76 and top 10 team at Louisville 71-64.
They take care of business at home.
W's over:
McNeese 109-65
Auburn 96-71
Morehead 90-56
Ariz St 97-64
Cleve St 77-53
W. Ill does have a marquee player in Covington 6'5 senior guard scoring 21ppg, 4.8 rebs, 44% fg, 86.2% ft and 40.8 form 3 pt land. He is the only reason why th8is game is only a (2) for me. The dude play7s 37 minutes a game and I can just see home scoring points in the last 5 minutes of this game while the Purdue back ups are in the game.
Good luck and please excuse all of my typos . I already have enough trouble trying to make out my chicken scratch on notes of games.
I have at least 3-5 dogs that I'm waiting on. I'm hoping the lines will move in my favor on some of them.
