Manhattan @ West Virginia -24 1/2 (3)
Manhattan at 2-3 and 2-2 ats scoring 75.2 ppg giving up 81.4 ppg for a diff of -6.2
W. Virginia at 4-1 and 2-1 ats scoring 92.0 ppg and giving up 60.8 ppg for a diff of 31.2
WV will take no prisoners as that's just the way the style and the way they play the game. The 31.2 point differential is that high for a reason. They already have 38, 41, 59, and 32 point wins this season. They lost their last outing 81-77 to Temple. You have to have really good guard play to handle the famous PRESS VIRGINIA PRESS. That is what they do.
They are #1 in forced turnovers at 24.8 a game and hold a 13.6 turnover margin on their opponents. (like it)
They are 2nd in steals swiping 12.8 a game. (like it)
They are #21 in points allowed giving up 60.8 per game.
Manhattan giving up 81.4 ppg and WV scoring 92 a game. Factor in that Manhattan is averaging 19 turnovers a game and will be playing a team that forces just shy of 25 and you see why I like the possibilities for a large WV win.
WV will run teams up in non conf schedule. They don't always cover and they do shoot ft's bad at 60% as a team. I'm hoping that it doesn't come to that, but am fully aware that it could prove costly in a point spread.
Boise St at Oregon -16 1/2 (1)
BOISE at 3-2 and 1-2 ats scoring 74.6 ppg and giving up 62.4 ppg for a diff of 12.2
OREG at 4-2 and 2-4 ats scoring 70.8 ppg and giving up 66.0 ppg for a diff of 4.8
This diff is very misleading. Boise totals were run up with a 26 point win over Presbyterian and a 39 point win over Northwest College. Their other games against D-1 teams resulted in a 12 and 13 point losses to Miss St and COC. I'm not saying they aren't a good team. I'm just thinking that their numbers don't reflect what they might be getting into at Oregon for this game. There is a revenge factor, or maybe more of a beware factor for Oregon as they lost this game last year by 2 points at Boise St. Boise St lost 4 starters and have 8 new faces on their roster. They were 20-12 last season and a tough team to play.
I know Oregon has gotten a lot of hype and that is probably why they are 2-4 ats as their lines have been high. I imagine that this was a tough line to set.
I did read where coach Altman said he is going to start Brooks this game. The team needs a lift and the need to start playing like they are capable of and that he expects it to start in this long home stretch. He has played in there last 3 games but they have been limiting his minutes. Coach said he is ready to play more minutes now.
While Boise St schedule has been kind of on the light side, Oregon's has been very tough.
Oregon in their last 5 games have played UCONN, Tenn, Georgetown, Valpo and Baylor.
I honestly believe that this schedule can only make them better and that Boise ST will have to play their best game and Oregon their worst game just to keep this one under 20.
Oregon is 23-2 SU in its last 25 games at home (nice, but I need big win)
Oregon is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home (scary enough for me to only bet a (1)
Boise State is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games on the road (good)
Boise State is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games on the road (good)
Wake forest @ Northwestern -3 1/2 (1)
WAKE at 5-1 and 4-2 ats scoring 86.3 ppg and giving up 74.2 ppg for a diff of 12.2
NWEST at 4-2 and 3-2 ats scoring 79.5 ppg and giving up 66.5 ppg for a diff of 13.0
Diff of 1 and NW worth 4-5 at home so line could be 5 to 6 imo.
No doubt Manning has this program heading in the right direction. I just don't know how much they have really improved this year as they did win 9 non conf games last year but only went 2-16 in conf play. So they are getting the W's over teams like Coastal C, College of Charleston, UTEP and Bucknell, but when they went up against Nova they lost by 19.
NW has two losses by a combined 6 points Notre Dame (4) and at Butler by (2). They have a veteran team back from a 20-12 season and 8-10 in conf play. They are no longer the cupcake on a big 10 schedule.
Northwestern is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games at home (home tonight)
Wake Forest is 2-10 SU in its last 12 games on the road (away tonight)
I really don't know what to expect in this game so only a (1). I do think NW has the potential to get the W in this game. I like that they are hitting their ft's at a 78.8% in case WF has to foul at the end. WF also shooting ft's at 78.2% clip.
This is one of the games that I see the Big 10 getting a W in this big 10/ACC challenge.
And I do think that the ACC wins the challenge this season.
I wish I knew more about Utah transfer players. Seems like they are loaded in the post. I'm just not sure about their guard play as they have played only cupcakes so far this season. Butler a decent team but to be favored on the road at Utah is kind of scary.
good luck everyone and always bet reasonably
I may play a 1st half and maybe some 2nd halfs if I think they give me a good opportunity for a middle or a get out of a game and only give the fluff.
