St Francis BNY @ Providence -18 (2)
STFNY at 0-2 and 0-0 ats scoring 46.5 and giving up 79.0 ppg for a diff of -32.5
Provo at 2-1 and 2-1 ats scoring 72.7 ppg and giving up 61.3 ppg for a diff of 11.3
Kind of a big diff but to be expected as ST Francis was beaten up at NCS 86-61 and at Virginia 72-32. That's 25 and 40 point margins. I see a good possibility that Provo will cover the 20 1/2 point spread at home.
St F just doesn't have the horses to keep up. You can't score at 47 ppg, shoot 29.1 % fg and 66,7 ft% and 25% from 3 point land and not get smoked by the big named programs.
Providence gave it all they had at Ohio St and came up just short 5 points. Then they traveled back home and hosted Grambling and went through the motions and still won by 17. Coach will want a better effort before they play in the Emerald Coast Classic (4) days later. I expect their starters to play more minutes and would assume that he would want them to get a heck of a workout.
I like that Provo D is only giving up 61.3 ppg. Doesn't look to good for a team playing their 3rd road game in a row against a marquee team. Rhode shooting 43.4% fg, 76.9% ft, and averaging 9.3 pointers a game. A stud like Bullock doesn't hurt either. As he scoring 21 ppg with 6 boards, shoots 50% fg and 47.1 % from3 point land and not a bad ft% at 76.9%.
Texas -2 vs Northwestern (2)
TEXAS at 3-0 and 2-0 ats scoring 81.0 ppg and giving up 61.3 ppg for a diff of 19.7
NWEST at 2-1 and 2-1 ats scoring 82.7 6ppg and giving up 8.3 ppg for a diff of 14.3
In what should be a nice treat if you live in the Brooklyn and hopefully a nice treat if Texas brings it like their capable of bringing it. I don't see a Coach Smart's team not bringing it. Line is pretty close from my estimations
. NW gave Butler a heck of a game on the road only losing by 2 and now they play Texas on a neutral. In a common opponent though, NW beat E. Washington 86-72 (14) while Texas beat them 85-52 (33). I just got a feeling that Texas has the all around better players and athletes to get by in this one. Smart has 4 players that are tougher than nails that are new to the program. All four of them are averaging over 20 minutes a game so far and 3 of them are averaging dd's I ppg. Many really don't now what to expect from Texas this season as far as how they will do in league play. I know one thing for sure and that is Smart is Smart. Even though this team features 4 new starters, they are better than the hand he was dealt with last year in his first season. One of my sleepers this year and I'm on them in this game. I don't blame anyone if they don't play this game or if they take NW. After all, NW is very good this season.
Western Carolina @ Ohio St -26 1/2 (2)
W.CAR at 1-3 and 0-2 ats scoring 63.0 ppg and giving up 76.0 ppg for a diff of -13.0
Ohio St at 3-0 and 0-3 ats scoring 73.0 ppg giving up 66.0 ppg for a diff of 7.0
The mismatch games early in the year are very tough to make lines for. That's the biggest reason why you see me playing on a lot of them. Mistakes are easily made because they are so hard to cap and with all of the other sports going on it's easy to find what you might think is a weak line. Is this a weak line? Doesn't it look so easy to take all of those points against a team that is already 0-3 ats. And one of their best players went down last game (DIOP ankle) listed as ? Common opponent WC lost to North Carolina Central 67-59 (8) and and two days earlier Ohio St beat them by only (6), Now I'm not real good in math but 14 is the diff in those two games two days apart and now the other two teams are playing with a spread of 26 1/2. Ohio State is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games. Ohio State is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home. I'm not falling for it. Ohio St is to good of a team not to put a really good game together after 3 mediocre games. They should be well rested at home. WC just got hammered By Marshall 98-63. You just can't shoot 37% from the field and play a team like Ohio St that is shooting 51% form the field. This game puzzled me so much that I just have to go with my instincts and play the home team even though the line is definitely inflated, but IMO not inflated enough. Of course I may be looking for a out come half time!
Copin St @ Ball St -18 (2)
Ball St at 1-2 and 1-2 ats scoring 72.7 ppg and giving up 73.7 ppg for a diff of -1.0
Copin ST at 0-5 and 0-1 ats scoring 59.8 and giving up 86.2 ppg for a diff of -26.4
I will continue to fade teams like Copin whenever they put a line out on their out of conf games until it gets ugly. It's already been real ugly for Copin.
They have lost by a average of26.4 ppg. I bet against them in their only lined games so far and Utah beat them 94-54. Game before they lost 96-59 to BYU, game before 89-59 to Coastal Carolina, by 20 game before to Valpo and only by 2 in their opener at Hofstra. This poor team hasn't played a home game yet. I guess they don't have to go to classes cause they are always gone. Now I'm aware that Ball St is no Utah or BYU and the game is on a neutral court at the MGM. Even though Ball St are only 1-2 they do return 4 starters and have been very competitive. They lost their last game to ISU in over time.
Copin shooting 30% fg and 59% ft. Now they may put one together and play well enough to get the cover in this one and if they do I pay up and move on just like any other game. Merely fading a very struggling team from a lower tier conference.
Norfolk @ Butler -22 (2)
NORFK at 2-2 and 0-0 ats scoring 73.8 and giving up 66.5 ppg for a diff of 7.3
Butler at 3-0 and 1-1 ats scoring 81.7 ppg and giving up 60.0 2ppg for a diff of 1.7
Norfolk had a nice season last year at 17-17 and 12-4 in conf play. They graduated 3 double digit scoring starters who were responsible for over 50% of the teams scoring.
They have won two games already this year. They beat Shenandoah 78-58 and they faced off with a Elizabeth City St and won 91-55. This kind of inflated their stats. But reality hit last game out at losing at Vandy 75-52. Well if they thought that was a tough place to play then wait till they paly at Hinkle home of the bulldogs.
Getting tired so I'll be brief on this one. Butler neat Northern Colorado 89-52, and NW 70-68, by 2, and most recently Bucknell by 86-60 score. Butler plays some pretty good D at home. Or as the locals say it's just a tough place for the visiting team to play at as all 9000 fans seem like they are on top of you. And when a lot of the students are gone the locals snag up the seats and they want blood.
All kidding aside,
good luck and always bet reasonably
STFNY at 0-2 and 0-0 ats scoring 46.5 and giving up 79.0 ppg for a diff of -32.5
Provo at 2-1 and 2-1 ats scoring 72.7 ppg and giving up 61.3 ppg for a diff of 11.3
Kind of a big diff but to be expected as ST Francis was beaten up at NCS 86-61 and at Virginia 72-32. That's 25 and 40 point margins. I see a good possibility that Provo will cover the 20 1/2 point spread at home.
St F just doesn't have the horses to keep up. You can't score at 47 ppg, shoot 29.1 % fg and 66,7 ft% and 25% from 3 point land and not get smoked by the big named programs.
Providence gave it all they had at Ohio St and came up just short 5 points. Then they traveled back home and hosted Grambling and went through the motions and still won by 17. Coach will want a better effort before they play in the Emerald Coast Classic (4) days later. I expect their starters to play more minutes and would assume that he would want them to get a heck of a workout.
I like that Provo D is only giving up 61.3 ppg. Doesn't look to good for a team playing their 3rd road game in a row against a marquee team. Rhode shooting 43.4% fg, 76.9% ft, and averaging 9.3 pointers a game. A stud like Bullock doesn't hurt either. As he scoring 21 ppg with 6 boards, shoots 50% fg and 47.1 % from3 point land and not a bad ft% at 76.9%.
Texas -2 vs Northwestern (2)
TEXAS at 3-0 and 2-0 ats scoring 81.0 ppg and giving up 61.3 ppg for a diff of 19.7
NWEST at 2-1 and 2-1 ats scoring 82.7 6ppg and giving up 8.3 ppg for a diff of 14.3
In what should be a nice treat if you live in the Brooklyn and hopefully a nice treat if Texas brings it like their capable of bringing it. I don't see a Coach Smart's team not bringing it. Line is pretty close from my estimations
. NW gave Butler a heck of a game on the road only losing by 2 and now they play Texas on a neutral. In a common opponent though, NW beat E. Washington 86-72 (14) while Texas beat them 85-52 (33). I just got a feeling that Texas has the all around better players and athletes to get by in this one. Smart has 4 players that are tougher than nails that are new to the program. All four of them are averaging over 20 minutes a game so far and 3 of them are averaging dd's I ppg. Many really don't now what to expect from Texas this season as far as how they will do in league play. I know one thing for sure and that is Smart is Smart. Even though this team features 4 new starters, they are better than the hand he was dealt with last year in his first season. One of my sleepers this year and I'm on them in this game. I don't blame anyone if they don't play this game or if they take NW. After all, NW is very good this season.
Western Carolina @ Ohio St -26 1/2 (2)
W.CAR at 1-3 and 0-2 ats scoring 63.0 ppg and giving up 76.0 ppg for a diff of -13.0
Ohio St at 3-0 and 0-3 ats scoring 73.0 ppg giving up 66.0 ppg for a diff of 7.0
The mismatch games early in the year are very tough to make lines for. That's the biggest reason why you see me playing on a lot of them. Mistakes are easily made because they are so hard to cap and with all of the other sports going on it's easy to find what you might think is a weak line. Is this a weak line? Doesn't it look so easy to take all of those points against a team that is already 0-3 ats. And one of their best players went down last game (DIOP ankle) listed as ? Common opponent WC lost to North Carolina Central 67-59 (8) and and two days earlier Ohio St beat them by only (6), Now I'm not real good in math but 14 is the diff in those two games two days apart and now the other two teams are playing with a spread of 26 1/2. Ohio State is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games. Ohio State is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home. I'm not falling for it. Ohio St is to good of a team not to put a really good game together after 3 mediocre games. They should be well rested at home. WC just got hammered By Marshall 98-63. You just can't shoot 37% from the field and play a team like Ohio St that is shooting 51% form the field. This game puzzled me so much that I just have to go with my instincts and play the home team even though the line is definitely inflated, but IMO not inflated enough. Of course I may be looking for a out come half time!
Copin St @ Ball St -18 (2)
Ball St at 1-2 and 1-2 ats scoring 72.7 ppg and giving up 73.7 ppg for a diff of -1.0
Copin ST at 0-5 and 0-1 ats scoring 59.8 and giving up 86.2 ppg for a diff of -26.4
I will continue to fade teams like Copin whenever they put a line out on their out of conf games until it gets ugly. It's already been real ugly for Copin.
They have lost by a average of26.4 ppg. I bet against them in their only lined games so far and Utah beat them 94-54. Game before they lost 96-59 to BYU, game before 89-59 to Coastal Carolina, by 20 game before to Valpo and only by 2 in their opener at Hofstra. This poor team hasn't played a home game yet. I guess they don't have to go to classes cause they are always gone. Now I'm aware that Ball St is no Utah or BYU and the game is on a neutral court at the MGM. Even though Ball St are only 1-2 they do return 4 starters and have been very competitive. They lost their last game to ISU in over time.
Copin shooting 30% fg and 59% ft. Now they may put one together and play well enough to get the cover in this one and if they do I pay up and move on just like any other game. Merely fading a very struggling team from a lower tier conference.
Norfolk @ Butler -22 (2)
NORFK at 2-2 and 0-0 ats scoring 73.8 and giving up 66.5 ppg for a diff of 7.3
Butler at 3-0 and 1-1 ats scoring 81.7 ppg and giving up 60.0 2ppg for a diff of 1.7
Norfolk had a nice season last year at 17-17 and 12-4 in conf play. They graduated 3 double digit scoring starters who were responsible for over 50% of the teams scoring.
They have won two games already this year. They beat Shenandoah 78-58 and they faced off with a Elizabeth City St and won 91-55. This kind of inflated their stats. But reality hit last game out at losing at Vandy 75-52. Well if they thought that was a tough place to play then wait till they paly at Hinkle home of the bulldogs.
Getting tired so I'll be brief on this one. Butler neat Northern Colorado 89-52, and NW 70-68, by 2, and most recently Bucknell by 86-60 score. Butler plays some pretty good D at home. Or as the locals say it's just a tough place for the visiting team to play at as all 9000 fans seem like they are on top of you. And when a lot of the students are gone the locals snag up the seats and they want blood.
All kidding aside,
good luck and always bet reasonably
I thought we had Provo. What a laydown in the 2nd half
recap: 4-4 -1.70
overall: 34-32 -.10
1 unit: 13-15 -3.50
2 unit: 20-15 +7.00
3 unit: 1-2 -3.60
overall: 34-32 -.10
#746 Ball St -18 -110 (2) L
#760 Texas -2 -110 (2) L
#778 Ohio St -26 1/2 -110 (2) W
#790 Providence 20 1/2 -110 (2) L WTF up 22 at half and win by 16
#792 Butler -22 -110 (2) W
add:
2nd half: Coppin +9 -110 (1) W
add:
Bama -3 -110 (1) L
San Diego St +6 -110 (1) W
recap: 4-4 -1.70
overall: 34-32 -.10
1 unit: 13-15 -3.50
2 unit: 20-15 +7.00
3 unit: 1-2 -3.60
overall: 34-32 -.10
#746 Ball St -18 -110 (2) L
#760 Texas -2 -110 (2) L
#778 Ohio St -26 1/2 -110 (2) W
#790 Providence 20 1/2 -110 (2) L WTF up 22 at half and win by 16
#792 Butler -22 -110 (2) W
add:
2nd half: Coppin +9 -110 (1) W
add:
Bama -3 -110 (1) L
San Diego St +6 -110 (1) W
