ISU -5
ISU lost at home to IUPU in a very close game. I played IUPU + the points. This time betting on ISU to cover the 5. Wyoming lost a lot from last year's team and return 1 starter (Adams) and he's a good one. Wyoming has 12 under classmen on their roster. That's a lot of youth to have to hit the road and play a ISU team that is definitely disappointed already losing their home opener. I saw where Wyoming won their opener 101-62 over Bristol. I checked Bristol out and LY they lost 93-55 to Fresno, 97-63 to Sac ST, 109-59 to Weber, 83-50 to Utah Valley, so not putting to much stock into that W for Wyoming as they will find this game much more competitive than that one.
Miami Fl -10 1/2
They return 4 starters coming off a 25-13 season LY. Now putting to much emphasis on their 86-59 W over Texas Rio Grand, but they did shoot the ball much better in this game. I know probably had a lot of lay-ups and put backs for easy scores. ULL also returns a veteran team (22-14) LY and are also 1-0 with a thumping of Louisiana college. Once again can't base to much stock in their opener either. What I did notice though, they shot 4-25 form 3 PT land. Off night maybe, but against who they were playing, it appears they like to launch it up and maybe not play to much as a team. Based on LY start by Miami they took care of the teams they were supposed to beat and hoping they can get a DD win at home in this one.
Michigan -18 1/2
Ok, all 5 starters back form a team that was a mediocre 16-16 LY surely has to be optimistic for the coaches. Those 5 were first time starters LY as Michigan lost all their starters form the 2013/14 season. Also have a strong bench and a very tough home court. They beat up on N Mich 70-44 in their opener. Not really, they could have won by 60 if they wanted to in that game as everyone played lots of minutes. Elon (15-18) LW and return 3 starters from a team that finished 8th in their conf at 6-12. They will be scrappy and competitive. The chance of Michigan getting everyone minutes worries me about blowing the cover late in the 2nd half. I still think the Mich subs are very talented and hopefully Elon realizes they need to get their other players experience to prepare for their conf game. Elon had a nice W over Charlotte in their opener. I'm hoping Beilein will want to get the crowd all excited about this years team and just beat the crap out of them.
Virginia -5 1/2
This will be a vey tough outing for V, as GW is big, strong, and experienced, and supposedly have a really good starting 5. The bench is one of their biggest concerns, along with the # of TO"S they have every game. We are all aware that the Virginia trademark is their D. (led the nation LY with fewest points allowed at 51. ) This season they are supposed to be even better, and they return 8 players with experience and most of their scoring is back. They could go down, but still like my chances with a team that can play D like that and supposedly have improved on the offensive end of the court.
Mississippi -16
Miss is one of those Veteran teams that like to score points and put teams away. GS had a nice season last year (22-9). Although they return 2 starters, they lost 3 players that scored over a 1000 points off the team. Now that is tough to replace as those players scored a lot of points, rebs, and a ton of minutes. I just think it will be to much for them to keep up with for 40 minutes.
Utah -5 1/2
I hate to give a team like SDS points. Utah is just to tough and return 4 starters from last years team that narrowly lost to SDS (53-49). Krystkowiak will have them ready and their bench is very deep. SDS plays some tough D but I just think they will struggle on the offensive end of the court and Utah will hit their 3 pointers & FT"S at a better % than SDS to get the W.
Cal Santa Barb +15
I know Cal is tough and have some really stud players this year on the roster, but to give a intra-state team this many points seems sort of crazy to me. Especially when the team was 19-14 LY and return 4 starters from that team. Cal may very well cover this game because they are very talented. I just feel like they are already getting hyped up big time and this line is high enough for me to bite on.
Indiana -27 1/2
The change of the shot clock definitely has no effect on this Indiana team. They like to run and gun, and launch the 3's. As I said in their first game, Crean will not show mercy on any team. The point is are they good enough to beat Austin Peay by 28 or more. The answer is easy enough for me. AP (8-22) LY and 3-13 in their conf are predicted to finish last in the West Division in conf play. Vandy already crushed them 80-41. I see know reason why IU can't beat up on them. They already beat up on E Illinois 88-49 at home. The time to play on IU is early in the season against cup cakes. You just have to make sure IU has all of their players for the game, as the past couple of seasons they are known for partying and being quite mischievous at times.
St Mary's -8
St Mary's returns no starters which is almost always a bad thing. They do have some reserves that played some starters minutes last year, along with some nice recruits. Bennett does mess around and he will have this team ready and they will be competitive in a lot of their games. Especially at home, one of the toughest places to play out West. Manhattan out of the Metro Atlantic finished at 19-14 LY and 13-7 in conf play. They return 2 starters and this is their opener on the road. I'm going to take a chance and play on the home team in the much tougher conf as this line was a tough one for the experts to come out with especially when a team has no returning starters. I think St Mary's wins by DD"s.
good luck everyone and bet reasonably as basketball is a long grinding season with lots of ups & downs, just as much for bettors as it is for the teams themselves
