Best of luck with your plays, United! I always look forward to your picks and analysis.
I'm especially looking forward to your analysis of the Bowling Green - Akron game. Do you have any current information on whether Akron starting center PAT FORSYTHE will be playing? He's missed the last 3 games due to a shoulder injury and is currently listed as questionable to return tonight against Bowling Green. The reason I ask is FORSYTHE is Akron's best rim protector in the paint. Not having him play will surely impact this game for Akron, don't you think? He's one of Akron's key "difference makers" in the paint IMO. Any insight you can provide would be extremely helpful. If he's not playing, I'm leaning towards playing the OVER 146 in this game.
I'm especially looking forward to your analysis of the Bowling Green - Akron game. Do you have any current information on whether Akron starting center PAT FORSYTHE will be playing? He's missed the last 3 games due to a shoulder injury and is currently listed as questionable to return tonight against Bowling Green. The reason I ask is FORSYTHE is Akron's best rim protector in the paint. Not having him play will surely impact this game for Akron, don't you think? He's one of Akron's key "difference makers" in the paint IMO. Any insight you can provide would be extremely helpful. If he's not playing, I'm leaning towards playing the OVER 146 in this game.
#864 Penn -4 1/2 -110 (1)
Cornell at 9-15 (2-8) and 6-10-1 ats scoring 71.9 ppg giving up 78.4 ppg for a diff of -6.5
Penn at 10-13 (4-5) and 8-7-1 ats scoring 68.5 ppg giving up 71.1 ppg for a diff of -2.6
Diff of 4, Penn worth 3-4 in the Palestra, line could be higher, probably should be higher, suckering me in obviously,
Penn advantage home, rebounding, fg%, ft%, defense, like the edges at home
Cornell is 5-13 SU in its last 18 games on the road (don't win very often on the road)
Cornell is 4-16 SU in its last 20 games when playing on the road against Pennsylvania (reduces to 1 out of every 4) like it
Pennsylvania is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Cornell (good) further research shows 6 straight and 8 out of last 9 wins in this series.
Pennsylvania is 4-1-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Cornell (good)
Penn did win at Cornell 92-84 (high scoring game) the o/u is 8-2 last 10 in this series, just playing Penn though as I think it stands the better shot at winning
#874 Monmouth -10 1/2 -110 (1)
Rider at 11-18 (7-11) and 10-15 ats scoring 67.3 ppg giving up 68.0 ppg for a diff of -0.7
Monmouth at 23-6 (15-3) and 17-10 ats scoring 80.5 ppg giving up 73.1 ppg for a diff of 7.3
Diff of 7, Monmouth 3-4 at home, line is right on, probably would be higher if Jones wasn't hurt. They have really missed him the last couple of games as their offense has bogged down some. Plus the fact they had to come from way back from a dd deficit last time they played Rider and did get the W.
Why I like Monmouth to bounce back strong tonight:
Monmouth can clinch the top seed for the MAAC tournament with a w. (fired up crowd and team tonight)
Monmouth are 8-1 at home. (no place like home) and after that last loss at home to Iona, they would like nothing better to whop someone
Rider are 4-11 on the road and 2-7 in conf games on the road. (not a good road team)
I'm going against some trends of Rider playing well in this series. They are actually 8-2 last 10 in the series. (I don't always go with the past trend, this is situational)
Monmouth leads in every stat except they give up 5 more points a game than Rider. Rider better score some points tonight or they are going to be way behind.
The ft line strongly favors Monmouth in this matchup. (strong) They have almost made more ft's than Rider have attempted on the season.
Monmouth shooting 77.4% from the line. FTA: 704 FTM: 545 per game: FTA: 24.2 FTM: 18.7 (the math is done) 5 more attempts per game and 5 more makes
Rider shooting 68.7% from the line...........FTA: 563 FTM: 387 per game: FTA: 19.4 FTM: 13.3
Anyway, could lose. Rider could cover, just hoping that Monmouth will want to put on a good show on ESPN2 that they are deserving of a NCCA bid just in case they would happen to lost the conf tournament to Iona or Siena.
I want to see the bench perform some new acts and gt people talking about Monmouth again. (at least for tonight)
#878 Akron -10 1/2 -115 (1)
Bowling Green at 14-14 (5-10) and 10-14 ats scoring 71.8 ppg giving up 71.5 ppg for a diff of 0.3
Akron at 21-7 (10-5) and 12-9-1 ats scoring 77.1 ppg giving up 68.8 ppg for a diff of 8.3
Diff of 8, Akron worth 3-4 at home, line is close, thought it would be higher but it is the mac and strange things happen.
Akron has the edge in almost every stat and the one's they don't FG and steals are so very close.
Akron won the first game at BG 83-68.
Akron 14-0 last 14 games in this series (got to like it)
Akron riding a 7 game winning streak and seem to be jelling at the right time.
Akron def ranks 3rd in the NCAA in 3 pt fg def at 28.6%. (defend the 3, don't need to be giving 3's up when I want to cover this big number)
Meanwhile, Akron ranks 2nd in ncaa in 3 pointers made a game (11.5) (hope their stroking them tonight)
Akron have 4 players in DD's and you know how I like the balance as it makes it hard to concentrate on one player.
Akron at 12-0 at home with a winning margin of +17.1 (I'm on this game)
Game is on CBS sports and Bowling Green has played decent on the road this year, although Bowling Green is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Akron which is another thing I like.
That's enough, you can tell why I like them.
I went through all the games and I personally could have just about played them most of them for one reason or another tonight. I have always like smaller slates of games to go through. Seems like you can find out more. The large slate of games I tend to go through to fast, or have a hard time of cutting them down to certain plays, (overwhelming) anyway,
good luck everyone
Cornell at 9-15 (2-8) and 6-10-1 ats scoring 71.9 ppg giving up 78.4 ppg for a diff of -6.5
Penn at 10-13 (4-5) and 8-7-1 ats scoring 68.5 ppg giving up 71.1 ppg for a diff of -2.6
Diff of 4, Penn worth 3-4 in the Palestra, line could be higher, probably should be higher, suckering me in obviously,
Penn advantage home, rebounding, fg%, ft%, defense, like the edges at home
Cornell is 5-13 SU in its last 18 games on the road (don't win very often on the road)
Cornell is 4-16 SU in its last 20 games when playing on the road against Pennsylvania (reduces to 1 out of every 4) like it
Pennsylvania is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Cornell (good) further research shows 6 straight and 8 out of last 9 wins in this series.
Pennsylvania is 4-1-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Cornell (good)
Penn did win at Cornell 92-84 (high scoring game) the o/u is 8-2 last 10 in this series, just playing Penn though as I think it stands the better shot at winning
#874 Monmouth -10 1/2 -110 (1)
Rider at 11-18 (7-11) and 10-15 ats scoring 67.3 ppg giving up 68.0 ppg for a diff of -0.7
Monmouth at 23-6 (15-3) and 17-10 ats scoring 80.5 ppg giving up 73.1 ppg for a diff of 7.3
Diff of 7, Monmouth 3-4 at home, line is right on, probably would be higher if Jones wasn't hurt. They have really missed him the last couple of games as their offense has bogged down some. Plus the fact they had to come from way back from a dd deficit last time they played Rider and did get the W.
Why I like Monmouth to bounce back strong tonight:
Monmouth can clinch the top seed for the MAAC tournament with a w. (fired up crowd and team tonight)
Monmouth are 8-1 at home. (no place like home) and after that last loss at home to Iona, they would like nothing better to whop someone
Rider are 4-11 on the road and 2-7 in conf games on the road. (not a good road team)
I'm going against some trends of Rider playing well in this series. They are actually 8-2 last 10 in the series. (I don't always go with the past trend, this is situational)
Monmouth leads in every stat except they give up 5 more points a game than Rider. Rider better score some points tonight or they are going to be way behind.
The ft line strongly favors Monmouth in this matchup. (strong) They have almost made more ft's than Rider have attempted on the season.
Monmouth shooting 77.4% from the line. FTA: 704 FTM: 545 per game: FTA: 24.2 FTM: 18.7 (the math is done) 5 more attempts per game and 5 more makes
Rider shooting 68.7% from the line...........FTA: 563 FTM: 387 per game: FTA: 19.4 FTM: 13.3
Anyway, could lose. Rider could cover, just hoping that Monmouth will want to put on a good show on ESPN2 that they are deserving of a NCCA bid just in case they would happen to lost the conf tournament to Iona or Siena.
I want to see the bench perform some new acts and gt people talking about Monmouth again. (at least for tonight)
#878 Akron -10 1/2 -115 (1)
Bowling Green at 14-14 (5-10) and 10-14 ats scoring 71.8 ppg giving up 71.5 ppg for a diff of 0.3
Akron at 21-7 (10-5) and 12-9-1 ats scoring 77.1 ppg giving up 68.8 ppg for a diff of 8.3
Diff of 8, Akron worth 3-4 at home, line is close, thought it would be higher but it is the mac and strange things happen.
Akron has the edge in almost every stat and the one's they don't FG and steals are so very close.
Akron won the first game at BG 83-68.
Akron 14-0 last 14 games in this series (got to like it)
Akron riding a 7 game winning streak and seem to be jelling at the right time.
Akron def ranks 3rd in the NCAA in 3 pt fg def at 28.6%. (defend the 3, don't need to be giving 3's up when I want to cover this big number)
Meanwhile, Akron ranks 2nd in ncaa in 3 pointers made a game (11.5) (hope their stroking them tonight)
Akron have 4 players in DD's and you know how I like the balance as it makes it hard to concentrate on one player.
Akron at 12-0 at home with a winning margin of +17.1 (I'm on this game)
Game is on CBS sports and Bowling Green has played decent on the road this year, although Bowling Green is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Akron which is another thing I like.
That's enough, you can tell why I like them.
I went through all the games and I personally could have just about played them most of them for one reason or another tonight. I have always like smaller slates of games to go through. Seems like you can find out more. The large slate of games I tend to go through to fast, or have a hard time of cutting them down to certain plays, (overwhelming) anyway,
good luck everyone
Best of luck with your plays, United! I always look forward to your picks and analysis.
I'm especially looking forward to your analysis of the Bowling Green - Akron game. Do you have any current information on whether Akron starting center PAT FORSYTHE will be playing? He's missed the last 3 games due to a shoulder injury and is currently listed as questionable to return tonight against Bowling Green. The reason I ask is FORSYTHE is Akron's best rim protector in the paint. Not having him play will surely impact this game for Akron, don't you think? He's one of Akron's key "difference makers" in the paint IMO. Any insight you can provide would be extremely helpful. If he's not playing, I'm leaning towards playing the OVER 146 in this game.
Forsythe was averaging 19.7 minutes a game. A little less than play half the game. He was scoring 8.6 ppg and 4.9 rebs. I think his rebs and points can be picked up by the backups. Of course I would like to have him in the line up but made the play not expecting him to play tonight. If he does he may be rusty anyway.
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Bowling Green's last 8 games when playing on the road against Akron (sure you saw this)
BUT (Akron 13-8-1 on the 0/U but 3-4-1 at home O/U and 10-4 O/U away
Last game went over the number, the last 10 in the series the total is 5-5
That's all I know, could go over if the 3's are dropping, could go under if their not,
good luck tonight INC
off to the pool hall, have a big 10 ball match against some youngster who likes to give me his money
Not sure if I'm playing the total. Like I said it's a "lean." Thanks for the in-depth analysis on the total as well as FORSYTHE and how his absence may impact this game. I see you believe it will be minimal. OK.
The line has dropped to Arkon -9, so I'm curious why it moved 1.5 points in BG's favor. Oh well.
Anyway, best of luck! Hope you schooled that kid in the pool hall!
k:Not sure if I'm playing the total. Like I said it's a "lean." Thanks for the in-depth analysis on the total as well as FORSYTHE and how his absence may impact this game. I see you believe it will be minimal. OK.
The line has dropped to Arkon -9, so I'm curious why it moved 1.5 points in BG's favor. Oh well.
Anyway, best of luck! Hope you schooled that kid in the pool hall!
Played 3 sets with a race to 7, went 2-1, would take that tonight and be happy.
All the lines have moved away from my action. I'm used to that. And I played them today even, not last night.
