#872 Davidson +2 -110 (1)
VCU at 15-5 (7-0) and 11-4 ats scoring 78.1 ppg giving up 66.8 ppg for a diff of 11.3
David at 12-6 (4-3) and 5-11-1 ats scoring 81.5 ppg giving up 79.7 ppg for a diff of 1.8
With the diff of 9.5 and Davidson worth a extra 3 at home line could be at 5-6 points. It's not though, and I would reckon that a lot of people are taking VCU in this game. What a break on the line. They are 7-0 in conf play. VCU riding a 10 game winning streak. VCU a remarkable 11-4 ats. Davidson is 2-7-1 ats at home. VCU 4th in the nation def/to margin and 5th in turnover margin +5.4. VCY may get Burgess back, missed the l;ast 5 games and is listed as ? for the game. Lay the farm on VCU it appears.
Why Davidson after all of the above?
For me, the line smells really, really bad. Davidson may only be 2-7-1 ats at home, but they have won 15 straight games at home and 30 ot of the last 31 at home. They are bad agasint the spread because they are always giving to many points and the coach will play a lot of players when they get ahead and then they blow the cover. Those players won't be getting in this game.
Davidson's Gibbs 4th in the nation at 24.8 ppg. 6 times he has score over 30 points, 3 times over 40 points.
David 6th in nation in assists/turnover ratio (1.63)
David are 10th in ft% at 76% and 17th in 3 pointers made (9.9) a game.
It's red out night, free red t-shirts and towels, it's sold out, 5295 will pack it in Beck arena. Great atmosphere for a game. It's been happening all season. Top teams getting knocked off on the road.
I really think the books are anting VCU action. I think that they are in great danger of losing their first conf game in this environment.
#882 Oakland -5 1/2 -110 (1)
Wright St at 13-8 (7-1) and 9-9 ats scoring 67.6 ppg giving up 63.8 ppg for a diff of 3.8
Oakland at 13-8 (5-3) and 12-4 ats scoring 86.1 ppg giving up 80.1 ppg for a diff of 6.0
Line is right where it should be for this game. Just figuring out the winner ats is a different story. Who will control the tempo of this game? If wright St does and keeps Oakland from transitioning they stand a chance at not only covering the spread but winning heads up. If Oak controls the tempo and gets wright St caught up in it, then Oakland should win b y DD's.
WS at 7-1 in conf and are the only team to have beaten Valpo. They are stingy only giving up 63.2 ppg. They are deliberate on offense.
Oak scoring 86.1 ppg good enough for 4th in the nation.
Oak coming off a sweep of the Wiscy teams on the road.
Oakland Hooper made 7 3's last game. He's 3rd in the nation in makes at 3.8 a game.
Oak are 16th in nation from the ft line at 75.5 %.
Oak are 2nd in ft's made (415) (I like it a lot)
Not only can they shoot the 3, but they drive and get to the foul line.
Oakland: fta: 550 ftm: 415 (got to like that stat for the home team)
Wright : Fta: 362 Ftm: 257 (Oakland has made 53 more ft;s than wright St has even attempted. (tells me who I think might control the tempo of this game)
It's a gamble, but taking the homey in this one.
#887 Manhattan +12 -115 (1)
Manhattan at 8-10 (5-2) and 6-9 ats scoring 69.3 ppg giving up 74.7 ppg for a diff of -5.3
Iona at 10-9 (7-3) and 5-13 ats scoring 79.6 ppg giving up 77.2 ppg for a diff of 2.4
Diff of 7 and I really don't have a value on Iona at home. Are they worth this many at home in a 10 mile rivalry game? I see the line opened up where had it at and now how risen to 12. I'll take the bait and take Manhattan and the points. Iona has lost 3 of their last 4 games. Manhattan has won 5 out of their last 7 games. They seem to be the team on the better role right now anyway.
Iona were 9-0 at home last year in conf play and have won 18 out of the last 19 at home in conf play. Pretty good bet that they are going to win this game. (by how many though)
I see where Manhattan are 1-6 ats away from home.
I see where Iona are 2-7 ats at home. (once again 10 miles separate these two schools in this rivalry game)
A stat I found that I liked on the game: Since Coach Masiello took over in the 2011-12 season, 7 out of the last 11 games have been decided by 4 or less points.
I also see the last 10 games played in this series are 6-4 heads up in favor of Iona, 6-4 ats in favor of Manhattan, and the average score 74.4 to 71.9.
Only 1 time in the last 10 games between these two has the line been in DD's, and that was at Iona -13, they won by 8.
I have never seen either one of these teams play a game. I do like my chances in the dark taking the points and hoping for a close game between these two rival schools.
Good luck everyone
VCU at 15-5 (7-0) and 11-4 ats scoring 78.1 ppg giving up 66.8 ppg for a diff of 11.3
David at 12-6 (4-3) and 5-11-1 ats scoring 81.5 ppg giving up 79.7 ppg for a diff of 1.8
With the diff of 9.5 and Davidson worth a extra 3 at home line could be at 5-6 points. It's not though, and I would reckon that a lot of people are taking VCU in this game. What a break on the line. They are 7-0 in conf play. VCU riding a 10 game winning streak. VCU a remarkable 11-4 ats. Davidson is 2-7-1 ats at home. VCU 4th in the nation def/to margin and 5th in turnover margin +5.4. VCY may get Burgess back, missed the l;ast 5 games and is listed as ? for the game. Lay the farm on VCU it appears.
Why Davidson after all of the above?
For me, the line smells really, really bad. Davidson may only be 2-7-1 ats at home, but they have won 15 straight games at home and 30 ot of the last 31 at home. They are bad agasint the spread because they are always giving to many points and the coach will play a lot of players when they get ahead and then they blow the cover. Those players won't be getting in this game.
Davidson's Gibbs 4th in the nation at 24.8 ppg. 6 times he has score over 30 points, 3 times over 40 points.
David 6th in nation in assists/turnover ratio (1.63)
David are 10th in ft% at 76% and 17th in 3 pointers made (9.9) a game.
It's red out night, free red t-shirts and towels, it's sold out, 5295 will pack it in Beck arena. Great atmosphere for a game. It's been happening all season. Top teams getting knocked off on the road.
I really think the books are anting VCU action. I think that they are in great danger of losing their first conf game in this environment.
#882 Oakland -5 1/2 -110 (1)
Wright St at 13-8 (7-1) and 9-9 ats scoring 67.6 ppg giving up 63.8 ppg for a diff of 3.8
Oakland at 13-8 (5-3) and 12-4 ats scoring 86.1 ppg giving up 80.1 ppg for a diff of 6.0
Line is right where it should be for this game. Just figuring out the winner ats is a different story. Who will control the tempo of this game? If wright St does and keeps Oakland from transitioning they stand a chance at not only covering the spread but winning heads up. If Oak controls the tempo and gets wright St caught up in it, then Oakland should win b y DD's.
WS at 7-1 in conf and are the only team to have beaten Valpo. They are stingy only giving up 63.2 ppg. They are deliberate on offense.
Oak scoring 86.1 ppg good enough for 4th in the nation.
Oak coming off a sweep of the Wiscy teams on the road.
Oakland Hooper made 7 3's last game. He's 3rd in the nation in makes at 3.8 a game.
Oak are 16th in nation from the ft line at 75.5 %.
Oak are 2nd in ft's made (415) (I like it a lot)
Not only can they shoot the 3, but they drive and get to the foul line.
Oakland: fta: 550 ftm: 415 (got to like that stat for the home team)
Wright : Fta: 362 Ftm: 257 (Oakland has made 53 more ft;s than wright St has even attempted. (tells me who I think might control the tempo of this game)
It's a gamble, but taking the homey in this one.
#887 Manhattan +12 -115 (1)
Manhattan at 8-10 (5-2) and 6-9 ats scoring 69.3 ppg giving up 74.7 ppg for a diff of -5.3
Iona at 10-9 (7-3) and 5-13 ats scoring 79.6 ppg giving up 77.2 ppg for a diff of 2.4
Diff of 7 and I really don't have a value on Iona at home. Are they worth this many at home in a 10 mile rivalry game? I see the line opened up where had it at and now how risen to 12. I'll take the bait and take Manhattan and the points. Iona has lost 3 of their last 4 games. Manhattan has won 5 out of their last 7 games. They seem to be the team on the better role right now anyway.
Iona were 9-0 at home last year in conf play and have won 18 out of the last 19 at home in conf play. Pretty good bet that they are going to win this game. (by how many though)
I see where Manhattan are 1-6 ats away from home.
I see where Iona are 2-7 ats at home. (once again 10 miles separate these two schools in this rivalry game)
A stat I found that I liked on the game: Since Coach Masiello took over in the 2011-12 season, 7 out of the last 11 games have been decided by 4 or less points.
I also see the last 10 games played in this series are 6-4 heads up in favor of Iona, 6-4 ats in favor of Manhattan, and the average score 74.4 to 71.9.
Only 1 time in the last 10 games between these two has the line been in DD's, and that was at Iona -13, they won by 8.
I have never seen either one of these teams play a game. I do like my chances in the dark taking the points and hoping for a close game between these two rival schools.
Good luck everyone
